“Yellow cards” in football betting. Bets on total more yellow cards Betting options on victory by the number of warnings, taking into account the handicap

On the eve of the resumption of games in the Russian Premier League, I propose to get acquainted with the statistical indicators of Russian referees and clubs.

Based on the results of 20 rounds of RFPL games, 19 referees worked as chief referees. The most trusted person in the federation was Roman Galimov, who officiated in 13 matches. 12 games on the account of Vladimir Moskalev and Sergei Lapochkin. On average, Premier League referees showed 3.68 yellow cards and 0.11 red cards to players. At the same time, the hosts received 1.68 JK, and the guests 2 JK for the match.

Top 3 yellow card judges:

1. Igor Fedotov – 6 games, 30 JK (5.0 JK average)
2. Alexey Matyunin – 5 games, 22 JKs (4.4 JKs on average)
3. Artyom Chistyakov – 6 games, 26 JKs (4.3 JKs on average)

Two more referees show the players just over 4.0 LCD. These are Mikhail Vilkov (10 games) and Evgeniy Turbin (8 games). It is worth noting Sergei Kulikov, who showed 15 LCDs over three games, however, with such a number of matches, one should not yet conclude that the referee is a fan of mustard plasters. The rest of the referees show less than 4.0 JK per match. At the same time, the lowest figure in the championship belongs to Sergei Lapochkin, who warned players only 30 times in 12 games, which corresponds to 2.5 LCs per match.

Top 3 judges for red cards

Here there were three referees who removed the players from the field 2 times. Among them are Mikhail Vilkov (remember the 90th minute of the August game Zenit - Spartak?), Sergei Ivanov (matches Amkar - CSKA and Arsenal - Krasnodar) and Alexey Eskov (Spartak - Lokomotiv and Anzhi - SKA-Energia).

Among the judges who have more than 10 games a season under their belt, in terms of red cards, or rather the lack thereof, one can single out the same Roman Galimov, who, having officiated the most matches of the RFPL 2017/2018, did not dare to send anyone off the field.

In order to accept the right decision When betting on cards in games of the Russian Premier League, it is necessary to take into account the statistical indicators of the clubs themselves.

RFPL leaders in yellow cards (average per match):

1. Akhmat - 2.4 residential complex
2. Amkar – 2.25 LCD
3. Ufa – 2.15 residential complex

The most disciplined RFPL clubs based on yellow cards:

1. Dynamo Moscow – 1.35 residential complex
2. FC Krasnodar – 1.4 residential complex
3. Anzhi, Lokomotiv – 1.45 LCD

As for red cards, only two clubs have three deletions in 20 games - Moscow Spartak and Tosno. Football players from Akhmat, CSKA and Rubin left the field early twice. Never once have the referees removed players from five teams at once from the green lawn - Arsenal, Rostov, FC Ufa, Lokomotiv and Dynamo Moscow.

What to bet on Friday?

As a bonus to the material, there is a forecast for the match that will open the spring part of the Premier League. Let me remind you that tomorrow Rubin will be visiting Kaspiysk, where he will meet at the Anzhi Arena with local Anzhi.

The match between Anzhi and Rubin was entrusted to refereeing by Muscovite Alexei Eskov, who, despite being in the top 3 referees who sent off players from the field the most this season, does not particularly like to give out warnings. Over 9 matches played, Eskov gave out an average of 3.1 JK.

As noted earlier, Anzhi is a disciplined team (1.45 JK), but the Kazan team is a rougher team, because its players on average receive almost two yellow cards from the referee. As a result, we get less than 3.5 warnings between us. Considering that Eskov gives players a little more than three mustard plasters, we can assume that there should definitely not be 5 ZhK in the match.

Yellow cards in football: successful strategies rates

Bets and strategies on yellow cards in football

In addition to the previously discussed strategy for betting on corners, let's consider another option for the game - on yellow cards in football. This type of bet also has a completely predictable basis. It is not for nothing that many players successfully play on yellow cards in football.

can help players achieve profits.

In the ocean of a wide variety of statistical data, for which quotes are accepted at various bookmakers (in the line for football events), traditionally stand out betting on yellow cards. In fact, in a considerable number of matches in game No. 1, we continually see gross and not always justified violations of the rules, disruption of a variety of attacks, many simulations and other events beyond the letter of the law. For such offenses, arbitrators often issue so-called “mustard plasters”, that is, cards yellow color. Some bettors even choose a narrow “direction” and “specialization” for themselves, playing exclusively on the “yellow color” and betting only on such indicators. In this text, we will try to find out whether it is possible to successfully predict the number of “mustard plasters” and what specific options for betting on the color yellow in football are best made in practice.

First, let's look at an example of offers that bookmakers give for options with yellow cards. What bets are open to our eyes?.. These are options such as the opportunity to win by the number of yellows, the choice to win with a handicap according to this indicator, there is also a total total by the number of “mustard plasters” (both “over” and “under” ) and, finally, individual totals.

There are also bookmakers that accept quotes for the fact that this or that football player will definitely write down a yellow card in his liability. And these are definitely specific proposals. True, it also cannot be said that such options are completely hopeless.

Among other things, you can also bet on the mustard total specifically for forty-five minutes; there are quotes for even or odd yellow totals. Options are also offered for which of the clubs participating in the match will receive a warning first, for the “issuance” of LCDs at time intervals... In many ways, such proposals are adventurous, to say the least - frankly delusional options. Largely thanks to such markets, bookmakers try to sow doubt in the player, scatter his concentration, lead the bettor off the right “path” when making a choice, awaken unjustified, artificial excitement, and also, what is most sad in such situations, is to multiply the player’s score by zero...

In this conversation of ours, we will try to discuss much more realistic, in relation to the possibilities of such a “science” as forecasting, betting on yellow cards.

Bets on yellow cards in football – for victory

IN in this case various bookmakers accept bets on which of the teams participating in the match will earn large quantity yellow. You need to understand that a draw in the LCD is not considered here in principle, because predicting such a scenario is just as difficult (or even impossible) as the scenario equal amount corners taken...

How to correctly predict which club will be able to record the largest number of “mustard plasters” in its liabilities?

You don’t need to be a rocket scientist to understand that the number of “mustard plasters” shown by the referee always directly depends on how many fouls are committed and how many times the teams participating in the match break the rules. If a lot of fouls occur in the game, and these violations increase in their rudeness and obvious harshness and even cruelty, which ultimately leads to the fact that the match referee takes yellow cards out of his pocket.

When one of the clubs, which has fast and technical players, attacks more, then the opponent of such a team, if he is more slow, plays strong, athletic, football, will inevitably foul more and will definitely “collect” a larger number of warnings. In fact, in every championship and competition there are teams that, to a greater or lesser extent, are, as they say, “predisposed” to playing rough, committing fouls and, as a result, collecting a “harvest” of yellow cards. Of course, among the players of such clubs there are always so-called “tough guys” - football players who play especially hard and receive more cards than their teammates. If we turn to the study of statistics (and this must be done without fail), and to the ratio of the “chances” of opponents in a particular match, players are often able to correctly predict the “triumphant” based on the number of yellow cards received.

Options for betting on victory by the number of warnings, taking into account the handicap

If you see such, at first glance, a simple situation in terms of the number of violations and LCDs, as the looming advantage of one of the teams in terms of warnings, then it is no wonder that the level of the coefficient for victory in terms of the number of “yolks” received will not be very high. Do not forget that almost every bookmaker has its own analytical centers, and they do not sleep and carry out their work invariably high level. For an ordinary player, find a good option, the advantage over the offered line, that is, what is called the value bet, is not so simple. Therefore, if the level of the quote to “win” by the number of cards shown is not very high, it can be increased if you take such a victory with a minus handicap (handicap). Of course, as the level of the coefficient increases, the risks also increase. But when a player has great confidence that a particular team will ultimately significantly surpass its more technical opponent in the number of yellow cards received, then such options are worth taking even with handicaps.

Options for betting on totals using mustard plasters

Another promising option for betting on statistical indicators is the total on yellow cards as such. Choosing such a bet assumes that the total number of yellow cards that will be recorded as the liability of both teams will be greater or less than the predetermined total value.

If you decide to predict the total on the LCD, you must definitely calculate the “degree” of intransigence of the clubs participating in the match, their mood for a tough fight, and a rough fight at that. In order for your scenario to come true, the teams that take part in the selected game must be almost perfectly able to go on the attack very quickly, but at the same time, the defense of such teams cannot be blameless. It is better for the defense of such clubs to commit a considerable number of violations in order to stop the opponent’s quick attacks.

Of course, among other things, you also need to evaluate and predict the plot of the match for which you want to choose the total based on yellow cards. So, such teams, undoubtedly, must have one or another, but certainly high, subject of motivation. If it is not very obvious and is not high in general, then any player has no reason to be rude to his counterpart and break the rules more often than “usually”, tearing off certain limbs of each other. If you have such a fight in front of you, then in this case you need to seriously consider the option of betting on TM on the LCD.

If you are “attracted” by TB, you must definitely select several matches that will meet the following criteria. This should be a derby or a game in which clubs from the same region oppose each other, teams whose fan groups have been at odds for several days. These kinds of fights, even if the teams lack tournament motivation in them, are often replete with tough fighting, gross violations on the part of both teams and, of course, warnings in each direction.

Bets on individual team totals based on yellow cards

If we talk about the topic of housing complexes as such, then, in essence, the player is faced with the task of assessing the prospects of a particular club (or clubs) for receiving (in some cases, on the contrary, we're talking about about not receiving), this or that number of “mustard plasters”. When a conditional team plays in a rough manner, and the counterpart is quite fast and technical, it’s definitely worth trying such an option as TB. But there are also cases when this or that team plays “cleanly” on the field and one cannot expect an exorbitant degree of intensity. Such a “scenario” automatically means that it is better to try the individual total on the LCD, and - for “less”.

Of course, if you want to predict the totals on the LCD successfully and make a good “bank” on it, you must definitely improve your knowledge of the “life” of teams and analyze the statistical indicators of the teams participating in the match. At the same time, it is also important that you should look not only at the numerical indicators of clubs in terms of statistics, but also take into account a third party - this means the match referees.

We all know that there are referees who are generous in “issuing” more cards, and there are servants of the football Themis who are stingy in this regard. Therefore, if in one fight all the “stars” come together, and you are sure that the game will be dominated by incredible struggle, rudeness expressed on both sides, constant disruption of attacks, and this game is also served by a stern referee... In a word, take TB and don't overthink it.

At the same time, we cannot stress enough: do not underestimate the factor of the referee as such! Its operation can be the most important aspect of the game's outcome in terms of the number of cards. After all, it happens that even in the scenario of a very rough game on the part of both teams, individual judges, who can be called “liberals,” hand out “mustard plasters” very reluctantly. Therefore, in some cases, you can and should make a choice in favor of good quotes for yellow TMs. At the same time, it is worth taking the statistics of the referee in his previous games as the “basis”.

In addition, before you start betting on yellow cards in football, you need to be sure to familiarize yourself with the rules of the bookmaker that you “liked”. The fact is that there are many discrepancies in the topic of LCD, up to completely unexpected interpretations. For example, many bookmakers, when a player is sent off the field for two yellow cards, count only one...

On the principles of betting strategy on mustard plasters

How to achieve maximum results when betting on residential complexes? It is impossible not to highlight several main aspects that will definitely help in this matter. If you want to choose and place correctly, then yellow card betting strategy should become a kind of “guiding star” for you.

There are many players who first pay attention great attention to individual, in their opinion, “special” teams. This is not a correct point of view. Even if you follow one club and place bets on it, you will gradually find that it makes no difference which team is playing. Much more important is who the match referee is. If the referee is an incorrigible “bad cop” who likes to wave cards left and right, then such a guy will certainly find something to “get into”, even in a harmless, maximally correct game. Therefore, always begin your analysis regarding a particular match by familiarizing yourself with the statistical indicators of the referee who was appointed to the match. Nowadays, finding detailed statistics on this or that “man in black” is no longer a problem.

Another important point is as follows. If you decide to bet on yellows with a higher total, and this is, for example, an indicator of 3.5, remember the following. If the referee of this match, as a rule, is used to showing, on average, five “mustard plasters” per match, then this does not at all mean that your bet will “go through”. It happens that such referees most often take two or three cards out of their pockets, but in a separate game this guy suddenly burst into thunder and showed as many as 12 mustard plasters. Accordingly, this referee's statistics were significantly "skewed." In order to understand whether you are on the right track, you need to count the number of “entries” of the total you need. If you bet on an indicator equal to TB3.5, count the number of times this particular total “entered” as a percentage. In order for an arbitrator to meet the necessary “criteria,” the pass must be greater than 50 percent. In this case, the coefficient should be approximately 2.

22/02/2016

Review

On the Corner-stats website we offer card statistics in football matches, as well as tools for analyzing them. To view corner statistics, open the "Cards" tab on the tournament, team or match page.

By analyzing card statistics, you can more accurately predict the result, total or handicap of cards in upcoming football matches. First of all, this will be of interest to players at bookmakers, who will be able to make money from it by placing bets. Many bookmakers offer various bets on cards in football matches: match outcome on cards, total cards, handicap on cards, sending off and others. The Corner-stats service allows you to customize the selection of matches and card statistics in the way you need to analyze specific type rates.

Tournament page

Using the menu in the left column of the Corner-stats website, you can select the football tournament you need.

The main table of a football tournament page contains summary statistics of the teams that played in a given tournament. Below is the designation of the table columns:

Please note that the table can be sorted by different indicators in ascending or descending order by clicking on the table of contents.

At the top of the page there are filters that allow you to create a summary table of statistical indicators of the tournament cards of your choice.

You can access tournament card statistics right now!

Team page

To analyze the statistics of a team’s cards in detail, click on its name or select from the drop-down list on the left.

By default, the match table on the team page shows all matches of the current season. The designation of the columns in the table is as follows:

Use live search to filter the match table by specific characters, such as team name:

The above table with matches summarizes the average data for these matches:

At the top of the page there are filters for team matches by season, tournament, field. Read more about the "Count-minute" filter below in the corresponding section.

You can access card statistics by team right now!

Match page

You can open the page of the match you need from the list of team matches or from the tournament page. Using the top menu " ", you will see a list of football matches that will begin soon.

On the "Odds" tab, the bookmaker's odds are usually located at the top (more details in the "Odds" section).

• Personal meetings - last matches between the teams of this match
• Last 20 matches of team 1
• Last 20 matches of team 2(to analyze a team’s matches in more detail, go to its page by clicking on the team name)
• Similar matches of team 1(more details in the "Similar matches" section))
• Similar matches of team 2(more details in the "Similar matches" section)

Odds

On the "Cards" tab you have the opportunity to view bookmaker quotes for a given match and compare them. We collect odds for the outcome by cards, handicap and total cards in the match. Please note that the bookmaker Bet365 shows the highest odds for the same events (for example, Victory 1 and Handicap (-0.5)).

Filter "Count-minute"

We present to your attention a unique team match filter "Score-Minute" (open the team page to use this tool). The filter allows you to select matches of a team with a given score at a given minute. For example, you can filter Borussia Dortmund matches when they were tied 1-1 at 65 minutes. Please note that the Score-Minute filter can be combined with other filters, such as limiting matches to two last seasons. This tool will be very useful if you place bets during the game (live bets).

Many may have noticed that positive handicappers are increasingly resorting to betting on unpopular events in the line. The classic line involves concluding deals for the victory of one of the teams, or for a draw in the match. However, modern bookmakers offer a whole variety: fouls and gross violations. Gross violations are punished in football with a yellow card. If the same player behaves unsportsmanlike twice, the main referee of the match removes him from the field. Let's talk about which strategy for betting on yellow cards is the most profitable and attractive for players today.

Betting strategy on yellow cards: what is important to consider?

Let me immediately note that everything said in this article is not a guarantee of constant winning. No win-win strategy betting on yellow cards, totals or Asian handicaps. The privateer’s task is to be in the black at a distance. We talked about this in detail in the article. Now let's get closer to the point. A yellow card, or “mustard plaster”, is a warning to a team player by the chief referee for a gross violation of the rules or unsportsmanlike behavior. For fans of watching football matches, I think everything is clear with this definition. But it’s important to understand the difference; fouls and yellow cards are two different things. By the way, the total fouls in football match You can also bet on the victory of one of the teams on fouls or a handicap.

To successfully place bets on residential complexes, it is important to consider the following:

• Reputation of the main arbiter of the meeting (loyal or categorical)
• Behavior of key players on the field (aggressive or reserved)
• Playing style of specific teams
• The importance of the tournament and a particular match in general

This is the list of criteria that greatly influences the number of “mustard plasters” shown to the players by the referee of the match. It is important to carefully analyze the pre-match situation and use the information available on the Internet regarding the statistics of referees, players and football teams. Let's dwell on each of the above points so that the strategy of betting on yellow cards justifies itself and gives the desired result.

Statistics of the main referee of the match

In the article we cited useful resources, significantly simplifying the capper’s life. There was a link to a portal with statistics of the main referees of the leading European football championships. Next, we will focus on the statistics given there. Let's look at the work of refereeing in the English Premier League. Although they often come under criticism from football experts and fans, they are an example for many European championships.

The entire list can be divided into three large segments: categorical judges, restrained and loyal. About 90% of the number of yellow cards shown in a particular football match depends on the person with the whistle. It is important to understand and take this into account, and to devote most of the analysis time to familiarizing yourself with the nature of refereeing. As we can see from the statistics of the current Premier League season, Mike Dean, Atkinson, Moss and Oliver are guys you don’t put your finger in their mouth. For any conversation with them, you can easily get an LCD, and for a gross violation of the rules, a red light often lights up in front of the players. In matches involving these referees, it is profitable to bet on TB LCD. That is, bets on yellow cards predetermine the conclusion of transactions on the character and behavior of an individual chief referee, and teams and specific players are taken into account last.

Read also Live corridor betting strategy: theory and practice

But that's not all. We open the detailed statistics of the referee on the game with whom we want to bet. As we can see from Mike Dean’s statistics, he can judge in different ways, sometimes not a single LCD in a match, sometimes ten at once. This is important to take into account and monitor before the transaction. In most cases, bookmakers offer a line on LCD 3.5, 4.5 cards. For example, we know that the conditional match between Swansea and Crystal Palace will be officiated by Mike Dean, the bookmakers have set the total LCD at 3.5, and the odds of 2 or more are good bet. From Dean’s personal indicators we can see that he cannot be white and fluffy for more than two matches in a row during the entire season.

Football player analysis

This is less significant, but also important criterion, which is important to consider for successful game according to the betting strategy on yellow cards. In almost every division you can find a dozen “bonebreakers” who do not spare themselves or other football players. We all remember guys like Andoni Goikacea, who broke Diego Maradona's ankle, Stuart Pearce, Giuseppe Bergomi, Batista, Gattuso, Materazzi. Coincidence or not, most of them played in the Italian Serie A. Andoni Goicaciaea is best known for his performances for the Spanish Athletic Bilbao, in which he was nicknamed “the butcher”. The ball was the least of his worries.

It is quite logical that when there are several “bonebreakers” on the field at once, the chance of TB cards increases significantly, and vice versa, if there are none at all, TM looks more logical.

If you don’t know modern “chain dogs”, open the statistics of football players, which are most often listed on the official website of the league. For example, for nuclear submarines, finding such information is not difficult. Some unpopular league might have problems with this

One thing can be said, the temperament of some football championship wins over TB - the Balkans are masters of football provocations. And in many championships Arab countries We are used to deciding the outcome of matches through brute force. True, the judges there are predisposed to this.

Playing style of specific teams

Gradually we move from the most significant factors to the less significant ones. The strategy for betting on yellow cards does not oblige you to comprehensive analysis specific teams, but if you find a team that uses brute force to install a coach, this must be used. There is no specific relationship, for example, the better a team plays, the more careful it is in terms of rule violations. Just like not many weak teams prefer to play rough against a strong opponent. But in the lower divisions of England there are teams whose game is built on combat and brute strength. But the judges there allow you to play like that.

This material has been asking for a long time.

Over the course of many seasons of playing fantasy football, regulatory issues regarding disqualifications were very often raised in tournament chats or in comments under various posts.

Why in the Championship or Premier League does someone miss a game for 5 zh.k., while someone continues to play? What are the principles for disqualification in France? In which countries? are added up for the championship and cup? You will receive answers to these and other questions below. Of course, I will not cite detailed clauses of the regulations. I will try to present everything in an easy, accessible form, which is necessary for the needs of fantasy.

RFPL

4 residential complexes

k.k. (2 housing units per match)

10 housing complex- second Sunday in April;

15 housing complex- until the end of the season.

examples:

Let’s assume that by December 28 (a round or cup game) some player had accumulated 4 housing units. If he receives 5 zh.k., then he misses next game. If the same player played a round without any warnings, and in the next round, taking place on January 1 or 2, received his total 5 zh.k., then he will no longer miss the next next game, but will wait for the accumulation of 10 zh.k. . until the second Sunday in April.

Important to remember!

k.k. (2 housing units per match)

Serie A

5 residential complex 4 residential complexes, then after 3 residential complexes. and so on;

k.k. (2 housing units per match)- missing the next match in the championship. For gross violations, additional sanctions may be imposed in the form of missing several matches.

Cards in the championship and cup are counted separately for these tournaments and are not cumulative.

La Liga

5 residential complex- missing the next match in the championship;

k.k. (2 housing units per match)- missing the next match in the championship. For gross violations, additional sanctions are possible in the form of missing several matches;

Cards in the championship and cup are counted separately for these tournaments and are not cumulative.

Bundesliga

5 residential complex- missing the next match in the championship;

k.k. (2 housing units per match)- missing the next match in the championship. For gross violations, additional sanctions are possible in the form of missing several matches;

Cards in the championship and cup are counted separately for these tournaments and are not cumulative.

Ligue 1 France

France has specific regulations on disqualifications. I absolutely cannot tell you it. I will give just a few of my observations, as well as the statements of some experienced fantasy artists I know.

The main feature is that decisions on discs are made by the French football committee. A player can get 3-4 JC, play the next match, and only then miss the game. I have also heard the opinion, and sometimes observed it myself, that if a player receives 3 zh.k. in a period of 10 matches, he misses the game. But it is not entirely clear whether the next one or again will await the committee’s decision.

Eredivisie

5 residential complex- missing the next match in the championship;

k.k. (2 housing units per match)- missing the next match in the championship. For gross violations, additional sanctions are possible in the form of missing several matches;

Cards in the championship and cup are counted separately for these tournaments and are not cumulative.

Liga NOS Portugal

Disqualification occurs after receiving 5 residential complex, the next one comes after 4 residential complexes;

k.k. (2 housing units per match)- missing the next match in the championship. For gross violations, additional sanctions are possible in the form of missing several matches;

Cards in the championship and cup are counted separately for these tournaments and are not cumulative.

English Championship

Disqualification occurs after accumulating 5, 10 and 15 warnings in the season. There are time limits for receiving disciplinary sanctions as a result of accumulated warnings.

10 housing complex- second Sunday in March;

15 housing complex- until the end of the season.

To make it easier to understand, I will give examples:

Let's assume that by November 28 (a round or cup game) some player had accumulated 4 housing units. If he receives 5 JK, he misses the next game. If the same player played a round without any warnings, and in the next round, taking place on December 1 or 2, received his total 5 zh.k., then he will no longer miss the next next game, but will wait for the accumulation of 10 zh.k. . until the second Sunday in March.

Important to remember! Cards in the championship and cups are summed up. A player who is disqualified misses the next game in any tournament.

k.k. (2 housing units per match)- missing the next match in the championship. For gross violations, additional sanctions may be imposed in the form of missing several matches.

2 k.k., 3 k.k. in the season - missing 2 and 3 matches, respectively.

In England, decisions on warnings may be reviewed. They can either remove the disk or, conversely, increase the ban.

Super League Türkiye

4 residential complexes- missing the next match in the championship;

k.k. (2 housing units per match)- missing the next match in the championship. For gross violations, additional sanctions are possible in the form of missing several matches;

Important to remember! Cards in the championship and cup are summed up. A player who is disqualified misses the next game in any tournament.

Eurocups (UCL + LE)

The player who deleted from the field, automatically receives disqualification for the next match in club tournaments under the auspices of UEFA. The UEFA control and disciplinary body may tighten this punishment.

Regarding disqualifications for yellow cards, then the player misses the next match in the tournament, receiving 3 warnings in three different matches, and after each subsequent odd warning(fifth, seventh, ninth, etc.).

Single warnings and disqualifications are always carried forward either to the next stage of the competition or to another UEFA club competition in the same season.

As an exception all yellow cards or pending suspensions due to too many warnings are canceled at the end of the playoff round (note: qualifying games). They are no longer taken into account in the group stage. Yellow cards or pending suspensions due to too many warnings in European competition are canceled at the end of the season.

Yellow cards received since the start of the group stage, burn out after the quarterfinals, that is, they are not transferred to the semifinals.