The best betting strategies. Sports betting strategies

Are there win-win sports betting strategies? How to choose a profitable betting strategy with minimal risk? Where to apply the sports betting financial strategy?

HeatherBober magazine welcomes its readers! Denis Kuderin is in touch.

We continue the theme of a profitable game in bookmakers. In a new article, we will talk about betting strategies. Those who have read to the end will understand one important thing - no matter how attractive strategies are in theory, the main indicator of their success is evaluated only by practice.

Thoughtlessly copying other people's recipes is unreasonable and impractical. The purpose of the publication is to teach players to live their minds, consistently and measuredly moving towards their cherished goal.

And the most patient readers are waiting for advice on how to make the strategy game as safe and profitable as possible.

1. Should You Use Sports Betting Strategies?

Everyone who bets on sports has their own strategy. Even if the player does not try to formulate it or somehow define it, it is still there. Any handicapper (professional bettor in a bookmaker's office) makes bets based on past experience. That is, he does not bet thoughtlessly, but in accordance with his ideas about a competent game.

There are, of course, weirdos who bet for the sake of a bet. It does not matter to them whether their bet loses or wins, they are interested in the process itself. I hope there are no gamblers (addicted to the game) among our readers. reasonable people bet not for the sake of the game, but for the sake of earning.

It is from this point of view that we will consider betting strategies. When the task of a handicapper is not to guess the outcome of a particular sporting event, but to make a profitable investment, the very approach to betting changes. It becomes more thoughtful, sober and efficient.

So to begin with, it is worth getting rid of the main illusion. Remember, there is no one-size-fits-all game strategy that will make you a super-successful handicapper. Especially dangerous are progressive strategies and those that are on everyone's lips.

How to be? Live with your mind. Only those handicappers who, through trial and error, come to create their own author's methods, end up in the black.

But this does not mean that all existing popular strategies are slag. They must be studied, tested and, if necessary, used. If only because some of them help to understand the mathematical laws of betting (betting business) and develop their own unique methods based on them.

Fast passage

As soon as beginners get a little familiar with the world of betting, their attention is drawn to a variety of tactics and game systems developed by professionals. One of the first such ways to correctly distribute the bankroll, novice bettors try the d'Alembert strategy. It bears the name of its creator, the great French mathematician and physicist.

Principles and rules of the d'Alembert strategy

The system of an outstanding scientist is a complicated version of Dogon based on algebraic progression. The player is invited to choose a certain fixed amount himself and designate it as a unit. This figure will become the first bet, as well as the step size. In case of loss, the next amount must be increased by this unit and so on, until you win. After winning, the amount of the bet must be reduced by the same amount of the original bet. Events, it is desirable to choose with coefficients of 3 - 4. The larger the odds, the more steps can be done to the bitter end. Let's consider the d'Alembert strategy in more detail using an example.

In the framework of the prestigious tennis tournament, two famous athletes Rafael Nadal, representing Spain, and Serb Novak Djokovic meet. We will bet on a break in each game for a factor of 3.5. Let's take the amount of 100 rubles for a fixed unit and make the first bet:

Net profit was: 1050 + 1400 - (100 + 200 + 300 + 200 + 300 + 400) = 950 rubles.

Best of all for d'Alembert's strategy are drawn outcomes and bets on taking someone else's serve.

Counter-d'Alembert system

Starting to place bets, each privateer thinks about the plan that he will follow during the conclusion of transactions. When choosing several sports for analysis, it should be remembered that the strategies of the game will vary. On the basis of the famous d'Alembert system, the reverse tactics of the game were invented. Its differences from the original version:

  1. When you win a bet, its amount is increased by the size of the original bet.
  2. If you lose, its amount decreases accordingly.

Counter d'Alembert example

Let's consider the principle of operation of the counter-d'Alembert system in football. Alaves team plays in the Spanish Premier League, matches with their participation often end in a draw. We will bet on this outcome.

  1. Modest Las Palmas came to visit the club, we bet 100 rubles on a coefficient of 3, that the game will end with a draw. The outcome of the meeting: 1:1, our prediction was correct. The winnings amounted to 300 rubles. (net profit 200).
  2. According to the system for the next fight, we increase the amount of the bet by a unit equal to 100 rubles. Now Alaves is playing on the road against the middle peasants Eibar Examples. Unexpectedly for many, the match again ends with the world: 0:0. And our bet played again. We are already in the black by 400 rubles.
  3. We increase the amount by one more and put 300 rubles on the next game. This time, Alaves hosts the Betis team, which is located at the very bottom of the standings. Predictably, the victory remains with the hosts: 1:0. Our bet is lost. We are in the red by 300 rubles.
  4. We reduce the bet by one unit, now its amount is 200 rubles. The next game will take place in Bilbao, where the Alaves team is waiting for the local Athletic. The club once again confirm their propensity for draws. The account is not opened, 0:0. And our rate won, plus 400 rubles of net profit to the bank.

In that specific example net profit after four games was:

200 + 400 - 300 + 400 = 700 rubles.

Effectiveness of the d'Alembert and counter-d'Alembert strategy

Above, we looked at examples with a positive outcome of using the system, but does this mean that the strategy is win-win? Unfortunately no. Of course, this tactic has its risks, and should not be used thoughtlessly, relying only on luck.

The main drawback of the strategy is that a long losing streak (more than 6 defeats in a row) does not allow you to get a profit or at least return your money back. Let's look at an example:

So, inspired by the situation described above, we have chosen the same Alaves team and will make predictions for draw with a coefficient of 3, but our bets fell on a different game period.

Now let's calculate whether last win cover previous defeats:

600 * 3 - (100 + 200 + 300 + 400 + 500 + 600) = -300 rubles.

As a result, we are in the red, and after all, the losing streak could have been longer, then our bank would have lost an even larger amount.

conclusions

By itself, the counter-D'Alembert strategy is ineffective and can drive the player into a significant disadvantage, but using your own brains, statistics and intuition, you can create a completely competitive system based on it. Good luck!

Danish betting strategy

The system got its name in honor of the country where it was used for the first time. Its basic rules are similar to the d'Alembert strategy, but there are also fundamental differences. Let's look at examples of how to use the Danish betting strategy, determine the advantages and disadvantages of it.

The essence of the Danish betting strategy

The Danish betting strategy can essentially be used live, because if you lose the same bet, the odds rise, but not always enough to cover the size of previous losses. The player chooses a fixed amount to start the game with. After each loss, the new bet is increased by the original amount and is considered a step. But that is not all. Not only the amount of the bet increases, but also the coefficient. Let's take a closer look at an example:

After a winning bet, the cycle begins anew. Now let's calculate the net profit:

500 * 3.5 - (100 + 200 + 300 + 400 + 500) \u003d 250 rubles.

Advantages and disadvantages of the Danish betting strategy

First, consider the main advantages of the presented system:

  • it forgives up to 13 mistakes and allows you to easily get a plus (unlike the same d'Alembert strategy);
  • the risk of the amount of the initial bank is much lower than with the usual catch-up with an increase in each subsequent bet twice.

And now the cons:

  • if the better did not manage to win in the first few attempts, it will be much more difficult to do this in the future, because. the coefficient is growing inexorably;
  • is not a win-win, there is a risk of draining the entire bank, in the event of a long series of unsuccessful bets.

Tips for Using the Danish Betting Strategy

Football is best suited for betting on the system, namely (after the first - second attempt) - accumulators from predictable events. These are bets on obvious favorites with odds of 1.2 - 1.4, or a total over 1.5 on teams that score and concede a lot.

The first 4 bets are lost, we need to collect events for a factor of 3.5. We will choose the victory of clear favorites:

Manchester City – Crystal Palace P1 1.35

Granada – Real Madrid P2 1.40

Napoli – Cagliari P1 1.40

Bayern – Darmstadt 1.32

Overall ratio: 3.5

There is a chance that one of the favorites will not be able to defeat the outsider, but it is small. It is all the more difficult to imagine that according to this principle, you can lose 13 accumulator bets in a row.

Conclusion

The Danish strategy has a right to exist, but without additional knowledge it is unlikely to be effective. Pre-match assessment of statistical data and other additional information will allow you to bring the system to perfection and win up to 3-4 rounds of bets without risking impressive amounts.

Kelly criterion

It is almost impossible to make stable money on bets without using strategies or using only one. Moreover, sports events are very different in their performance and the likelihood of outcomes. In the twentieth century, tactics for winning bets based on mathematical calculations became widespread. In honor of its creator, Edward Kelly, the calculation system was named - the Kelly Criterion. Further on examples.

Rules for calculating the Kelly criterion

The Kelly strategy is based on a mathematical formula that allows you to determine the size of the bet, taking into account statistical data, probability theory and your own knowledge, as well as the information collected.

The correct calculation of the Kelly criterion implies that the better using it is not an ordinary amateur, but a professional who is able to soberly assess the game situation and express the probability of winning as a percentage.

The formula for calculating the Kelly criterion:

(Set of bookmaker * Ind.pr - 1) / (Set of bookmaker - 1) * AUC * 100 = Required bet size,%,

Set BC - this is the coefficient offered for the event by the bookmaker;

Ind.pr – prediction of the probability of winning, assigned by the player himself, its value must be in the range from 0 to 1;

PPK - increasing-decreasing coefficient, on which the degree of risk depends, the larger it is, the larger the gain will be. Its number is chosen by the player himself, usually for a long period of time. Betters who use the strategy on an ongoing basis rarely use a coefficient higher than 0.4 in the formula;

Required bet amount – the total percentage of your bank that you need to bet on the selected event.

How does the Kelly strategy work?

The following example will help you better understand the Kelly criteria. So let's bet on football. As part of the English Premier League in London, the local Arsenal and Manchester United meet. Bookmakers give odds of 2.11 for the hosts to win. In our opinion, the figure is clearly overestimated, because the guests recently had a very important match in the Europa League, and this is the tournament the team is focused on, besides, the club's infirmary is full, there will be no key players on the field in the upcoming meeting.

Let's say our bank is 1000 rubles. Let's calculate how much we should bet on the "Arsenal win" event. The bookmaker gives a coefficient of 2.11 for such an outcome, which is slightly less than 50%. Our individual forecast– 70% (0.7). We choose PPK 0.2. Now we plug the numbers into the formula:

(2.11 * 0.7 - 1) / (2.11 - 1) * 0.2 * 100 \u003d 8.6% or 86 rubles.

The match ended with the victory of Arsenal with a score of 2: 0, our bet played:

86 * 2,11 = 181,5;

181.5 - 86 \u003d 95.5 rubles - net profit.

Now our bank has amounted to 1095.5, and it is from this amount that we should build on the following calculations.

Is it possible to make money on the Kelly Criteria?

Unfortunately, using only this strategy will not lead to a win. Sooner or later, the player will simply merge the entire bank. For successful application Kelly Criteria requires you to have in-depth knowledge of your chosen sport, follow the games, and do some serious research on the statistics.

Martingale strategy

In the betting environment, it is difficult to find a strategy that would be as popular as the Martingale system. Its simplicity, accessibility and effectiveness have attracted bettors for many years. What is the essence of this method and is it really as rosy as we would like?

The essence of the martingale strategy

Initially, the method was conceived as a roulette tactic for betting on red / black or any other casino game, where the main choice is between two outcomes. But very soon it was borrowed by bettors specializing in sports predictions. Its meaning lies in the constant increase in the amount of the bet by half in the event of another loss. In this case, the coefficient on the outcome must be at least two. That is, the amount put on the line when winning must double.

Let's look at an example.

We will bet on odd number points in the game by the minimum allowable odds.

Calculate the profit received:

1600 * 2 - (100 + 200 + 400 + 800 + 1600) = 100 rubles.

Despite a long losing streak, we still came out on top. But such a bet will play if the budget is enough to winning bet, but the earnings with such risks are equal to the size of the first bet from the series.

Disadvantages of the Martingale Strategy

At first glance, using the Martingale strategy and having a decent initial bank, it is impossible to lose, but this is not so. A losing streak can last as long as you want, and even with a good margin, you can lose a large amount. The fact is that bookmakers have long begun to set the upper limit of the bet, thereby reducing all the advantages of this method of making deals to nothing.

In addition, wanting to get a small win, the better risks a much larger amount, which only accelerates bankruptcy. So win-win this way financial management as a Martingale strategy cannot be called. It is not recommended for use by beginners and very gamblers. And also do not forget that the bankroll should not affect the financial situation of the family. Be prudent and then luck will be on your side!

Miller's management

History knows quite a few betters who have achieved success with the help of their own knowledge and systems developed by them. One of these lucky ones was J. Miller. The American not only got rich himself, but also shared his strategy with millions.

Miller's Basic Principles of Financial Management

The system developed by a talented handicapper will not help you guess the outcome of sporting events, it is designed only for the correct distribution of funds from the original bank.

Peru Miller owns many articles in which he substantiates with scientific point vision, the main mistakes of most betters. His strategy will help to avoid the temptation to increase rates and earn by properly allocating his funds.

In order for Miller's strategy to really work, you need to turn off your head, conquer all gambling emotions in yourself and firmly grasp that the probability of winning the current bet does not depend on previous outcomes won or lost. The author of the methodology convincingly advises choosing events with two possible options outcome and odds 1.85 - 1.91 (in each office differently, they depend on the margin that the bookmaker takes for himself as an intermediary). In other words, Miller's financial management is used for events with a probability of 50%.

And now the actual essence of the system. Miller suggests betting on small fixed amounts that make up 1% of the total pot. And raise them only when the initial capital has increased by 25%. The rate itself is increased by the same number.

Our bank is 10,000 rubles, i.e. the bet amount will be 100 rubles. As soon as the total amount increases by 25% and reaches 12,500, we raise the rate to 125 rubles. In order for the strategy to be profitable, it is enough to guess 52.85% of all predicted events.

Disadvantages of Miller's financial management strategy

Miller calls the timely revision of the amount of the bet and the competent distribution of the bank's money the key to the success of his method, but the result of the bets depends on the player himself. Using a strategy alone to make a profit is not enough, it must be combined with a deep analysis of statistical data and other information about the upcoming game.

tank attack method

Financial strategies, unlike gaming ones, teach bettors to correctly distribute the initial bank and do not allow them to drain all the money, trying to win back in the event of a single failure. One of the most interesting tactics this kind is called a "tank attack".

The essence of the tank attack strategy

The financial principle is easy to explain in game form. The stakes are tanks that have acted in a row on the enemy, and each loss is the loss of one of them. The original bank is divided into several equal parts. There may be 3 or 5, or 7 ... And each one has its own forecast. If the bet wins, the attack continues and the entire amount is wagered on the next event. If the forecast turned out to be incorrect, the tank is knocked out and is out of the fight.

Our initial bank amounted to 3,000 rubles. We divide it into three equal parts of 1000 and place bets (it is advisable to choose events with small odds, which you are sure of winning):

  1. Manchester City - Crystal Palace: we bet 1000 for the home team to win at 1.30, final score: 5:0, win 1300.
  2. Amkar - CSKA: we bet 1000 for the guests to win for 1.60, the final score is 0:2, the win is 1600.
  3. Barcelona - Villarreal: we bet 1000 on the hosts to win for 1.20, the final score is 4:1, the win is 1200.

Next tank attack series:

  1. 1300 on Liverpool - Southampton - home win for 1.50. The game ended in a draw, the bet lost.
  2. 1600 on Lazio - Sampdoria - P1 for 1.35. Final score: 7:3, win 2160.
  3. 1200 on Granada - Real Madrid - away win for 1.15. Final score: 0:4, win 1380.

After the second series, we lost one tank, we continue:

  1. 2160 at Chelsea - Middlesbrough - home win for 1.50. Final score 3:0, win 3240.
  2. 1380 in Chievo - Palermo - home win for 1.56. The game ended in a draw, 1:1. The bet lost.

After the tank attack, we have 3240 left in our bank.

3240 - 3000 \u003d 240 rubles - net profit.

Now we divide this sum into several equal parts and continue the game.

The above are events with odds of 1.15 - 1.60, the smaller they are, the greater the chance of winning. When the player himself decides to finish the “attack”, if in the example we stopped after the second stage, the profit would be:

2160 + 1380 = 3540;

3540 - 3000 = 540 rubles.

Tank attack strategy. Is it realistic to win?

The success of the strategy directly depends on the better's ability to analyze and correctly use the information received. Even small odds do not give a guarantee of winning, and if you blindly choose only numbers, sooner or later the entire bank will be drained.

Oscar Grind betting strategy

By using several strategies in sports betting, the chances of success are always increased. Many financial systems are built on the principles of Martingale game tactics and represent its improved copy. This is the strategy of Oscar Grind.

The essence of the Oscar Grind betting system

Unlike the notorious Martingale strategy, when using which the amount of the bet increases after a loss, in the Oscar Grind system, the amount increases after a win. If your forecast is defeated, then nothing needs to be changed.

The maximum bet on one event cannot be more than 1/12 of the total bank, and the odds on the selected outcome must not be less than 2.

The increase in the amount after winning occurs once, even if you managed to win twice, the series will start anew from the third prediction. Let's take a closer look at the Oscar Grind system using an example:

Our initial bank is 1200 rubles, i.e. the value of the first bet will be 100 rubles. We select an event with a coefficient of 2:

The final bank amounted to 1400 rubles, net profit: 1400 - 1200 \u003d 200 rubles.

As you can see from the example, it is really possible to make money on the strategy by guessing 50% of the bets.

Is it possible to win with the Oscar Grind strategy?

Experienced betters who have tried the strategy on themselves are extremely skeptical about it, believing that sooner or later it will lead to a complete loss. Experts in the field of probability theory came to the same conclusion.

For a stable plus, the player must guess at least 50% of bets with a coefficient of at least 2. In practice, this is almost unrealistic. Given the margin that the bookmaker takes, the probability of an event is less than 50%.

The advantages of the system include protection from betting limits and the impossibility of a quick bank merger.

The Oscar Grind strategy is great to use in a short period of time, but its long-term use is almost 100% likely to end in failure. Learn how to properly distribute money on bets, both after losing and after winning. And then a permanent profit or temporary preservation of the bankroll will be provided.

The Monty Hall Paradox

The use of bankroll distribution systems and bet selection strategies saves each bettor from the possible loss of the entire budget. Experienced players verified that it is necessary to put into practice different ways games, especially since there are quite a lot of such methods. The Monty Hall paradox is one of many. The unique strategy was named after the host of the popular US show. For the first time, her explanations were shown there.

The essence of the Monty Hall paradox

In the program, Monty Hall's paradox was explained using a simple mathematical riddle. The subject was offered a choice of 3 doors, behind one of which was Grand Prize- a car, behind the other two - goats. Probability to open right door in each of the three cases, according to mathematical theory, was 33.3%. After the participant pointed to the door he liked, the host opened one of the two with a goat (the one that the player did not name) and offered to change his choice.

More often than not, the subjects insisted on their original opinion without understanding one simple thing. The probability that the car is hidden behind the initially chosen door will remain 33.3%, when the probability of finding the car behind the second door increases to 66.6%.

And if there are not 3, but 100 doors, and the leader in turn opens 98 with goats, then the probability of guessing by changing his mind increases to 99%.

Monty Hall paradox in examples

Consider the application of the Monty Hall paradox on the example of bets in bookmakers.

In the Italian Serie A, the end of the season is approaching. Each team has only one match left to play. Let's say three teams: Crotone, Palermo and Pescara are fighting for survival in major league and have about the same chance of success. The club that earns more points in the last game will continue in Serie A. The probability of each of them going further is 33.3%. We bet on Palermo. Pescara plays first and is defeated. The probability of Crotone passing increases to 66.6%. Now you need to bet on this team, and its amount should cover the possible loss from the first prediction and bring profit from above.

conclusions

At first glance, the decision contradicts all the basics of logic and common sense. However, if you think carefully, everything will fall into place. The Monty Hall paradox strategy clearly shows bettors their main mistakes, the inability to realistically assess the possibilities of winning outcomes.

countermovement

It is almost impossible to play on bets without a plan and earn consistently. Therefore, all successful betters after testing different systems, use 3-4 constantly or create your own, which significantly increases the chances of winning. Here we will consider the strategy of betting on sports on countermoves. The counter-bet is very similar to the arb system, so by adhering to its principles for a long time with a positive result, you can attract the "attention" of bookmakers to your account.

Principles of the Backward Strategy

It is very easy to understand the rules of the Counterpass system. The player makes an express, and then insures it with the help of ordinary. The only mandatory condition is that the events must take place in different time. Let's take a closer look at an example.

As the events we need, we choose football matches in the English Premier League and make an express:

  1. Southampton - Arsenal P1 for 2.00.
  2. Everton - Watford P1 for 1.45.
  3. Crystal Palace - Hull City P1 for 2.05.

Overall coefficient: 5.95.

Let the bet amount be 200 rubles. Before the first game, we need to insure the accumulator and put a single on the opposite outcome:

Southampton – Arsenal X2 for 1.85

We put 250 rubles on it. If the ordinar wins, our payoff will be:

250 * 1.85 = 462.5 rubles.

Let's calculate the net profit. To do this, subtract the amount of the bet and the lost express:

462.5 - 250 - 200 \u003d 12.5 p.

If the single has lost, we move on to the next event in the accumulator and make a new bet. We select its amount taking into account the previous loss:

Everton – Watford X2 for 2.85

Let's put 250 rubles on it. If the ordinar wins, our payoff will be:

250 * 2.85 = 712.5 rubles

Net profit:

712.5 - 250 - 250 - 200 \u003d 12.5 rubles.

If the single has lost, go to the last event in the accumulator. At the moment, we have bet the amount of 700 rubles. In case of luck, the winnings on the express bet will be 1190 rubles, i.е. We have 490 rubles left for the last order:

Crystal Palace - Hull City X2 for 1.82.

Winning this bet will not cover the money spent, and we will be in the red. What to do? Is the backtracking strategy not working?

Experienced bettors, using counter-move bets, recommend leaving the event in which you are most confident in the end and abandoning the last ordinary. However, this rarely comes to pass. In reality, an express with a large overall coefficient loses at the very beginning, on the first or second move.

conclusions

The Counter-Move strategy is not a win-win, but a competent distribution of events in the multiple bet will help you consistently win a small amount at an insurance bet.

System of rates "+60%"

Most betting tactics in bookmakers are prefabricated systems from existing popular strategies. “+60%” is one of them. It includes elements of the classic Martingale strategy and the less well-known flat system, which consists of betting a fixed amount on each selected event.

The essence of the "+60%" system

The main principles of the "+60%" strategy:

  1. We select events with a coefficient of at least 1.7.
  2. We divide the bank into parts and bet starting from 1% of the total money, increasing the amount in case of loss in the following percentage sequence: 1; 3.5; 9.5; 24.5; 61.5.
  3. In order for the strategy to be profitable, you cannot allow more than 5 losses in a row.

The strategy is characterized by a high degree of risk, because even a professional player has losing streaks of 5 or more bets.

Still, losing 5 bets one after another with odds of 1.7 - 1.8 is not so easy. The probability of winning each of them is about 56%, and losing 5 times in a row is 1.7%.

The initial bank is 1000 rubles. We will bet on events with a coefficient of 1.8.

1107 - 1000 \u003d 107 rubles - net profit.

conclusions

The “+60%” system, like the others, is not a win-win, but the probability of making a profit when using it is much higher than using the same Martingale and Fixed Profit strategies.

Composite odds

One of the sources of income for bookmakers is the margin. This is the difference between real probability winnings and the coefficient provided by the office, the part that the exchange takes for mediation. In some bookmakers, the margin is so high that the game according to any of the known financial strategies is doomed to failure. The "composite odds" system allows you to increase the amount of winnings by dividing the bets into two.

Using the compound coefficients strategy

The proposed system is suitable for volleyball, basketball and tennis, those sports where the overall victory in the game consists of the victory in separate sets, quarters or halves.

Let's take a closer look at an example.

On the tennis court, two old rivals Italian Fabio Fognini and Spaniard Rafael Nadal meet. They give a coefficient of 1.74 on the favorite of the match (Nadal), and we will bet on him. Now let's look at the line proposed by the bookmaker, namely, let's pay attention to the exact score by game. If Nadal wins, the game will end with a score of 2:0 for a coefficient of 3.0 or 2:1 for 3.40 in favor of the Spaniard. If, instead of betting on the usual win, we break the pot and make 2 predictions on the correct score, our profit will be higher.

Disadvantages of the compound coefficients strategy

The system of composite coefficients has one, but quite a significant drawback. The game can go in a completely different scenario, and you will lose all the money. There is always the possibility that even the most hopeless outsider can beat the venerable favorite.

Strategy "1.01 - 1.02"

Playing with a bookmaker without tactics is not really good idea. In any confrontation, there must be a plan for victory. In sports betting, players use even more than one such plan, but also spare and safety ones. Experienced betters use proven strategies, the “1.01 -1.02” strategy has become popular in live mode.

The principle of operation of the system "1.01 -1.02"

When a meeting is held between approximately equal teams, any event in the game is interpreted by bookmakers in one direction or another, and the odds change by a few tenths or hundredths. If there is a clear favorite in the pair, the coefficient changes only from 1.01 to 1.02.

According to the strategy, at the very beginning of the match, a player bets a small amount, for example, 100 rubles, with a coefficient of 1.01. After the coefficient has changed to 1.02, we make a second bet, this time “back”. The amount must be equal to the potential winnings from the first bet. If the favorite wins, our bank increases by 100 rubles, if the outsider wins miraculously, we go to zero.

The subtleties of the strategy "1.01 - 1.02"

You can use tactics repeatedly even within the same game, however, due to high demand at minimum odds, bets may not go through and be blocked by the bookmaker.

For the successful application of the system, it is necessary to have access to a live broadcast without delay, otherwise you may simply not have time to secure the strategy.

The "1.01 - 1.02" system is more focused on experienced bettors who are able to skillfully play live odds. Beginners are better off choosing a different strategy.

Fixed interest from the bank

To become a successful better, it is not enough to have knowledge in the topic of sporting events, one of critical factors saving and increasing funds is the correct distribution of the bankroll. The use of money management greatly simplifies the life of not only bettors, but also traders, investors and other people who invest their own money. The rate system "Fixed interest from the bank" refers to financial management strategies.

The essence of the fixed interest strategy from the bank

First of all, the player must determine the initial bank. Each bet will be a fixed percentage of this amount.

General bank - 1000 rubles. We will bet 10% of the bank, i.e. 100 rubles. Let's say our bet lost, the amount remained on the account:

1000 - 100 = 900 rubles.

Let's say our bet with odds of 3 won:

90 * 3 = 270.

General bank:

900 – 90 + 270 = 1080.

Again we calculate 10% - 108 rubles, etc.

At first glance, using this financial strategy, it is impossible to lose, but in fact, sooner or later, the player will overtake a losing streak, and the bet will drop to an amount less than the minimum rate of the bookmaker. This automatically means draining the entire bankroll.

conclusions

By itself, the strategy of a fixed percentage of the bankroll does not represent any value for bettors who dream of beating the bookmaker, but using it in combination with other systems can bring positive result. A modified tactic of fixed percentage of the pot is the Kelly Criterion, which is used with success by professional bettors.

    The most popular sports betting strategies among bettors

    There are hundreds, if not thousands, of such plans that help bettors to bet and win. But how effective are they all? Is it worth spending time and money to study each such plan and check how good it is? To make it easier for you to choose the best way to make money on deals with bookmakers, we have collected in this article some of the best and most worthy strategies that you can use to different types sports. And it turned out a kind of TOP-8:

    1. Dogon. Ideal for average bettors who are no longer beginners, but at the same time, have not yet become real pros. It is built on the ability to conduct calculations and attentiveness.
    2. Time matches. A fairly simple strategy that allows even beginners to make good profits at the most modest cost.
    3. Outcomes. An excellent option for betting, which is sure to appeal to beginners with its simplicity and uncomplicatedness.
    4. Totals. Most bettors like to use this plan for only two options for the outcome of an event, which greatly increases the chances of winning, with a detailed analysis of a match, fight or meeting, of course.
    5. Account. This strategy many pros call it ideal for beginners, as it is not too difficult and at the same time quite profitable.
    6. Corridors. Relatively understandable and accessible (both in terms of time and financial costs) is a strategy that can be used by absolutely all clients of bookmakers.
    7. Value Betting. This mathematical strategy It is worth advising all lovers of accurate calculations and a detailed analysis of the bookmaker line, the size of the coefficients and other important nuances.
    8. Playing forks. This method can only be used if you make a bet in at least two bookmakers at once. But this strategy will bring stable profits due to small, but constant, winnings.
    9. Express systems. The method allows, thanks to the creation of various combinations of parlays, to bring the player closer to a positive outcome for his capital.

    However, you should not focus on the place of the strategy in this rating. You can use any of them at your discretion, but remember that most of them bring good profit only in the long run.

    More detailed description each strategy:

    1. Catching up strategy

    The meaning of this plan is to bet on the same event until the outcome you predicted happens. That is why this strategy is ideal for betting in live mode when the better constantly monitors what is happening in the sports arena.

    It works like this. For example, you watch a football match and bet on the victory of one team with a score of one ball. If everything goes perfectly, then you will not need to use the catch-up. If your favorite starts to lose, just bet twice as much on the other team to win, but already twice as much to cover the losses from the previous bet that has not played. But you need to stop in time (in a pinch, you can use catch-up in another match and catch up in the next event), otherwise you risk losing your entire bank.

    2. Time Match Strategy

    This strategy is based on betting not only on the outcome of the event as a whole, but also on the completion of its first half (time, several sets, period, etc.). If you manage your funds wisely, you can hit a good jackpot, especially if you bet on a draw in the first part of the game. After all, in the same football, the first halves very often end with parity, even novice clients of bookmakers know this.

    3. Strategy Exodus

    This strategy is considered one of the simplest and is ideal for both real pros and novice amateurs. It consists in an elementary analysis of the upcoming sporting event, identifying a clear favorite (or, in the absence of this, betting on a draw) and betting on his victory. The main disadvantage of such a plan can be considered rather modest odds that most bookmakers give in the presence of a clear leader in the upcoming pair of opponents.

    4. Strategy Total

    The meaning of this strategy, understandable and accessible to everyone, is based on the fact that with this option of concluding transactions with a bookmaker, you don’t have to delve into analytics or mathematical calculations. It is enough to bet on the outcome more or less than the value offered by the office.

    For example, for football matches, most bookmakers give totals of approximately 2.5, for basketball from 180 to 210, and for hockey matches from four and a half to six and a half. Thus, having roughly estimated the difference in the class of opponents and their usual number of goals conceded and scored in a match, you can immediately place a bet. It is worth noting that the most best odds on the total bookmakers are offered to bettors before the start of the event, so try to make such bets in the usual mode, and not live.

    5. Strategy Score

    Most beginners biasedly consider the account betting strategy to be very difficult, since even for real pros it is very difficult to predict the exact result of a sporting event. In fact, this is far from the case. For example, most football matches end in a draw with a zero result (or 1:1), or the victory of one of the teams by a margin of one, maximum two goals. So it’s enough to bet on just a few options to end the match, based on the team’s statistics. And winning one of, let's say, three concluded deals, will surely cover all expenses and leave you with a good profit. Especially considering the fact that it is this type of bet in most bookmakers that will please bettors with very high odds.

    6. Strategy Corridors

    In some English-language sources, this strategy is usually called middles (from English middles). The meaning of the middles is to make two bets in different bookmakers on the same event, the total result of which will lead to at least a refund of the funds spent on bets. And in best case will make good money.

    For example, you bet on two different offices to a basketball game. In one of them, you have a coefficient equal to two, with a handicap of minus four and a half. And another bookmaker accepted your bet with the same odds, on the victory of the other team, but with a handicap of plus five and a half. In the end, no matter which club wins, worst case you will lose the amount in one office that you win in another. If the bets in both bookmakers play, you get an excellent profit. The main thing in such a strategy is to calculate everything correctly and fit into this very corridor.

    7. Value betting strategy, also referred to by some domestic betters with the slang word value.

    The essence of this strategy is to study the BC line, a detailed analysis and search for the so-called underestimated events. It is on them that some bookmakers offer too high odds, taking into account the probability of the desired outcome and other factors.

    In an example, it looks like this. You know for sure that a certain club wins every third away game. And the bookmaker gives a coefficient of 3.3 for the victory of this team. Now it is enough for you to bet one dollar each for three matches of this club outside the walls of your own stadium to win three dollars and thirty cents.

    In reality, everything is a little more complicated, but, having gained a little experience, you can have a stable, albeit not very large, profit from almost every cycle in several bets.

    8. Forks - arbitrage situations

    The meaning of this strategy is to search for at least two events, betting on which you will either win or at least break even. Many experts call surebets a win-win strategy in the sense that in any case you will get more than you spend on bets. At the same time, remember that for such a not entirely fair game in several offices at the same time (if you bet on opposite outcomes from one account), you may be denied access to your personal account forever...

    A few words about financial strategies

    In addition to those described above game strategies, there are still a huge number of their analogues, which are much more related to financial management. Such plans are designed for the correct distribution of the bank, the miscalculation of the maximum allowable rates and other the most important nuances related to your money.

    In general, there are almost the same number of financial strategies as there are gaming ones. And you should not disdain them either, because, for example, such popular options as flat or Kelly system will help you save and increase your assets much faster!

    Choosing the optimal system for playing in bookmakers

    Returning to the question of strategies and tactics when making bets in bookmakers (earlier on our resource you could read material about two out of three systems and the like), you just can’t help but talk about a number of popular ways to get rich when placing bets. It should be noted right away that some of them are not designed to receive fabulous profits, but, first of all, to reduce their own losses due to those who did not play the bet.

    In any case, if you want to consistently make money on bookmakers, and not just give them your money, this material will be useful to you, regardless of whether you consider yourself a real pro or are a complete beginner in betting. Let's move on to the description and principles of operation of each of the currently popular methods for playing bookmaker. And we will make a kind

    TOP 10 most popular tactics and systems:

    Flat

    This system is based on the principles equal amounts bets that the better will not change in any case. That is, the player must always bet on a certain fixed amount, even if he really wants to put almost all his savings on the next sure thing. And the nuance is that with the growth of capital, you can use larger amounts for one event if you learn how to properly manage your capital.

    It works as follows. Let's say you have one thousand rubles, which you are ready to spend at a bookmaker's office. Bet an amount equal to five percent of your total capital. That is, always bet fifty rubles. And as soon as your capital grows due to winnings, you can increase this very amount, but in percentage terms, it should remain the same. That is, having earned five hundred rubles, you can bet already seventy-five rubles, the same five percent of one and a half thousand.

    Flat was originally developed several decades ago and has been successfully applied in many gambling. Its main advantages can be called the almost inability to lose all the money, the stability of the bettor, as well as the ability to adjust the plan and tactics already in the course of betting, without changing the rules of the method itself. Of the minuses, it is worth noting the low rate of capital growth and the high chances of the system failing due to the desire to bet more than the established limit.

    Fixed Interest Strategy

    In some ways, this system is similar to flat. It should also determine the size of the bet, but this is not done in advance, but before each specific betting. This approach gives the chances of making a profit much faster than the same flat. But with a large series of unplayed bets, you will have to try hard, otherwise return start-up capital it won't be easy. But, despite the fact that before each bet you will have to spend a little time recalculating its size, this method works and helps to receive a modest but stable income.

    Fixed income strategy

    The peculiarity of this method lies in the selection the same size winnings for each bet. That is, when making a bet with a coefficient of 2.0, you will need to bet a hundred to win the same amount. At the same time, to get the same hundred rubles with a coffee of 3.0, it will be enough to bet fifty. Moreover, all calculations take no more than a minute; it is enough to subtract one from the coefficient and divide by the resulting number the amount that you would like to win.

    The only problem is that with this approach it is not easy to predict the growth or decrease in the starting capital, which (especially after several failed bets in a row) will decrease by an indefinite amount. But with good hands, you can easily determine the number of banknotes in your capital.

    Martingale method

    The main feature of this approach is to raise the amount after each failure so that the profit from the new bet won with the bookmaker overlaps the previous failure. Usually this way we call it Dogon. With high risks of losing all the money (if a real black streak begins), the better receives a stable income not only in the long term, but also in the medium term.

    Anti-Martingale Method

    Completely opposite of the one described above. Its meaning is to reduce all subsequent bets in case of failures, and increase them with each win. That is, the risk of losing all your savings, as can happen if you play using the Martingale method, is minimized, and with successful outcomes, you can get a good profit in the long run.

    Method D "Alamber

    In some ways, this option is similar to the Martingale strategy. The only difference is that after a failed bet, you need to increase the amount to make the next bet exactly by the amount of the previous loss. And if you win by the same amount, you need to lower the bet. And keep in mind that we are talking about the size of the bets themselves, and not profit or loss. Taking into account the fact that you can lose all the money (if the series of losses drags on), this system is still very often used by many bettors. After all, even in the case of half of the bets won, you can get a good profit, since the size of each subsequent bet will cover previous failures.

    Anti-D "Alamber method

    As the name suggests, the exact opposite of the above system. In case of failure, the bet must be reduced, and after winning it must be increased. A little risky method, but in the long run it can significantly enrich you.

    Grind method

    This option is based on the D "Alembert method. But the difference is that immediately after the system goes into plus, you reset the bet to the initial value. Thus, if you bet fifty rubles, you lost three times and increased the amount for betting to two hundred rubles, in case of winning, you will reset the bet again to 50. With this approach, the profit will not be too large, but the risks of losing everything are minimized.

    Kelly system

    This strategy is usually used only by professional bettors. It is based on a detailed study and determination of the chance of the outcome of each individual event on which the player is going to bet. Then you need to compare them with the odds in different bookmakers and calculate whether the probability of such an outcome is overestimated or underestimated by bookmakers.

    It works as follows. If your indicator of the probability of an outcome as a percentage of the bookmaker odds and divided by one hundred exceeds one, then the bookmaker underestimates such a bet. And you can safely bet on this event.

    Provided that the better is well versed in the topic and will be able to predict most of his transactions, he will not only never lose his starting capital, but will also consistently receive a small, but still profit.

    Miller method

    In this system, bets are placed only on such bets, the chances of two outcomes of which are approximately equal. And, if the chances are about 50/50, then it is enough to win at least fifty-one out of a hundred cases in order to always remain in the black.

    Conclusion

    Remember that these ten systems are not some kind of canon. You can use other tactics and strategies you like, of which several thousand have been developed over the decades. But it is these techniques that are used by most bettors around the world. Moreover, many of them have long become real pros thanks to the above systems.

Strategies are widely used to attract profits among visitors to betting shops. They allow you to make calculations, analyze, calculate the chances of success and the likelihood of an event.

There is also a group of strategies that are great for a sport like football. But do not think that the strategy will do everything for you. Of course, there are always risks. Strategy rules will only help increase your chances of winning.

And here is our list. The best of the best:

1. Martingale strategy

Or, the so-called "follow-up" game. The stakes here grow gradually, depending on how much profit was attracted to the capital. Widely used in betting on football matches, it allows you to stay “in the black”, win back.

You can read more about the strategy

Modifications of the Martingale strategy are also successful. They use similar principles, based on the same rules, but there are new additional conditions.

2. Oscar Grind

The strategy is based on the Martingale, but differs in the rules for increasing the bet and its size. We bet a little, but we get a lot of profit, almost without risk (the bank grows gradually). We act thoughtfully, choose events carefully.

The main rules for using the strategy are described

3. Financial system “+60% to capital”

The strategy again features Martingale elements, but it also has its own distinctive rules. For example, you cannot allow more than four losses of bets in a row. We choose the most popular matches to reduce risks.

Familiarize yourself with the aspects of the strategy

4. Danish strategy

New modifications of the Martingale: different rules for increasing the size of the bet, actions with odds, attracting profits.

The article is posted on our website. Read it

5. “Against draws”

The strategy allows you to work with large sums on the betting exchanges. Requires to analyze information, the chances of success.

Details, facts, strategy action

6. Backward

The strategy helps to insure by placing two bets on the same event at once.

You can consider its principles and rules

7. Method of tank attack

Acting strictly according to the rules, the player can increase his capital in a few days! This will require a few simple manipulations: determine the amount of capital, divide by the optimal number of “tanks”. The risks are not great, and the rules are accessible and understandable.

You can see the given example of the strategy in our article.

8. D'Alembert

A well-known strategy, again, an analogue of Martingale. With such methods, you can easily recoup, the strategy is based on simple calculations.

See an example of the work of the strategy and its distinctive features You can

9. Flat, or “Fixed interest from the bank”

Probably the most common and well-known strategy in circles football fans. An excellent choice for beginners in the field of sports betting. In addition, the strategy is absolutely clear and simple. In order to act according to its rules, it is necessary to determine the percentage, which in the future will determine the amount of the bet.

10. Miller's management, or "Plateau management"

Conservatism, thrift, caution - these are the main principles of the strategy. The rates range from 1% to 2% of the total capital. A fairly common and recognizable strategy from the author of the book How to Beat the Line.

There are others important rules which you can read

How to do win-win bets at bookmakers

Those people who often bet, do not often bet without a certain strategy. Mostly betting strategy already worked out professional player. It helps to increase the chances of winning the placed bet. Naturally, this approach does not always work and not for every person in the same way. Not a small role here is played by luck and knowledge of statistics in a particular sport. the best way to win is to have a game plan to follow. Betting without a specific strategy will lead to financial losses. The essence of the betting game is, of course, to win money. Preferably as much and as quickly as possible. Therefore, if a person making bets wants to earn money constantly in this business, he must develop his own own plan, or rather, choose one of the existing ones, since many years of experience of the players different countries makes it possible to do so.

Now there are many plans to increase winnings at bookmakers. But there is betting strategy which are most commonly used. Naturally, most potential players have doubts about the effectiveness of the choice and lack of funds to try all the methods in action. To facilitate this task, professionals in the field game rates have chosen several strategies that generate income. They can be used when betting on any sport. Among the strategies it is worth highlighting:

  • time matches;
  • dogon;
  • totals;
  • outcomes;
  • corridors;
  • check;
  • betting fork.

It is worth considering some of the most popular game strategies. In a half-time match, the calculation is carried out to predict the outcome of a part of the match (half, round, period, etc.). This means that with the proper distribution of money and the choice of the game, the probability of winning is very high. In the same football, it often happens that the first half ends in a draw. This is what the bettor hopes for. Thus, he will be in the black.

When using the catch-up strategy, the player bets on the same event until it occurs and does not bring income. Let's say that you are watching a match, during which you bet that one of the teams with the minimum score will win. At favorable outcome the catch-up method does not need to be used. But if you start to doubt the bet, then you can double the bet amount, but for another team. So you will cover the losses from the loss of the previous bet. In this case, you need to remember about the limited resources - you need to stop in time, otherwise you can lose everything.

With the "score" strategy, you can win a lot of money more easily than most people think. It is usually extremely difficult to predict the exact outcome of the game, but in the same football, balls often fly into the goal only in the non-professional league. In the case of professional football, everything is much simpler: the final result reaches the minimum advantage of one of the teams (for example, 1:0.2:1) or the game ends in a draw. So, profit can be obtained quickly enough, the main thing is to know the capabilities of the players.

When using the strategy, the so-called betting surebet, the calculation is to stay in the win or at least not to stay “in the red”. The essence of the method is to bet on opposite results in different bookmakers. But such an approach is not welcomed by the latter. Therefore, if you are caught playing such a game, then access to account will be lost.

Bookmaker strategies and their effectiveness depends on the sport, the teams playing, as well as on the statistics latest games- how more wins in one, then the probability of winning will be higher.

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