Odd odds in football. Odd-even betting strategy in football Catching up on even-odd

There is a fairly widespread opinion that only people who are passionate about sports can make money on bets. However, this is not quite true. More precisely, this is not at all the case. There are certain strategies that can be applied to people who have nothing to do with sports. We will talk about one of these strategies today. We'll bet on basketball.

In order to make money using this strategy, it is not even necessary to know what the ball looks like in basketball, not to mention the teams and their statistics. You only need a budget of more than 3,000 rubles, as well as perseverance and a lot of time, since your income will depend on the amount of time spent.

So, let's say you already have an account in the bookmaker, you have loaded the required amount and are determined to destroy and ruin the bookmaker. We will bet live. We select a basketball match that has just begun and place the minimum bet “Even score in 1 period”, which is commensurate with your budget. If the bet plays, we take the money and do not bet more on this match. If in the 1st period the score turned out to be odd, then again we bet on the even score, but already in the 2nd period, but in this case double the initial bet + optionally add 10% of the doubling.

All bookmakers give odds for such a bet of 1.85 or 1.90. That is, in order for the next bet to cover costs and generate income in case of a loss, it is recommended to add these 10%. Let's consider an example of this strategy in a real WNBA match between Indiana Fever and Minnesota Lynx, which took place on 06/07/2015.

Consider given example we will use the Parimatch bookmaker as an example, since it gives one of the highest odds for this type of bet: 1.85.

After the start of the match, as in accordance with our strategy, we bet on the even score of the first quarter with a minimum bet of 20 rubles. The first bet did not play, the score in the 1st quarter: (14:21), that is, odd. We do not despair and immediately make a second bet, but already 50 rubles, again, on an even score of the 2nd quarter. Bottom line: the rate comes in and we get a little less than 25 rubles of net profit, taking into account the spent 20 rubles for the first period and 50 rubles for the second period.

Someone may say that 25 rubles is very little, but do not forget that there are a lot of matches a day. If we bet at the height of the season, then the number of matches can reach up to 150. And if we win 25 rubles in each match, then by the end of the day the amount will be 3,750 rubles, which is approximately equal to the minimum monthly salary in the Russian outback. Per month: 112 thousand rubles. And you must admit, more than 100 tr. it's even wow for Moscow. But let's stop spending 100 grand in our minds for a second and move on to a detailed analysis of the pros and cons of this strategy.

Advantages of the strategy:

You get fairly fast results. You do not need to wait for the end of the match, worry and be nervous. You simply perform actions known to you in advance and win real money. You will know the result in about 10-20 minutes, depending on which championship you bet on.
There are many matches per day. So many. Using this strategy to the full, you will understand this very quickly when you need to analyze the results of a dozen live matches at once, make decisions, calculate the amount of doubling, and your browser will turn into a flight control center due to the abundance of tabs. However, this has its advantages - due to the large number of matches, you can diversify the risks and get a little bit from many places. As a result, you will feel how small streams of minimal profit turn into a whole stream of a growing bank.
You don't need to know anything - just do it. There is no need to analyze teams, keep track of the form of players, study the location of teams in the standings, and so on. You just need to perform monotonous actions, but actions on which you will earn.
Even beginners can earn. This point follows from the previous one. If you have never played BC, then this strategy can be optimal in order to start acquaintance with bookmakers and get the first money
Forget small odds. 1.10 to win the favorite of the match? Or 1.01 for his own win or draw? Forget! Only 1.85, only hardcore! Big odds = big profit.

Disadvantages of the strategy:

This is pure lottery. Yes this is true. Many people who work according to this strategy are very saddened by the fact that they, like robots, do monotonous actions every day, track, double, bet. And they cannot influence anything, neither predict, nor show their own creativity and use their flair. Ordinary lottery using Martingale. However, all their sadness disappears when they once again go to the ATM for a win.
You will have to devote a lot of time to this strategy. As we have already noted, in this case, the income will directly depend on the time you spend on this work. You must be insured against blackouts, internet outages, air raids, and anything else that could make you lose control of the situation.
Financial risks. Yes, unfortunately, all strategies that are associated with catch-up are high-risk on the one hand and win-win on the other. Win-win lies in the fact that sooner or later your bet will play and the period will end with an even score. But by then you may be out of the pot. This is the risk.

The last thing I want to say is that on average every 20 matches ends without an even or odd value. In this case, you should not give up, you just need to move on to the next match, but put the first bet immediately with the catch-up.

When choosing your initial bet, you need to take into account that your budget is enough for 8 raises, since that is how much it takes to win even if two matches in a row do not give you an even number of balls in a quarter. In other words, if you bet starting with minimum rate, then to stay in a guaranteed profit you need to bet something like this: 20-50-110-240-530-1150… and so on. Consider only what maximum bet bookmakers have a fixed one and for this type of bet rarely exceeds 30,000 rubles.

In any case, only you decide for yourself whether to apply this strategy or not. Our task was to introduce you to her. Successful bets

The even-odd betting strategy is an opportunity to play on 2 variants of totals. It is most often used in basketball, hockey, football and tennis, although this tactic is applicable to other sports.

For various reasons, its popularity has declined over time, because the even-odd strategy does not bring huge winnings, but with the right use of it, even novice players can make quite good money.

How Odd-Even Works in Betting

If bettors use the even-odd strategy, basketball is most often chosen as the main sport for these bets.

First you need to find one that offers the most high odds on these outcomes, they usually range from 1.85-1.98. The higher the indicator, the more profitable bets on even-odd basketball will be.

Then you need to decide on the match and divide the budget into several parts. Having done this, you can start betting on one of the selected totals.

To begin with, we put 100 rubles on the 1st quarter of the match, choosing one of the outcomes: even or odd. If you chose the first option, and the teams played 21:18, and the bet lost, we repeat everything in the 2nd quarter with a doubling of the amount: we bet 200 rubles on an even total. During the match, you have 4 attempts to win and increase your initial capital. Although you can always move on to another event and continue to increase the bet until you make a profit.

Choose a bookmaker wisely, taking into account the size of the odds for the odd-even total.
When increasing the losing bet, add another 10% to cover the difference between the bookmaker's odds and the chances of guessing the correct total (for example, odds of 1.9 and 2.0)
Divide your bankroll so that new win on "even-odd" covered all the lost bets.
You do not need to use for all consecutive matches. Choose a specific popular league, and preferably one team, at the games of which and follow these recommendations.

Advantages and disadvantages of even and odd bets

One of the main advantages of the even-odd betting strategy is its simplicity: almost everyone can thoroughly study all its principles and start earning.

The Even/Odd betting market implies an even or odd number goals, pucks, points or games in various types sports. This market is not among the most popular, but almost all bookmakers provide it in line.

Example of a bet on the market Even/Odd

Usually this market bets are placed in a line immediately below the totals, just as you see in the example. If we bet on Odd with odds of 1.89, we will only win if the total number of goals in the game is odd. Winning outcomes will be 1:0, 2:1, 3:0, 3:2, 4:1, 4:3, etc.

Pitfalls of odd/even betting

At first glance, it may seem that this is an uncomplicated betting market, so many beginners often bet on it, which cannot be said about professional bettors.
The whole catch of the situation lies in the fact that almost always the chances are 50 to 50, which is equivalent to falling heads or tails in a coin toss. Playing in such markets would have the right to life if the bookmaker odds on Odd or Even exceeded 2.00, but it is almost always at the level of 1.85-1.99. If you can find it in other betting markets, then they are simply not here because of such quotes.
In football, there is still a small possibility to predict Even or Odd (when the game will most likely be played to 1 goal scored),
and in such sports as in, or players are absolutely powerless in front of the bookmaker. With the same success, you can just play in the casino.

Possibility of using such bets in the game

Conclusion

Based on all of the above, it is safe to say that it is better not to play in such betting markets. They are beneficial for

Value betting, value betting

In this article, we will consider such an interesting method of playing as the game of value bets. It is more difficult to understand and more risky than arbitrage. however, the even-odd betting strategy in football also has its advantages.

As well as playing on surebets. value betting gives the player an advantage over bookmakers and can also be used to consistently receive winnings. There is a separate article about using our service to find overpriced rates. The main strategies for playing value bets can be found here.

What is bookmaker margin?

Let's try to understand the betting kitchen first.

Imagine a coin, an ordinary coin with heads and tails. Suppose someone decides to bet that they can guess which side the coin will fall on if it is tossed. Obviously, the probability of a coin falling heads or tails is 50/50. It would be fair to set the odds equal to 2 for heads and 2 for tails. That is, if 2 players argue and put a ruble each on different outcomes, then the winner takes 2 rubles for himself, and the loser is left with nothing.

However, bookmakers never do this. Even-odd betting strategy in football. best case put odds of 1.9 on heads and 1.9 on tails. And if our players play in the office and also bet on the ruble, then the winner will receive only 1 ruble 90 kopecks, and the remaining 10 kopecks will remain with the bookmaker. This is called the margin. Due to this, bookmakers earn their bread and butter.

Those. in an ideal world and provided that the bookmaker would give out all the money received from bets in the form of winnings, the odds on the outcome of the event would have to be correlated in a certain way:

1/K1 + 1/K2 + … + 1/Kn = 1

Here K1. K2. … Kn are coefficients for each of n opposite outcomes of the event, for example, for bets 1. X. 2. In addition, each coefficient must be equal to one divided by the probability of the corresponding outcome. odd odd betting strategy in football

But if we take the real line of any bookmaker and calculate what the sum of probabilities is, then we will not get one. Let's check, let's take Bwin's bets on the outcome of the match Chelsea - Manchester United as an example.

1/1.95 + 1/3.3 + 1/3.75 = 1.0825 (> 1.)

(1.0825 - 1) * 100% = 8.25% margin

Thus, the bookmaker always sets its odds in such a way as to be in a better position in relation to the players. To do this, he underestimates the coefficients, laying his percentage of profit there. And the probability is on the side of the bookmaker odd odd betting strategy in football That is why the majority (about 98%) of ordinary players, making bets “for luck”, lose their entire bank in the long run.

What is an Value Bet?

As can be seen from the description of the margin, each bookmaker tries to guess the probability of a particular outcome and set an underestimated odds on it. But it happens that the bookmaker made a mistake and vice versa, he overestimated the odds.

Returning to the example with a coin, let's imagine that the bookmaker for some reason decided that the loss of "tails" is more likely and set odds of 2.1 for "heads" and 1.75 for "tails". Naturally, he was wrong. If the player knows that the probability of both outcomes is still equal to 50%, then it is logical that it is more profitable for him to bet on heads.

And if a player plays 100 such bets, placing a ruble each time, then with a probability of 50% he will win. Thus, the player's winnings will be 100 x 50% x 2.1 = 105 rubles. Those. with a sufficiently large number of value bets, the player will receive 5% of the profit. Because The odds are on his side in this case. And in the long run, the player's bank will grow.

To illustrate, here is another example with dice. Obviously, the probability that one of the numbers will fall out is 1/6. Let two players decide to play according to the following rules: the first guesses a number and throws a bone, if he guessed correctly, he receives 5 rubles from the second, if he didn’t guess, he gives 1 ruble. It is clear that after some time the first player will be left without money, and maybe without pants. Let's change the rules like this: if the first player guessed correctly, then he receives 7 rubles, and if not, then he gives 1 ruble. Now the first player, after a few games, will ruin the second.

So, a value bet is a bet that satisfies the following inequality:

where K is the odds and P is the true probability of the outcome betting strategy even odd in football

Ways to find value bets

To find a value bet, you must first of all be able to determine the true probability of the outcome of events. Further, knowing the true probabilities, you need to find such coefficients that satisfy the inequality K * P > 1.

The true probability for events such as Soccer game very difficult to determine. Odds bookmakers have a bunch of analysts who do a lot of work.

There are two main ways to determine the probabilities of outcomes:

Analytical. Assessment of the strengths and capabilities of participants, the study of statistics latest games, composition of teams, taking into account the possible influences of the weather, where the match takes place, the phases of the moon, the position of Mercury in relation to Saturn, fortune-telling on coffee grounds, information about fixed matches, and so on ...

Statistical. Rely on the work of a huge army of betting analysts, consider that they are all close to the correct result, but the truth is somewhere between their opinions.

The first way is used by bookmakers. They try to use all the data they have to determine the probability of winning one or the other team. In addition, there are professional experienced players on bets that are very well versed in teams and can make their predictions no worse than bookmakers. But this method requires extensive knowledge and is extremely difficult to automate.

The second way is statistical. Given the odds of a sufficiently large number of bookmakers, it is possible to calculate the bookmaker's margin for each odd odd football betting odds. Then, given the margin, determine how each bookmaker determined the probability. Then take the average value and calculate that this is the most accurate forecast. After all, it was obtained from the results of the work of many analysts! This method, perhaps, it will seem to someone less accurate than the first one, but it lends itself perfectly to automation.

It is the statistical approach that is used by our service to determine value bets.

Using surebets to find value bets

A betting surebet always has one interesting property. If we imagine that all bets of a surebet are bets from one bookmaker and calculate the margin, then we will get a negative number. Let's take, for example, one of the forks found and check it.

1/2.3 + 1/3.3 + 1/3.97 = 0.9897 (< 1)

The margin is: (0.9897 - 1) * 100% = -1.03%

This means that at least one of the stakes involved in the fork is overrated by the even-odd betting strategy in football. among the bets of any surebet with a positive profit, there is at least one, or even more, bets with an advantage. Actually, this overestimated rate most likely gave rise to a surebet, and the rest of the rates of the surebet are just for safety net.

Thus, having a list of surebets found for the same event, you can try to determine which of the rates was the reason for the surebets to occur. For example, if in all surebets for the same event there is a bet on the victory of the first team from the same bookmaker, then it is obvious that it is overpriced.

Pros and Cons of Value Betting

In contrast to the game on surebets. Value betting has its advantages and disadvantages:

Advantages

Fewer bets. When playing forks. you need to make bets on all the shoulders of the surebet, and if at least one of the bets fails, then the player risks all the other bets. When playing on value bets, you need to make one bet per one value bet. This reduces the risk associated with the inability to make other bets.

Fewer bank accounts. To play on surebets, you need to have at least accounts in a couple of offices, and the more accounts, the better. When playing at overrated rates. it is enough to have only one account in one office.

The player's behavior is more natural. When playing on surebets, the player is forced to obey the calculator and make bets that are dependent on each other. And it may seem strange for a bookmaker when a player constantly bets on various events like the match Honduras - Guadeloupe for the total of the match 13.5 exactly 178 rubles 68 kopecks. When playing at value bets. you can bet any amount that does not contradict the strategy chosen by the player. Thus, the player will cause less suspicion.

Theoretically, value betting brings more profit than surebets. Based on the fact that in each surebet there is an overvalued rate and ballast insurance bets, it turns out that the surebet makes bets not only on profitable bet but also for the others. The player, as it were, buys himself insurance against loss, but he has to pay big expenses for this. With a sufficiently high-quality definition of overvalued bets and playing on them, the player will receive on average more, the odd-even betting strategy in T-shirts. does not spend money on betting margin.

Flaws

Winning is not guaranteed with a small number of bets. Playing surebets, the player will receive a pre-known guaranteed profit from each surebet, almost certainly the odd-even betting strategy in football When playing on value bets. each of the bets can be lost even-odd betting strategy in football This method is designed for a long-term game with big amount rates. To avoid this shortcoming, it is better to bet a lot on small amounts than little on large ones.

Everyone wants to win at bets, but not everyone wants to spend a lot of time analyzing games and studying lineups. Certain tactics come to the aid of players that allow everyone to win, even those who are absolutely not versed in sports. One of them is the “Even Odd” betting strategy.
Using it, you have a chance to win good money. At the same time, you don’t need to look for surebets, read analysts’ forecasts, follow physical form participants of the competition. You just need to strictly adhere to the chosen strategy.

The essence of the game

Interestingly, the strategy is suitable for almost all sports. Consider the strategy of betting "Even Odd" on basketball. Your task is to register with a bookmaker and deposit a certain amount. What will be your bank - you decide, it can be 1000 rubles or 10,000 rubles, it doesn't matter. We choose the first basketball game that comes across and bet on “Even score in the first period”. The amount of the first bet should not be large, for example, 20 rubles. If the bet wins, we no longer bet on this match and wait for the next one. If the first bet turns out to be unsuccessful, then we also bet on an even account in the second period, only the amount of the bet needs to be doubled. For greater profitability, some bettors add another 10%.

Sooner or later, your bet will play and the investment will pay off, plus you will definitely make a profit. Considering that there are a lot of basketball matches during the season, you can earn money every day. Income will depend on the time you are willing to spend.

The odd-even betting strategy for football looks similar. According to statistics, 75% of football matches end with an odd score, so here they bet on odd. The first bet is "Odd score in the first half". If she wins, then choose another match. If he loses, then the next bet on the second half is also odd. We increase the amount of the bet. To increase the chances of winning, choose matches in which teams of approximately equal strength play. Such rivals try to score as many goals as possible, and most often there is an odd score between them.

Benefits of the "Even Odd" strategy

Among the others win-win systems This strategy has the following advantages:

The result of betting comes quickly enough. A lot goes by in a day different matches, so the profit will be daily.
You do not need to study and analyze anything, it is absolutely not necessary to know the rules of the game and the position of the teams in the standings.
Even a beginner can master the strategy, you just need to monitor the rate increase and the results of the halves.
There are good odds on even-odd bets. You will earn often and in large quantities.

Among the shortcomings, it can be noted that the strategy cannot be called a win-win. To wait for the winning moment, you need to lose some amount of money, and this is always painful. Playing Even Odd is not suitable for temperamental players who do not like to perform the same actions all the time. Some bettors get bored and go in search of better tactics than the even-odd betting strategy.