In search of an acceptable strategy: a large bet - a small odds. Bets on small odds: a drain strategy Are express bets profitable?

Hi all! Surely many of you are familiar with the financial strategy of sports betting called dynamic? (more about her). If so, then you probably know how scientifically (mathematical) the authors approach strategies... In today's article, we will talk about another very interesting strategy from the authors of Dynamic.

It will be about sports betting financial strategy called "Multiexpresses"!

Immediately make a reservation that on the official website this strategy costs a very impressive amount (10,000 rubles!). For you, we We will reveal the essence of the strategy absolutely free!

So, let's begin...

(All of the following is published according to the words of the author of the strategy and is not a statement by the administration of the site site)

Multiexpresses

This strategy is a combination of several game ways(schemes) and brings in practice at least 40% of the working bank per month when working out from 40 rates per month. The ability to play several parallel series increases the possibilities of the strategy in terms of profitability.

• Operating ratios: 1.6 - 3.0

The strategy is based on combining several events into groups of accumulators, the outcomes of which cover all the most probable outcomes of events and, in case of winning, bring more income than the usual setting of accumulators.

Any values ​​can be used as working coefficients, however, the meaning of the strategy, tied to real rates(and not just theory) is to work with events, the probability of winning for which bookmakers estimate at 30-70%. This range roughly corresponds to the level of coefficients from 1.6 to 3.0.

Like all other strategies that are in paid access, the Multiexpress strategy was tested for a long time in the period from September 2015 to January 2016. During the testing, 270 cycles of bets were made (we count one multiexpress of 2-4 events per cycle, more about the number of events below ). The rate of return was 52% of the amount of the working bank per month. As a secondary financial strategy, the Martingale system, laid down on three levels, was used. More than two levels during testing was not required.

How the strategy works

For a simpler understanding, let's take the simplest example with two events. Each of which has two possible outcomes. Here is an example of such two events: tennis, pre-match odds:

Events for multi-express...

For greater clarity, we took coefficients that are outside the recommended range. This will avoid possible confusion with rounding values. In practice, you can take such odds, but it is preferable to take those that are indicated in the description of the strategy, namely, 1.6 - 3.0.

Another significant advantage of the strategy is the ability to work with pre-match odds. That adds convenience of working out due to a sufficient supply of time.

The bookmaker offers the following pairs of odds:

• Event 1: 1.444 (Exodus 1A)/2.60 (Exodus 1B)
• Event 2: 1.48 (Exodus 2A)/2.55 (Exodus 2B)

Before proceeding to the algorithm of work on the Multiexpress strategy, let's carry out a mathematical assessment of the possible outcomes of these two events, as well as the probability of positive outcomes of all accumulators that can be made from them.

Mathematical justification of the strategy

We will evaluate using the table, remembering that the data are not true probabilities, but the assessment of the bookmaker, which does not play a significant role for us, since the assessment is carried out by the same office and at a distance of deviation from true values the probabilities will decrease.

So, the probabilities for each of the outcomes are:

• Outcome 1A, odds. 1.444 - 63.13% probability.
• Outcome 1B, odds. 2.60 - probability 34.97%.
• Exodus 2A, odds. 1.48 - probability 61.43%.
• Outcome 2B, odds. 2.55 - 35.65% chance.

Rounding and writing in mathematical form, we get the probabilities of 0.63; 0.35; 0.61 and 0.36 respectively.

Now let's calculate the probabilities of all possible accumulator bets that can be made. Here are the possible pairs of events:

• 1A-2A. Probability 0.63*0.61=0.38. Kef. Express = 2.14
• 1A-2B. Probability 0.63*0.36=0.23. Kef. Express = 3.68
• 1B-2A. Probability 0.35*0.61=0.21. Kef. Express = 3.85
• 1B-2B. Probability 0.35*0.36=0.13. Kef. Express = 6.63

Everything is natural. Accumulator according to the BC with the maximum odds has the minimum probability of entry. And vice versa.

These calculations will be useful to us a little further, and now we will draw your attention to the extremely important point, which has already been mentioned above: listed odds and probabilities are not true , but only a consequence of the assessment of the bookmaker's office. And, as practice confirms, the bookmaker does not always accurately evaluate upcoming events.

We will not dwell separately, but remember the principles of the work of a bookmaker, whose income is not based on the losses of the players, but on making a profit included in the margin. We also mention the factors of the movement of lines on the sizes of the coefficients. And we will make a natural and quite logical conclusion: the probabilities calculated earlier are appraisal, not real ones. Simply put, it cannot be argued that Express 1A-2A will definitely win, as the most likely. And vice versa - that any of the other three accumulators will not win.

Let's return to the algorithm of work according to the Multiexpress strategy.

It is necessary to put down three out of four accumulators received. While excluding most possible. That is, you need to put down the express:

• 1A-2B.
• 1B-2A.
• 1B-2B.

These parlays overlap all outcomes, except for the victory of both favorites.

Risky? By no means!

Very important disclaimer: it is important that the coefficients are in the range specified for the strategy. Since the deviation from the probability of 0.5 is closest when working with coefficients of 1.6 - 3.0.

Keeping three factors in mind:

1. The assessment of the bookmaker's office very often does not coincide with the real probability of the outcome of the event.
2. Events with an estimated probability close to 0.5 happen with a real probability of ~0.5.
3. Odds for more probable events are usually underestimated by bookmakers, and less probable, respectively, are often overestimated, which plays into our hands in our gaming model.

… it can be concluded that in practice it is very likely that one of the bets on the favorite does not enter, which is a winning factor for a player working with the Multiexpress strategy.

In some way, this accumulator is , although this definition is not entirely correct in the context of the strategy. Since the fork implies slightly different characteristics.

Here, we start from the fact that bets on a favorite outcome are often not taken.

Bet sizes

The bet amounts are easy to calculate. To facilitate the calculation process, we will round the obtained values. So, three bets on odds: 3.68 - 3.85 - 6.63. The bet amounts must be inversely proportional to the odds and directly proportional to their sum. In our case, this is $100 - $100 - $50. The amount of the working bank is $250. In case of winning any of the accumulators, the profit will be:

• 1A-2B. 3.68*$100 - $250 = $118
• 1B-2A. 3.85*$100 - $250 = $135
• 1B-2B. 6.63*$50 - $250 = $81

The bet amount for each accumulator bet can be calculated using the formula: BetX=X*(Kmax/Kx), Where X– base rate (it must be set, in the example it is $50), Kmax is the maximum of the bet odds, and Kh- coefficient of the accumulator bet of which we calculate.

Evaluation of the probability of winning and risk assessment

An amazing fact: betting on two favorites, the player has the risk of losing (in our example) 1-0.38=0.62. Recall that 0.38 is the calculated probability of winning an accumulator for the victory of two favorites. That is, betting on two favorites, the player is likely to lose! And the probability of winning will be more than 60%. No tricks, just math.

reinsurance

In case both favorites win, the player loses the working amount. By evaluating the probabilities of such outcomes, it is possible to build a fairly safe financial model, which reinsures the risks of losing. As already mentioned above, during the test period, the Martingale system was used as a secondary financial strategy (the same). We will not recommend its use as it contains a number of significant risks , to work with it, you need a stock of a working bank and a very strict preliminary calculation.

For those who will still reinsure multi-expresses with the Martingale strategy, we recall that real probability for the recommended coefficients is higher, since we took a larger spread in coefficients in the example. And it is usually at least 0.7.

The strategy also feels quite good when reinsured with the help of non-progressive financial strategies, for example, a percentage of the bank or a fixed profit.

Variability in the application of the strategy

In the example above, for simplicity, a pair of two-outcome events is taken. Which gives four options for the outcome with a fairly small probability of winning. Compared to what you can get if you use the Multiexpress strategy for three or more two-way events.

Please note that it is not possible to work with three-way events (for example, the 1-X-2 market). Since the rules of most bookmakers directly prohibit placing multiple bets on the same markets in opposite outcomes. Therefore, the strategy is applicable only in two-output markets. In addition to markets 12, these can be Tb2.5/Tm2.5; F1 (0)/2 and so on.

Using three or more events, the player significantly increases the chances of winning. In particular, subject to the recommended odds, the probability of winning for compiling parlays from:

• Two events - 68%
• Three events - 81%
• Four events - 90%

Where to work using the Multiexpress strategy?

Another strong advantage of the strategy is its versatility. You can work at any bookmakers, and work in the pre-match mode allows you to place bets slowly, which reduces the possibility of making a mistake or miscalculation.

Please note that some bookmakers offer odds other than single odds for accumulators. This is what Pinnacle does, for example - the odds for accumulators are lower than those for singles. That is why we recommend working with BC: 1XBet.

Express trains are highly desirable to spread across different betting shops.

That's the whole point of the "Multiexpress" betting strategy, voiced by the author...

For those who still want to download the text of this strategy for themselves, we provide you with such an opportunity:

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That's all!

Good luck bidding!

Betting on small odds is a live strategy that is not popular enough, but it is able to provide confident earnings in bookmakers. To achieve success, you need not to rush things and follow certain rules. Let's look at ways to make successful predictions with small odds.

Choosing competitions for a low odds strategy

This strategy for small odds requires careful selection sports matches based on odds and statistics. It is recommended to choose fights with odds of approximately 1.1 - 1.4, except for those matches in which you are sure of the result.

Examples of fights with small odds. In the match Georgia - Wales, the forecast for 12 has a coefficient of 1.37, and 2X - 1.23.

In the duel between the teams of Italy and Macedonia, P1 has a coefficient of 1.09, and 12 has a coefficient of 1.056.

It is worth being careful when the favorite plays away games. Some clubs at home play well and can even beat the leaders.

An important role in this strategy is given to the statistics of the results of past competitions and matches. When defined suitable events on the betting line and odds, it is necessary to carefully study the results of face-to-face meetings and statistics. It is important to consider how a certain club plays in a particular season at home and away. Face-to-face meetings will give detailed picture possible result if you use bets on low odds.

Determining the most likely outcome

When the analysis on the system of small coefficients is carried out, it is necessary to determine the most probable outcome to ensure the success of the forecast. Here you can study sports forecasts or use special services.

There are situations when it is quite difficult to predict the likely outcome. For example, when one team is at the top of the table, and the other is at the bottom, but last season the favorite lost on the road. A clear example is Leicester, who became the champion of England, and the following season they performed very unsuccessfully. Therefore, it is better to skip such events.

Types of bets with low odds

The strategy needs big stakes small coefficients. There are the following forecast options:

• Live bets. The low odds betting system for live requires special care. You need to predict in cases where you are sure that a certain club will win. The score should be noticeably outweighed to one side. To play according to the system with small odds table tennis does not fit. Hockey is also bad, as clubs often bounce back in the last seconds.
• Capital Management. It is important to pay attention to the results here. It is worth raising the level of the game when the better manages to double the bankroll. If a player has lost 50% of the bank amount, then, in accordance with the strategy, it is necessary to choose odds up to 1.3, and bet half of the remaining bankroll. The time to level up will depend on the activity of the better.

conclusions

If you manage to achieve a stable increase of 10-11%, you can start withdrawing money from the bookmaker. The main thing is not to be nervous and act in accordance with the rules. You need to be patient and restrained in order to earn. The success of this system depends on the skill and endurance of the better.

Everything that is written below applies only to bets on football, unless another sport is indicated.

I would like to try out a strategy that just recently came to mind. In short: football, total over 0.5 (odds 1.05 - 1.07), express of 3, maximum 5 events, bet from 50,000 rubles. Yes, it looks risky, you can lose a lot of money at once, and the potential gain is much less than the amount invested. But maybe there is still common sense in this strategy?

And now in order.

A little bit about yourself

Why I'm looking for a new strategy

Total over 0.5 and an attempt to justify the strategy

I don't care who wins and how many scores and concedes at the same time. Let the favorites lose or draw. The main thing is that there should be at least one single goal per match. There is no need to be an expert and have a good understanding of the sport. Yes, and I have already seen a lot of forecasts from experts. Like them, all of us, ordinary bettors, try to think logically before the match: we analyze the state of the teams, their latest results, we look, whether this is a home match for the team we bet on, or an away match, we evaluate the motivation of the teams ... And how many misses happen: anything can happen on the field that we could not predict before the match, using our logic: for example, 2 red cards for Roma against Porto on 23/08/16 and goodbye, favorite. And there are many such examples.

Big bet - small odds. Event Selection

If we put an express of 3 events with odds. 1.05, then at a bet of 50,000, the winnings will be 50,000 x 1.1576 = 57880. You need to win 6.3 bets to only double the amount of the original bet, i.e. win + 50 000 rub.

You can make an accumulator of 5 events, or choose events where the odds for the total are higher than 0.5, for example, 1.07-1.09. But the risk also increases accordingly.

Finally

Whether this strategy is good or bad, only time will tell. But I understood one thing for sure: if you really want to win something, then you need a lot of patience and ... a lot of money. With one thousand rubles for this purpose, there is nothing to do in the BC. And with two too. To win big (in the long run, a little bit each time), you need to risk a much larger amount.

As I said at the beginning, I am not an experienced player so don't judge too harshly. I just wanted to think about this strategy.

IN Lately more and more often banks are turning to collection companies to get debts out of citizens. It does not matter for what reason - a real loss of solvency or simply unwillingness to pay is driven by such people. But if banks and credit organizations "sell" your debt, you will have to communicate with collectors. And they, as you know, do not always act within the law. And more and more often citizens are faced with an organization called CreditExpress Finance. Do they need to pay? This question is asked by many. There are reasons for that. For example, this firm is very often encountered by citizens who, in principle, did not take loans or loans. At the same time, you will still receive payment notifications, warnings, and sometimes even threats. So how to be really?

Who are they

First of all, we need to find out with whom we will communicate in general. After all, this question is of interest to many. Especially those who did not take any loans or loans at all. This is a collection agency. "CreditExpress Finance" - collectors. There is nothing particularly suspicious in their activities. After all, everyone has long known what these companies are.

These organizations are engaged in "knocking out" debts from debtors. And if you suddenly receive a notification from such a company, it is usually customary to quickly pay off the debt. Otherwise, you can bring trouble on yourself. As already mentioned, collectors do not always act within the law. And this fact scares many people. But how are things going with CreditExpress Finance? Do they need to pay? Or is it possible to break the notice of payment altogether, as well as completely ignore this corporation? Both citizens who have encountered the organization and lawyers help answer these questions. It is worth listening to their advice.

Start

Where does it all begin? At first, the organization does not arouse any suspicion. Especially if you have a debt to a bank or credit institution. You will receive a letter in the mail. More precisely, a notice stating that the debt has been "sold" to a collection company called CreditExpress Finance. Do they need to be paid?

Here, many citizens do not even understand the issue. Moreover, the notification that came is so frightening and alarming that many simply look for receipts for payment, then transfer the money to the details specified in the payment. That is, they do not want to think about the issue of debt repayment. This is not entirely correct. After all, "CreditExpress Finance" causes huge controversy among both citizens and lawyers. This organization is not yet known to everyone. Therefore, you have to constantly think about whether you need to deposit money, according to the payment order. This is especially true for those who did not take loans at all and do not have any debts to the state. After all, not a single collection company just starts sending notifications and warnings. So something is wrong here. What is CreditExpress Finance really? Do they need to pay? Collectors often apply for an inventory of property. But usually they first "knock out" debts. This is what our current organization is trying to do.

Searching on the map

Well, let's try to figure out what's what. What is CreditExpress Finance really? Do they need to be paid, or is it better to ignore everything that is sent to you in the mail under any circumstances? Lawyers, and many users too, are advised to pay attention to several rather interesting moments who are able to give you an accurate answer regarding further contact with the organization. Which ones exactly?

Let's start with the fact that the first thing you have to do is find "CreditExpress Finance" on the map. You have the details, but the address of the company is not so easy to see. Moreover, if you try to find it on the map, then in reality you will not be able to find any collection agency. No, there is a legal address. And on interactive maps you can see it (in Moscow). But in practice, finding this collection agency will not work. Come to the specified coordinates, and there - nothing. Suspicious, isn't it? Therefore, not everyone inspires confidence in Credit Express Finance. Is it worth it to continue to pay, and indeed, to start doing it? Even assuming that the firm simply moved and did not update the current information about its location, there are a few more interesting and suspicious points to pay attention to.

Website

Special attention should be paid official page collection company. It's no secret that now with the help of the Internet you can find out everything about a particular organization. Moreover, lies and deceit are often revealed. And even the dishonesty of the company. The official page of the corporation helps to decide.

Look at the address "CreditExpress Finance". Do they need to pay? Debt repayment is a mandatory process, but only when it comes to a proven and reliable organization. And if we consider that often our today's company begins to disturb citizens without debts, then we will have to carefully study all its components. She is behaving very suspiciously.

The official site, frankly, does not inspire confidence. In particular, if you look at the date the hosting was created. "CreditExpress Finance" is a collection agency that has already for a long time"lives" in the world (as they say themselves), and the page was created in 2005. Disorder. Too suspicious a moment that is often overlooked. Lawyers and users are advised to think about why the organization itself has existed since 2012 (according to registration information), and its website appeared, as it turns out, long before its own formation. This is very suspicious. Moreover, in practice, this kind of phenomenon did not occur in principle. Well, how can an official virtual representation appear before the organization?

If we talk about how the site looks externally, you can generally safely close the page and throw away the payment. The official page is something like the simplest template on free hosting. And this is all at CreditExpress Finance. Do they need to pay? Let's understand further. What else can you pay attention to in order to be convinced of deceit or good faith? So far, everything points to the first scenario.

Contacts

For example, contacts. Speech goes already far from the address of the company. Okay, we did not find it on the map, or rather, in the city. This also happens, although it is an extremely rare occurrence. Nevertheless, on the official website of CreditExpress Finance (do they need to pay?), Contacts are still given for communication. Moreover, on the right side of the screen you can see the form of a conversation with a consultant. And in the "Contacts" section there is a form feedback, which should help the communication of clients / debtors with the organization.

In principle, there is nothing suspicious here. Just try to contact the company using the suggested phone numbers - this will not work. How can you communicate with "CreditExpress Finance"? Do they need to pay? The contacts listed on the official page (phone numbers and addresses exactly), as practice shows, are lies and deceit. But according to e-mail, feedback form or using a virtual dialogue from the site - easily. So, while there is every reason to believe that we are not the most conscientious organization. So, at least there is no need to rush to pay off the debt to her. Otherwise, you can be left without money, and with certain consequences. What are the other points to focus on?

payment

For example, take a look at the receipt sent to you. It, as a rule, raises doubts and suspicions among many citizens. Indeed, often here you can find some non-standard data that collectors usually do not have. After all, banks simply provide them with some information about you, and also transfer the right to "knock out" the debt. And no more.

How are things with an organization called "CreditExpress Finance"? Do they need to pay? Do the data in the payment documents match? Usually it is in receipts and notifications that you can see information that no one else can know. And even more so, such data is not indicated in the actual payment.

About what in question? The point is that "CreditExpress Finance" knows exactly your initials, place of work, activity and address. And most of the time, they tell you directly about it. Pretty suspicious. After all, not a single payment document will contain information about your work, for example. So there are suspicions.

Nevertheless, at the same time with this fact, we can say that all information about the debtor is transferred by the bank. This means that the address, and the place of work, and your initials will be known to the collectors. They must understand who they are dealing with. Lawyers and citizens assure us that if we are faced with fraud and scammers, we should not be surprised that the personal data in the payment card coincides with yours. After all, there are so-called "information databases" in which all the moments of interest to scammers are collected. Such documents are bought on black markets, then used for their own selfish purposes.

Didn't match

Have you met CreditExpress Finance? Do they need to pay? Did collectors send an inventory or a payment order to "knock out" a debt? Then you should pay attention to another rather interesting, sometimes even funny, moment. He will quickly point out that we have the real scammers in front of us.

What is it about? Often, citizens do not actually live where they are registered. This is normal, but when applying for a loan or a loan, you will have to indicate exactly your registration. And the actual place of residence, though required, but rarely. "CreditExpress Finance" very often sends payments and other notifications with a request to pay the debt and interest on loans / loans specifically to the owner of the home. That is, no one took anything, and the receipt contains information not about the tenants of the apartment. This - direct indication to deception. After all, banks will take care in advance that all payment documents come from them in the name of the real debtor, who lives (actually) at the specified address. This also applies to collection companies.

When paid

Well, let's assume that you have already paid off the debt "CreditExpress Finance". Do they need to pay interest? If we consider this organization as a real one, then yes. But citizens and lawyers are advised to refrain from instant payment.

What if you have already transferred money to the account? For example, you paid off your debt in full. Save the payment document, it may still be useful to you. Why? Often, even after payment, "CreditExpress Finance" will bother you. Inventories, notifications, payments, warnings, calls with threats and reminders - all this will become part of your life. It doesn't matter if you are in debt or not. The organization will still by all means remind of its existence and "knock out" debts, even non-existent ones.

So keep in mind: paying by receipt does not give you any guarantees. As many users note, after the first payment, the CreditExpress Finance collectors will start to bother you. Do they need to pay? Paying off debt is, of course, important. But if you have already transferred the money, you can try to send the organization a copy with a check. Not the fact that you will be left behind. But they will still "knock out" the debt, no matter how hard you try to hide. So lawyers are still advised to ignore inventories and notifications from this organization.

Studying the text

Among other things, pay attention to those letters that come to you from the collection company "CreditExpress Finance". Do they need to pay? It is clearly not worth reacting to the inventory with panic. Even if all of the above did not cause you any suspicion of the organization's dishonesty, look at what exactly is sent to you by mail.

You may notice that the text of messages and letters is usually filled with a variety of threats and intimidation. That is, the collection company openly literally extorts money from you. Even if, in principle, you have no debt. Collectors, of course, threaten their debtors, but not immediately. And not openly through letters. This is usually done in such a way that it is difficult or impossible in principle to prove the threats. Only scammers will openly advertise their "plans". After all, their main task is to intimidate a citizen so that he simply pays his "debt". That is, "CreditExpress Finance" (do they need to pay? The terms are indicated as the shortest, sometimes requiring a quick resolution of the issue) pursues only the receipt of money from the debtor. It doesn't matter in what ways, it doesn't matter from whom. A conscientious collection company will never openly advertise its actions, let alone threaten in a written, documented form. It's like digging your own grave with my own hands. After all, the debtor has every right to go to court with a complaint against the actions of the organization.

scammers

What do we get in the end? To be honest, "CreditExpress Finance" is the most common deception. Recently, the pseudo-activities of collection companies began to develop at a tremendous speed. So, in the world appeared the new kind fraud, which most often ends in success for the "villain" and losses for the victim.

So, if you are thinking about whether you need to pay CreditExpress Finance and generally contact this company, you can only say one thing - no. Just ignore the company and its threatening bills. All this is a clever and modern fraudulent device. In general, in order to find out exactly about the debt and communication with collectors, you can always call the bank and find out if your delay was transferred to a collection company. And if so, which one. The banking organization is obliged to provide you with this data. This is how easy and simple it is to check the integrity of the collectors. The main thing - do not panic if you see a payment from CreditExpress Finance. A clever deceit that does not need to be reacted to in any way - this is advice that is often given by both lawyers and ordinary citizens. Have you met with CreditExpress Finance? Do they need to pay? Just ignore the details and letters from this organization. These are scammers!

So, in the previous article we looked at “How to make money on bets at bookmakers”, today we’ll talk about game tactics so as not to go into the red with bookmakers. The conversation will be about the type of bet on parlays, with small odds. To make this type of bet, you need to understand what express bets are.

Express- this is a type of bet on several outcomes different events. By choosing small odds, you can significantly increase the final odds, which will definitely pass, because the probability of passing small bets is very high. Remember: all the low odds you choose are multiplied together, giving us a decent odd at the end. The sport can be different, the bets are also different, let it be TM or TB, for a win, for the number of, for example, cards or corners. Less words, everything is shown in the photo below, an example of express.

The advantage of express bets is to increase the odds due to passing matches. Consider how I played and won decent money by analyzing such games. I played on the fact that there is a low probability of the outcome of a match in football with a zero score and decided to play on it. Nobody limits you in choosing other types of bets, where you understand more. When placing bets on various outcomes of games, always analyze and check the lineups of teams, the availability of cards, etc. This method will greatly increase your chances of luck, do not point your finger at the sky without analyzing past games and looking at the team line-up! Earn money betting at bookmakers you can, you just need a little patience, the ability to think and calculate the outcome of the match.

If you want to further increase your chances of winning, then I recommend that you combine express + catch-up, your chances of winning will increase several times. ABOUT