Strategy for football tb 0.5. Total betting strategy

Total over 0.5 in football.
A betting system that allows you to get a significant amount of profit without exposing your bankroll to risk. As the title makes clear, we will bet on over 0.5 goals in the match. This means that we bet that at least one goal will be scored by any team. Only result 0-0 break our chain of victories. If you choose matches carefully, you can easily achieve a chain of 30-60 wins.

This is what we are striving for.
The system is progressive. This means that for each next match we bet everything that we won in the previous one. We repeat this until it seems to us that it is time to stop.
The system is good for use on betfair, on inplay markets (in play)- that is, during the game.
To use it, trading skills or any additional knowledge on the Betfair exchange are not required. The ability to make a simple ordinary bet will be enough. The reason Betfair fits is high ratio(higher than bookmakers) and great liquidity in almost all matches.

First

First, decide on the size of the bet. You don't need huge sums. 2 or 10 dollars will be enough.

Second

Find a game where you think at least one goal will be scored. If you are not an expert in football, you can use the predictions of others.

Third

Select the market "total over 0.5 goals"

In the picture above, our case is highlighted in yellow - "one goal or more in a match"
Do not place a bet before the game! Wait for the match to start. This system works during the match. We will place a bet as soon as the odds increase slightly.

Several options for entering the game:
- if you are aiming for a quick goal, then place a bet immediately after the start of the game.
Tip: the coefficient for the bet must be at least 1.11 ! Don't bet on odds below this. If an early goal was scored before the odds became acceptable, it's a pity. Switch to the next match. Don't forget that Betfair takes commissions. 5% from your profit, so wait for the coefficient at least 1.11 .
- you can wait 30 minutes as most goals are scored after this time mark. By this time, the coefficient will increase enough.
-You can choose not to bet in the first half and bet in the second. The rate will be higher 1.2 which will increase the gain.
You decide what is most convenient for you!

Let's see how much we can win with this system with a $10 bet.
If you bet with an average odd of 1.10, then 30 consecutive wins will give you
$10 x 17 = $170!
If you bet with an average odd of 1.20, then 30 consecutive wins will give you
10$ x 237 = 2.370$!
As you can see, the system is worthy of attention!

What does the total mean in sports betting, in particular football, I want to understand every novice bettor. After all, these options can significantly increase the odds of the bet and increase the winnings.

Total (Total is a bettor's bet on the number of goals expected to be scored.. Such a bet is made in relation to the fixed result offered by the bookmaker. Better chooses a value greater or less than the proposed one. There are several typesTotal:

  • Match results.
  • According to the results of the half or period (Total for the first and second, or only for one of them).
  • The individual total of a certain player (team) - for his goals, yellow / red cards, etc. It is designated as iTB, iTM.

What is the match total - this is the total number of all goals scored during the competition. Moreover, the goal of both opponents is considered, and the outcome of the match (who won) is not taken into account.

The total of a half or period implies that the counting of events will be carried out within the framework of not the entire match, but a certain segment (half or period).

What is an individual total in bets - these are the achievements of one, usually a rated player, for example, scorer. Sometimes they bet not on achievements, but, on the contrary, on failures (the number of goals conceded, etc.). Also, the individual total is over or under 1; 2; 3 etc. may not be related to the athlete, but to the achievements of the team.

What is total over (TB) and total under (TM)

By betting onTotal, the better does not indicate the estimated number of goals, but only chooses more or less. Therefore, totals are classified into:

  • The total is more than the bookmaker offers - the symbolic value of TB.
  • The total is less than the bookmaker offers - the symbolic value of TM.

In the lines of bookmakers you can often find an offer to bet on total over 0.5; 1; 1.5; 2; 2.5; 3; 3.5; 4; 4.5; 5 etc. – what does it mean in football betting? It is important to understand that fractional totals(1.5) differ from solid ones (2). For example, a fractional Total greater than 2.5, if you bet on it, will only go in a situation in which the result of the competition is at least three goals. In case there are 0 goals; 1 or 2 - the bet will not go in.

And in the case of a solid TO 2, with a result of goals for the match 2, there will be a refund of the bet. Wanting to bet more on Total, the player chooses from the range of values ​​(from TB 0.5 to TB 6) provided by the bookmaker for this event. Bet onTotal greater than 0.5 means that the number of goals can be any, the main thing is that there is no draw.

Total less than 0.5; 1; 1.5; 2; 2.5; 3; 3.5; 4; 4.5; 5; 5.5; 6 goals in sports betting, including football - what does it mean? IN this case, as with TB, you need to choose one of the options offered by the bookmaker. For example, in a match between Dynamo and Vorskla, BC offers bets on Total less than 0.5; 2; 3.5. Better is sure that the teams' motivation is low and they will play sluggishly. Therefore, he bets on Total less than 0.5 or 2. In the case of Under 2, the match must end with the results 1-0, 0-1, 0-0. If the bet TM is 0.5, then it will go in only in case of a draw.

Asian total in bets - what is it

The classic total multiple of 0.5 (this is 0.5; 1; 1.5; 2; 3.5, etc.) is, in principle, everything that is described above. There is also Total, a multiple of an integer - 1; 2; 3.

In football, forecasts can also be made for the Asian total, which is more "sensitive" than 0.5 or 1, since it is a multiple of 0.25. What does this option give the better? All the same safety net, as in the bet on a double outcome. After all, the Asian total involves a combo bet on 2 adjacent TB or TM (0.75; 1.75; 2.75, etc.). For example, we chose the TB rate of 2.25 and bet 100 rubles on it. In such a situation, the following results are possible:

  • The better receives all winnings if 3 goals or more are scored.
  • If 1 goal is scored during the match, the bet is not successful and the money is lost.
  • If 2 goals are scored, the better receives a refund of half the bet (50 rubles). This is due to the peculiarities of the Asian total, because it is decomposed into two bets, a multiple of 0.5, located next to each other (TB 2 and 2.5). And the wagered money is also distributed equally between two adjacent bets.

The advantages of such a bet are manifested in situations where the bettor needs to make the most flexible and less risky prediction, depending on the characteristics of a sporting event. Total with a multiplicity of 0.25 increases the chances of a bet to enter, and reduces the likelihood of losing or returning a bet.

What is a three-way total (including corners) in bets

What does a three-way total mean in betting - this is the total of the match, which consists of three options - TB, TM or “equal to a certain value”. This type of bet is quite difficult to predict, so the odds here are higher than usual.

There is also such an option as an individual three-way total 1 (teams 1) or an individual three-way total 2 (teams 2). Here the goals are counted not by both teams, but by one specific one. And then choose greater than, less than or equal to.

What is an individual three-way total on corners - this is the same as betting on an individual total of a match (player or team) on corners. Only quotes in this case are higher, in particular, if the better chooses the option “equal to a certain exact number of goals”.

Everything that is written below applies only to bets on football, unless another sport is indicated.

I would like to try out a strategy that just recently came to mind. In short: football, total over 0.5 (odds 1.05 - 1.07), express of 3, maximum 5 events, bet from 50,000 rubles. Yes, it looks risky, you can lose a lot of money at once, and the potential gain is much less than the amount invested. But maybe there is still common sense in this strategy?

And now in order.

A little bit about yourself

I always wanted to bet less and win more. I am not an expert in sports (I can’t make out a football match according to tactical and technical actions a la Bubnov). I don't consider myself an experienced bettor either. - I mainly place bets during major events: World Cup, European Football Championship, etc. I used to bet on wins, non-losses, totals 2.5 over/under, odds. I never bet on statistics (corners, cards) - not mine. I use only express, I do not install systems. Actively put on the last European Championship 2016. I made about 15 bets, every 3rd one was winning, but only 3000 rubles in profit. for the whole championship! This is very little!

Why I'm looking for a new strategy

Tired of betting on the results of matches (winning, not losing). The sport is too unpredictable. Favorites often draw or lose to not the strongest teams, and in a dispute between 2 approximately equal teams, the outcome is very difficult to predict. I started trying to bet on totals, betting on under 3.5 or even under 4.5. But, it happens that contrary to all forecasts, teams can break through, and they will chop a bunch of heads at each other.

Total over 0.5 and an attempt to justify the strategy

Yes, there is such a rate, although I had not noticed it before. The coefficient is very small, depending on the class of teams: maybe 1.05, maybe 1.1. coming from the simplest, banal logic: the goal of each team is to score a goal against the opponent, which they try to do within 90 minutes. As a rule, this is obtained by either one or both teams. The result 0-0 occurs, but very, very rarely. This is the only danger to our strategy that we must try to avoid.

I don't care who wins and how many scores and concedes at the same time. Let the favorites lose or draw. The main thing is that there should be at least one single goal per match. There is no need to be an expert and have a good understanding of the sport. Yes, and I have already seen a lot of forecasts from experts. Like them, all of us, ordinary bettors, try to think logically before the match: we analyze the state of the teams, their latest results, we look, whether this is a home match for the team we bet on, or an away match, we evaluate the motivation of the teams ... And how many misses happen: anything can happen on the field that we could not predict before the match, using our logic: for example, 2 red cards for Roma against Porto on 23/08/16 and goodbye, favorite. And there are many such examples.

Big bet - small odds. Event Selection

Because odds on total over 0.5 tend to zero (or rather to one), then in order to win something, you need to risk more, much more larger amount than most of us are used to. The list of events is also limited: if Barcelona or Manchester City is playing, then there is no such bet at all, and the line starts with a total of 1.5. If there are very chronic middles with a weak attack, then the danger of a 0-0 result increases (together with a coefficient that can reach 1.1.). And if, say, Arsenal, or any other team "with a name" plays with some middle peasant, then the coefficient on the total is higher, 0.5 will be 1.05 - 1.06.

If we put an express of 3 events with odds. 1.05, then at a bet of 50,000, the winnings will be 50,000 x 1.1576 = 57880. You need to win 6.3 bets to only double the amount of the original bet, i.e. win + 50 000 rub.

You can make an accumulator of 5 events, or choose events where the odds for the total are higher than 0.5, for example, 1.07-1.09. But the risk also increases accordingly.

Finally

The quieter you go, the further you'll get. Greed and the desire for quick profit - best qualities that bookmakers would like to see in their clients. I think for such a strategy you need to have a bank somewhere in the 200,000 - 500,000 rubles. And nerves of steel. I expect that with accumulators of 3 events (with their careful selection), winnings will happen often, very often, which will block possible losses. You can bet 2 times a week: choose events from each game day major European championships.

Whether this strategy is good or bad, only time will tell. But I understood one thing for sure: if you really want to win something, then you need a lot of patience and ... a lot of money. With one thousand rubles for this purpose, there is nothing to do in the BC. And with two too. To win big (in the long run, a little bit each time), you need to risk a much larger amount.

As I said at the beginning, I am not an experienced player so don't judge too harshly. I just wanted to think about this strategy.

Most of the players avoid the Bolivian Football Championship, considering the tournament to be a true "black forest". In fact, it is not so difficult to understand the ups and downs of this exotic tournament, it is only important to know what and from whom you can expect. This material will help in in general terms understand the features of the championship and give an idea of ​​the key confrontations, principal rivals.

General information about the championship

The tournament started in 1914, but at that time the championship was played among teams from one city - La Paz. Over time, the tournament evolved and united more and more clubs, thus by 1958 the first unified championship of Bolivia was formed. It is believed that full-fledged championships began to be held only in 1977, but clubs have counted the number of their titles since 1958.

Currently, the tournament is held according to the standard South American system in two stages - Apertura and Clausura. The full name of the championship is Liga de Fútbol Profesional Boliviano.

Brief historical statistics:

  • First Champion - "Jorge Wilstermann" (1958)
  • The first champion in the framework of a full-fledged championship - "Strongest" (1977)
  • Most titled club "Bolivar"(25 trophies)

Number of trophies held by other clubs:

  • "Strongest" - 14
  • "Jorge Wilstermann" -11
  • "Oriente Petrolero" - 5
  • "Blooming" - 5

Principal confrontations

Derby in South America somewhat different from standard European ones, where in most cases passions boil, and rivals try to win at any cost. In most national championships of the Continent the largest number teams represent the capital or big cities. Bolivia in this case is no exception, the championship is represented by seven cities. List of participants by city:

  1. La Paz (pop. 887,000)
  • "Bolivar"
  • "Strongest"

The two most titled teams in Bolivia represent, oddly enough, one city. This confrontation is considered one of the most fundamental in the country, the heat of passion in these matches would be the envy of many derbies in Europe.

  1. Santa Cruz de la Sierra (pop. 1,600,000)
  • "Blooming"
  • "Oriente Petrolero"
  • "Sport Boys Warns"
  • "Destroyers"
  • "Royal Paris"

The main derby of the city is the confrontation between Blooming and Oriente Petrolero. The two clubs have 10 Bolivian league titles, this opposition can be put in second place after the La Paz derby.

  1. Cachabamba (pop. 896,000)
  • "Jorge Wilstermann"
  • "Aurora"

The Derby of Kachabmaba cannot be called overly principled - over the past six years, Aurora has only managed to defeat its more status and titled opponent once.

  1. Potosi (pop. 160,000)
  • "Real Potosi"
  • "Nacional Potosi"

Derby Potosi can be called relatively young - Nacional debuted in the elite only in 2009. "Real Potosi" is the main team of the city - "Imperial Lion" in its history has the title of champion, as well as international achievements. The main attraction of this derby is the Real Madrid stadium - Victor Agustin Ugarte, which is located at an altitude of 4000 meters above sea level, which makes it the highest stadium in the world.

  1. Oruro (pop. 210,000)
  • "San Jose Oruro"
  1. Sucre (pop. 295,000)
  • "Universitario Sucre"

The city is represented in the elite of Bolivian football by one club, but the traditional rival of Universitario Sucre is Real Potosi, as it happened historically. The confrontations of these teams very often become a real decoration of the tournament, for example, matches in 2018:

03/12/18 Universitario Sucre - Real Potosi: 3:1

02/01/18 Real Potosi - Universitario Sucre: 4:4

  1. Montero (pop. 87,000)
  • "Guabira"

The strength of Bolivian football in 2018

The specifics of the tournament are as follows - practically the three strongest clubs in the country are indisputably in the lead - Bolivar, Strongest and Jorge Wilstermann.

After 9 rounds played in Group A, the leader is Jorge Wilstermann. Group B - "Strongest". Bolivar lost a few points in the tournament and is still behind the leaders, but we can say with full confidence that Dean will still make up for it. "Strongest" is pressing from below "Blooming", which is also not surprising - "Millionaires" traditionally claim the highest places. List of champions of the last 5 years:

  • Clausura and Apertura - "Strongest"
  • Clausura - "Bolivar", Apertura - "Strongest"
  • Clausura - "Universitario Sucre", Apertura - "Bolivar"
  • Clausura - "Bolivar", Apertura - "Sport Boys"
  • Clausura - "Jorge Wilstermann", Apertura - "Strongest"
  • Clausura and Apertura - "Bolivar"

As can be seen from the list, the giants rarely give any of the opponents the opportunity to fly up to the podium. However, when this happens, bookmakers do not believe in the success of an outsider to the last and put up very tasty odds, but in this moment no such trend is foreseen.

dark horses

Before the start of the tournament, almost any team can be included in the list of clubs that can surprise you, this is already the Bolivian championship. In 2018, there are several clubs that surprise in a good way:

  1. "Destroyers"


The debutant of the current Apertura was able to climb up to the fourth position, gaining 10 points in nine matches. Until the ninth round, the team of Jose Peña had a series of five matches without defeat, but interrupted it with a home defeat from Jorge Wilstermann. In this championship Los Canarios produced some amazing matches:

  • 03.18 Oriente Petrolero - Destroyers: 4:4
  • 02.18 Destroyers - Bolívar: 2:2
  • 02.18 Destroyers - Oriente Petrolero: 3:1

Taking away points in this way from Bolivar and the strong Oriente Petrolero can be far for every club in the league, and given the fact that the Detroyers are newcomers to the tournament, this achievement can be considered complete success. It is noteworthy that the bookmakers gave odds of 4.75 for the victory of Los Canarios against Oriente Petrolero.

  1. "San Jose Oruro"

Of course, the Saints cannot be called a club from which no one expects victories, but last success The team has been doing this for over 10 years. Eduardo Villegas' San Jose Oruro is currently third in Group B, just three points behind the Strongest. The Saints have already taken points from the Strongest twice this season, which not every team succeeds.

Weak spots

In almost every South American championship, there is such a tendency - before and during the start of the Libertadores Cup or the South American Cup, the giants often "drain" the matches of the national championships. Bolivia is no exception, even more so - on the eve of international fights, mentors can even put up youth for the championship match. Such a rotation, of course, affects the odds, but nevertheless, the bookmaker does not give odds below 3.00 for the opponent of Bolivar or Strongest. A prime example of this:

  • 03.18 Jorge Wilstermann - Bolívar: 4:2

On March 15, Bolivar has a game in the Copa Libertadores with Colo Colo, respectively, for the match on March 11, Vincius Eutropio exposes youth. Bookmakers, of course, had time to react at the last moment to such a coaching “feint”, but 6-8 days before the match, the same “sweet” three was offered.

List of participants in continental club tournaments from Bolivia for the player to note:

  • Bolivar (Copa Libertadores)
  • Strongest (Copa Libertadores)
  • Guabira (South American Cup)
  • "Blooming" (South American Cup)
  • "Nacional Potosi" (South American Cup)

Ideal option for betting on "total over"

The Bolivian Championship is one of the highest scoring tournaments in South America. Results like 0-0 or 1:0 are almost never found here. This applies not only to matches where leaders take part, even an avid outsider scores 4-5 goals per match several times a season. The odds bookmaker on the outcome of overtime (2.5) gives an average of 1.65, but the option with overtime (3) will already bring a solid increase in the form of 1.95 per match. Confirmation in numbers (average number of goals per match in 2018):

  • 1 round - 4.16 goals per match
  • Round 2 - 4 goals per match
  • Round 3 - 3 goals per match
  • Round 4 - 2.1 goals per match
  • Round 5 - 3.71 goals per match
  • Round 6 - 3 goals per match
  • Round 7 - 2.2 goals per match
  • Round 8 - 4 goals per match
  • Round 9 - 2.42 goals per match

By simple calculations, you can deduce the average total of one game in the Bolivian championship - 3.16 goals. With an average coefficient per TB (3) of 1.95, one will be surprised at the final profit.

Most scoring teams:

  • Jorge Wilstermann - 2.22 goals per game
  • Bolívar - 2.11 goals per match
  • Real Potosi - 2.11 goals per game
  • Oriente Petrolero - 2.00 goals per game

Most skipping teams:

  • Real Potosi - 3.22 goals per game
  • Destroyers - 2.22 goals per game
  • Oriente Petrolero - 1.78 goals per match
  • Guabira - 1.78 goals per game

conclusions

The Bolivian championship is ideal for players who prefer to bet on the "top" of the total. It is not uncommon in Apertura to score 4:4 or 6:3, such results can be seen in almost every round. It is not surprising that performance records in international club tournaments were recorded in those matches where teams from Bolivia participated. It is necessary to choose based on the tables above. Particular attention can be focused on the matches of principal rivals, or in the derbies described in this material. Also, do not forget about the matches preceding international tournaments - in them very often the giants put up not just a reserve, but youth squads.

TB 0.5- one of the most risk-free bets on football. IN football match teams leave the field without scoring goals not so often, and for a better to win, one goal in any goal is enough. In addition, the bet on the total over 0.5 is found in other sports in different interpretations.

Calculation of the bet total over 0.5

If at least one goal was scored in the match, the player receives a win. In the same way, the bet is calculated if two, three or more goals were scored in the match - this type of bet should not be confused with a bet on the exact number of goals.

The only possible case of losing the bet TB 0.5 is complete absence performance in the selected outcome:

  • final score 0:0;
  • 0 yellow cards;
  • zero offsides;
  • lack of aces, break points;
  • 0 removals.

Bet on TB 0.5 in other sports

In hockey, the procedure for calculating the bet is no different from football, with the only difference being that goals are taken into account instead of goals scored.

In tennis, the total bet over 0.5 is used less frequently and is more common in the list of statistical indicators:

  • the number of double faults or aces;
  • number of set points or match points
  • the number of sets won by one player.

The above options for betting on total over 0.5 will lose only if at least one effective action is missing at the specified rate.

An example of calculating the bet "total over 0.5"

The match between Lazio and Inter ended with the score 2:3. On TB 0.5, the bookmaker offered odds of 1.05. With a bet of 1000 rubles, the player's winnings will be 50 rubles. If the match ended with a score of 0:0, the bet would be lost.

Another good example: match Rafael Nadal - Alexander Zverev. Set score - 2:1, aces - 0:2, double faults - 1:1, number of match points played - 0:1.

Played bets: TO 0.5 aces and double faults, TO 0.5 played match points, TO 0.5 sets won by Zverev.

In sports such as basketball, handball, baseball and American football, the bet on over 0.5 is not offered due to the high performance in matches.