Crushing the catch. Catching up strategy - modified options and online calculator

The essence of the catch-up strategy is that after a loss, the next bet must be increased enough to win back the lost funds, as well as make a profit. The strategy is based on the progressive principle of determining the size of bets. The longer the series of failures, the larger the amount of the next bet. This, of course, is a drawback of the strategy, since the risk of bankruptcy is constantly increasing, but this is the main plus - a player can lose several bets in a row, but then win one, compensating for losses and earning income.

We tell in detail what is a dogon

For one part of the bettors, the catch-up strategy is effective, for the other it is ineffective. Let's consider its features and rules of use for the plus game.

Classic catch-up or martingale system

A simple strategy that came from the casino. Essence: the game is played on coefficients from 2, and in case of loss, the amount of the next bet is doubled. Let's explain with an example:

1. Deportivo plays against Sevilla at home. We bet $20 to win the away team for 2.6. The match ends in a draw, the bet does not pass.

2. Looking for another event. With a coefficient of 2.3, TM 2.5 looks great in the Dnipro-Zorya match. Double the previous bet and bet $40. The duel ends with a score of 2:2, so the money is lost again.

3. As the third event, we choose the victory of Real with a handicap of -1.5 against Ajax for 2.15. We put already 80 $. The Spanish team crushes the Dutch with a score of 3:0. The bet passes, the winnings are $172.

Three bets spent $140 (20 + 40 + 80). Net profit is $32.

After winning, we return to the initial bet amount ($20).

Soft catch-up

To reduce risks, you can select events with odds up to 2. The amount of each subsequent bet depends on the outcome of the previous bet. In addition, each cycle must end in the black.

Using the soft catch strategy, you need to do some calculations to determine the optimal bet amount:

S = (W + Sn)/(K-1), where:

K - coefficient;

Sn - the amount lost since the start of the catch-up;

W - the desired amount of winnings.

For example, we choose the victory of Chelsea over Aston Villa, for which the bookmaker gives a coefficient of 1.8. Since the beginning of the game on the catch-up, $45 has been lost. The desired winning amount is $70. We make a calculation:

S = (70 + 45) / (1.8 - 1) = $143.75

Thus, we bet this amount, and if Chelsea wins, the winnings will be $70. If the London team does not win, we calculate the amount of the next bet.

Soft catch-up is clearly more reliable than the classic one. Since the bets are made on lower odds, due to which iterations (catching up with doubling bets) will have to be done less. Although we will not hide the fact that you can get into an unsuccessful series even with low odds.

Dogon types

Allocate one-time and long dogon. The first type provides for a series of bets of a certain duration. Perfect for him football matches. For example, the team under the code name "A" plays 5 matches without a draw. However, after some analysis and studying the statistics, we come to the conclusion that in the next match the probability of a draw is very high. The coefficient for such an outcome is approximately 2.8. Let's start with the amount of 20 euros. In case of a tie, the bet wins and the one-time catch-up passes. If the meeting ended with the victory of one of the teams, we are looking for another event to continue catching up.

The essence of a long catch-up is that the player does not finish iterations after the first win, but continues until the end of the allotted distance. For example, a bettor can bet on draw results football club"A" is not until the first win, but until the end of the championship or league. The long catch strategy is mainly used by bettors with many years of experience. And the most professional players prefer the combined use of one-time and long catch-ups, which helps to increase their income.

Double catch up

A safe strategy is double catching up. Its principle is that the player alternates the selected sports outcomes after each winning bet. For example, at first you can bet on the total less, and after winning, start playing on the total more. Further in the same order.

The strategy has two advantages:

1) the number of winning bets increases;

2) makes it possible to take into account current form teams at the time of the bet.

Statistics show that the same results (for example, total over) are more often repeated in several matches than alternate with opposite outcomes. Naturally, the application of the strategy does not completely eliminate the risk of losing, but significantly reduces it.

What events to use for the game on the catch-up?

For Dogon the best way fit draws and totals in football. The main advantage of these events is considered to be high odds, which, accordingly, bring high profits.

The optimal catch-up is the one that requires no more than 3-4 iterations. Therefore, in order to catch up with a certain outcome, it is necessary to choose the team that most often plays with such an outcome. To do this, the bettor must study the statistics of the season (ideally, several previous ones).

However, playing on draws and totals in football has its drawbacks, the most important of which is the low frequency of matches. Therefore, to complete four iterations, it is necessary to wait about a month. Therefore, the replenishment of the bank will have to wait a long time. You can speed up the process by playing long catch-ups, placing bets on several teams at the same time.

At experienced players on the catch-up, the overseas leagues of basketball, football, hockey and baseball are the most popular, in which each club plays 2-3 matches a week. Therefore, bettors have a place to “roam around”.

By applying simultaneous catch-up, for example, 6-7 events, it is possible to reach a good level of monthly income. An excellent option for playing catch-up in overseas leagues is the victory of underdog teams. The fact is that the participants in such competitions often make a show, and they win sensational victories more often than in the top European championships. When catching up in NHL matches, draws are best suited, the game on which is carried out according to the same principle as with football.

Which bookmakers are suitable for the catch-up method

To apply the catch-up strategy, you need to choose the most reputable bookmakers that offer large limits and high odds. These parameters are the most important for overtaking. The coefficients determine how many iterations the player will do until the moment of winning. The higher they are, the lower the financial risks. The presence of a large limit will warn the player against early completion of the catch-up. That is, if the bet exceeds the bookmaker's limit, the player will not be able to bet and continue the game.

Is such a strategy effective?

The strategy is effective in that it allows you to develop a game scheme that, in the long run, will allow you to regularly win money and replenish the bank.

The main problem in Dogon is the difficulty of defining starting rate. All bookmakers have a betting limit. This means that if the bettor does not have time to “catch up” with the sporting event before the rate is higher than the maximum allowed, the catch-up will fail.

For example, a bettor started with a bet of $20 and lost 5 events in a row, and for the sixth time he needs to bet $640. Not every player has such an amount of money. But even the most experienced bettors sometimes do not have 10-12 events in a row. Thus, important condition when playing on catch-ups is the calculation of the bank on a large number of doublings (iterations) and the correct determination of the initial rate.

Despite all the advantages of the catch-up strategy, the player is required not only to look for suitable events and coefficients, but also do not neglect the analysis and viewing of statistics. You should not expect that some bet will be successful and you will be able to get into the “plus”. You can wait five, six or even more than ten matches until the win comes. This attitude is tantamount to bankruptcy. You must be responsible for the choice of each bet! This is the secret of success!

Dogon is a financial strategy related to the management of a game bank and sports betting. According to this strategy, after each loss, the amount of the subsequent bet is increased so that in case of a win, the winnings are compensated for all the previously lost money and bring the planned income.

Catching up is a financial strategy related to the distribution of the game bank.

It is based on the progressive selection of the bet amount. The longer the series of defeats, the higher the bet size. Here at the same time lies both the main disadvantage and the main advantage of overtaking. On the one hand, you can lose several bets in a row, then win one and return everything with interest. On the other hand, you can get into a situation where the next bet fails: the player simply rests on the maximum set by the bookmaker for one bet, or falls under an individual limit.

Catching up can be one-time and long. If, after the bet has won, the object changes, this is a one-time catch-up. If the player continues to bet on the same outcome, starting a new cycle, this is a long catch-up. For example, a player can bet on the Colorado Avalanche to win NHL matches throughout the season - this is a long catch-up. Or bet on the victory of the same team for a limited time, until this bet still works.

Dogon or Martingale?

Almost all players invest in the concepts of "catching up" and "Martingale Strategy" identical meaning. These are actually almost identical concepts that work on the same principle. Dogon, in terms of professional players, this is one of the special cases of the Martingale strategy. In a number of sources, the Martingale is called "classic catch-up", from which some other strategies, including "soft catch-up", originated.

In Martingale, the odds must be 2.00 or higher, and the amount of the bet doubles after each win. In soft catch-up, bets are suitable for outcomes with various odds, including less than 2.00. To calculate the bet amount in soft catch-up, the following is used: following formula:

C \u003d (B + P) / (K - 1)

C - the amount to be placed on the next bet.

B - the planned amount of winnings.

P - the amount that the player lost on the previous bets of the cycle.

K is the outcome coefficient.

Let's say a player bets on an outcome with odds of 2.50. At the end of the cycle, he wants to win 200 rubles, before that he lost a total of 500. We substitute the values ​​​​into the formula:

C \u003d (200 + 500) / (2.50 - 1) \u003d 467 rubles - the amount that we need to put down. If we win, we get 1167 rubles. Subtract from this amount 500 rubles of previous rates, 467 rubles of the current rate and get 200 rubles of net profit, as planned, starting the cycle.

Soft catch-up in practice

Let's take for example a few matches with the participation of the Napoli team. We plan to win 500 rubles. For the purity of the experiment, we bet everywhere on a draw.

Bet 1. Draw in the match Napoli - Roma. Coefficient 3.00. We put 250 rubles. The bet was calculated according to the formula: (500 + 0) / (3.00 – 1) = 250. Loss.

Bet 2. Draw in the match Napoli - Bologna. Coefficient 2.50. We calculate the rate: (500 + 250) / (2.50 - 1) = 500 rubles. We bet on the outcome. Losing.

Bet 3. Draw in the match Fiorentina - Napoli. Coefficient 3.00. We calculate the rate: (500 + 250 + 500) / (3.00 - 1) = 625 rubles. Win.

The winning of the third bet at a coefficient of 3.00 amounted to 1875 rubles. In total, 250 + 500 + 625 = 1375 rubles were bet in three bets. Net profit amounted to 1875 - 1375 = 500 rubles.

Pros and cons of soft overtaking

The pros and cons for all strategies based on catch-up are the same. In theory, this win-win strategy: sooner or later any outcome will play, just according to the theory of probability. And with the very first bet won, the player can recover all the lost money and get the planned profit.

In practice, the cycle can be, if not infinite, then very long. At any moment, the selected team may start a series of victories or defeats, an important player may get injured or quarrel with the club's management. And somewhere by the sixth or eighth bet, it may turn out that you have nothing more to bet.

Choosing a bookmaker for catch-up

critical role There are three things at play in catch-up betting:

1. The reliability of the bookmaker. You must be sure that one day it will not disappear along with all your bets. Alternatively, you can bet at licensed bookmakers: if you win, you are guaranteed a payout.
2. High odds. The higher the odds, the less the amount of the next bet increases. On the one hand, this increases the risk of a particular bet. On the other hand, it reduces the financial risk for the bank.
3. High limits rates. If the bet maximums are small, you won’t be able to use catch-up at this bookmaker’s office. Here you can use other financial strategies- for example, flat, build accumulators and systems, but you cannot progressively increase the bet.

It is worth noting one more nuance: the use of soft catch-up, martingale and other similar strategies does not exclude the need to analyze each match. If a player bets on all outcomes in a row, not paying attention to opponents, and hoping only that someday the next bet will win, this Right way to bankruptcy.

"Dogon" - game strategy, at which the size of each subsequent bet depends on the result achieved by the previous bets. Each new rate should at least cover the loss of the previous bets of the same chain and bring profit from above.

Catching up is based on the system of playing in a casino with equal chances at odds of 2.0, known as the Martingale strategy.

How the catch-up strategy works

The game starts by choosing the amount nominal rate and selecting an event for catch-up. Further, after each loss, the player must increase the bet so that if he wins, he will recoup all past losses in this series and receive income.

With a catch-up coefficient of 2.0 (classic martingale) and the first bet amount of 10 units, the betting chain will look like this: 10→20→40→80→160→320→640→1280, etc. Subject to all conditions, the coefficient and the required amounts, the player's profit upon winning will be equal to the initial face value.

This chain of sums works at a coefficient of 2.0. It is most convenient to calculate the required amounts with various coefficients using the following formula:

S=X+Y/K-1

S - the amount of the required bet.

X - the amount of potential winnings from the first bet.

Y is the sum of all previous losses.

K - the coefficient of the upcoming event.

For example, we have the second iteration (i.e. the second bet after losing the first one). We placed the first bet in the amount of 10 units with a coefficient of 1.85. This means that we expected to win 8.5 units clean (X). The size of the loss at this stage is only 10 units (Y) (the first losing bet), the coefficient of the upcoming event, for example, is 1.7(K).

Let's put the numbers in the formula:

S = X+Y/K-1 = 8.5+10/1.7-1= 26.42 units That is, in order to fulfill all the conditions of expected profitability, 26.42 units are needed for the next bet.

Check: 26.42*1.7 = 44.92 units the bookmaker will pay out when you win the second bet. We subtract our costs from this amount (the size of the second rate itself, as well as the size of the first rate): 44.92 units. - 26.42 units. - 10 units = 8.5 units net profit, as originally planned.

As you can see, the formula gave us a clear amount to bet. Most importantly, don't forget to add up all losses (Y) to get the correct calculation.

After winning, the strategy provides for a return to the original nominal rate.

When is the catch-up strategy applied?

The most popular catch-up object is totals. Here we apply the principle of the casino even / odd or red / black, the only thing is that the coefficient is not always equal to 2.0.

Also, many fans of catch-up like to use large odds. The probability of passing a bet there is somewhat lower, but a high coefficient allows you to either claim a large profit, or apply a more sparing financial progression, extending the possibility of catching up for several iterations. Most often, a draw is “caught up”, bets on removals and penalties in football are also popular.

If we talk about sports, then most often catch-up is appropriate in football, if only because there are usually large limits that allow you to operate with the necessary financial space. American leagues and tennis are also popular. They practice catch-up against a particular favorite tennis player if they think that he should lose in the near future. High odds for such an outcome allow you to stay in the game for a long time, but in no way guarantee overall success.

Catching up can be used not only in betting on a specific team, athlete, tournament. You can “catch up” with your own failures, each time increasing the bet, based on the coefficient, until the series of defeats is interrupted. It is also possible to catch up with a capper or a public expert who gives forecasts if you think that you have enough information for this. You need to understand that, following the advice of even a strong capper, you can get into an unpleasant losing streak. Just look at their statistics, where for every thousand bets made, you can find at least one series of 8-10 losses, which can become critical for your bank.

Benefits of a catch-up strategy

Catching up is quite popular in the gaming environment, largely due to the fact that it allows you to count on the balance plus, even if there are more losing bets than winning bets. Indeed, if your series does not drag on and you manage to keep each new catch-up within 5-7 iterations, then your bank will grow.

Let's consider an example on real games.

Let's take Salavat Yulaev from the KHL at the beginning of the 2016/2017 season. The team after 5 games had 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from the giants CSKA and SKA. SU started a home four-match streak, from which it was worth expecting victories, at least one - that's enough to try to "catch up" from the first game.

On the 4th iteration, our bet won, and we received a payout of 183.89 units. We subtract all bet amounts (10+15.45+46.36+105.08) and get 7 units of net profit, which we expected to receive at the first bet. Thus, we managed to earn 3.8% of the turnover on this catch-up.

Cons of the catch-up strategy

It is important to understand that sooner or later you will get into a series that will require significantly more iterations than originally planned, which can lead to financial ruin.

Another disadvantage of the system is that if your chain of catch-up is delayed, then you are forced to operate large sums to win a small amount.

It is also worth considering the psychological component, when after each defeat you need to increase the bet and operate with decent funds. Your actions will be under pressure, and in such a situation it is easier to make a mistake.

1. unlimited supply of money from the player;

2. no limits for the bookmaker.

Practice shows that this is basically impossible, because such a strategy is fraught with enough risks.

Consider the example of the KHL from the beginning of the 2016/2017 season.

Severstal did some work on the transfer market during the off-season. It was quite reasonable to expect a decent start. It was possible to skip the opening game against Salavat Yulaev, which they lost, and start “catching up” with a series of home games - there were as many as five of them.

Five games have passed, 282.39 units have been invested, and the result has not been achieved. It was possible to stop and fix the loss, it was possible to continue until the winning one in order to recapture one's own. It would just take a long time to wait.

Only at the 11th iteration did Severstal achieve victory. This would require a bank of 2,730 units. It would be necessary to operate with such an amount for the sake of a net gain of 19 units.

This example is a clear explanation of the reason why bookmakers do not particularly discourage bettors from using the strategy of catching up by applying standard limits to leagues and sports.

Summary

Considering all of the above, we come to the conclusion that catch-up is a rather risky strategy that does not guarantee profit by default. It is most correct to consider catch-up as a tool in the game with a bookmaker with a clear limit on risks and funds.

Dogon - one of the most famous strategies, came to the world of bookmakers from casinos.

The meaning of the catch-up: in case of a loss, we increase the size of the next bet, and in case of a win, we get a profit and start a new cycle.

Hundreds of strategies based on this principle have been published online, but none of them work in such a way that you “sit down and go”. Judging by the reviews, any attempts to catch up with some event over a long distance lead to a drain on the bank. Let's understand all the nuances and subtleties of the game of this strategy.

The formula for calculating the amount of the bet

S = (X + Y) / (K - 1)

• S - bet amount;
• X - potential gain;
• Y - the sum of all losses;
• K - coefficient.

An example of a catch-up game

Consider the game of catch-up according to the above formula using an example. The size of our bank is 10,000 rubles, and the size of the initial bet and the desired winnings will be 100 rubles each. We are not going to use any additional strategies and will simply bet on the very likely events in our opinion:

1. Dynamo - Zenit // Zenit handicap (−1.5) coefficient 2.10 // bet 100 ₽ // lost;
   Next bet size = (100 + 100) / (2.25 − 1) = 160 ₽
2. Ufa - Amkar // both will score odds 2.15 // bet 160 ₽ // lost;
   Next bet size = (100 + 160 + 100) / (2.50 – 1) = 240 ₽
3. Rostov - Rubin // TB(2.5) coefficient 2.50 // bet 240r // won;
   On the third step, we won, and went up by 100 ₽.
   The cycle is over, you can start over.

Limits of bookmakers

The most ridiculous situation that can occur is that you will receive a message that the bet size exceeds the limit for this event.

It is necessary to clarify in advance what restrictions the bookmaker sets, and understand how they change: depending on the sport, the popularity of the championship / match, the start date of the event and the depth of the painting.

Understand what determines the liquidity of the market. Keep in mind that the bookmaker can limit the limits individually, and at the most inopportune moment.

Catching up strategists in live

Most often, limits are limited for bets in LIVE mode, although during the match the maximums are already low, and it is difficult to find interesting odds for the desired event. Bookmakers really do not like successful live players and in every possible way prevent them much more often than pre-match lovers.

In live, there may be unpleasant situations, for example, the bookmaker will stop accepting bets on the desired event or remove it from the line altogether.

Catch-up bets on high odds

There is an opinion that catch-up only works at high odds, and this is partly true. The fact is that low coefficients include b O Larger margins and they are less profitable, and often completely unprofitable.

Since the catch-up directly depends on the probability of the events used, the coefficients should not be less than the average. Recommended minimum 1.80

Soft catch-up

There is a soft catch. It was invented to find a compromise between catch-up and stability.

The idea of ​​the strategy is to break the bank not into one big catch-up, but into several small ones. If before the bank was enough, conditionally for 8 steps and after losing at the 8th step there was no money left on the account, then with a soft catch-up we stop at the 4th step and we are still in the game.

Soft catch-up does not cover maximum amount events, it is aimed at making a profit from short catch-ups that cover the lost ones. For an example of soft catch-up, see.