How to learn to analyze matches in football for a beginner. How to properly analyze matches for betting - sports betting analysis

Hi all! Today I decided to put together programs and tables that can be useful for sports betting. Some of them allow you to evaluate a bet in a bookmaker's office much better than if you did it manually, although you also have to do a lot manually :) Why scratch your tongue, let's get down to the most important thing - laying out links.

Bet-Plus 2019 (updated)

Programs in the form of an excel file with loading information from different sites to collect statistics. The program gives out predictions for football matches quite accurately, focusing on various indicators, including the results of recent matches. Archived regular version Bet-Plus 2019 and updated, as well as the instruction file.

Tote Master V1.4.10

The program allows you to generate a code for making a batch bet. The program is intuitive, with the help of it you can place bets with a brief system. brief system makes it possible to create such a package for the totalizator matches, in which if all the selections play, then at least one coupon will fall into the prize category that you have chosen.

Totoscore V1.0.2.0

Exactly the same program as the Tote master, only more advanced, there are several additional ones. generation modes.

Totallo V2.2

The program that determines the totals football matches. Essentially very simple.

Program ZX16 V2

With this software, you can predict the outcome of matches using statistics.

Accurate Score Program

The correct score program allows you to make an analysis based on the sums of goals scored in 7 matches.

FootBet V1 and V2 and V3

With this program, you can estimate the probability of winning a particular team, based on: the class of the team, your own or someone else's stadium, the results of the last 5 matches, the place in the standings, the number of absent base players, the difference in days from last game etc.

BetManager V1.2

The usual Excel form in the form of a separate program for keeping track of your bets made, allows you to analyze and calculate your success in betting.

Kelly criterion

BigBetCalculator V1.01

The program is a set of calculators for sports betting - 17 pieces.

Bookmaker Calculator

Analyzer for betting on football, taking into account the odds in bookmakers.

FutAnaliz

FutAnaliz is a football match analysis software. It is an Excel file.

BriefGenerator

Igor-san program for generating package rates (brief system) for sweepstakes Fonbet, Marathon, Betcity, Baltbet, etc. + a set of text combinations.

GolPlyus v10.1

GolPlyus is a fairly popular match analyzer, everything is done through an excel file with calculation formulas.

Golplyus Turbo 5

Golplyus Turbo is one of the GolPlyus series of programs that can analyze football and hockey matches.

Golplyustotal Pro

Golplyustotal Pro is an analyzer of football matches by goals scored.

GolPlyus NTFT

GolPlyus NTFT is a football analyzer different teams, the accuracy is increased.

Gol Plus Basketball

GolPlus Basketball is an Excel file-based program that analyzes basketball games.

AutoGol

AutoGol is a program in the form of an excel file used to calculate match totals and individual totals. In addition, the original algorithms of the participants of the betting forums are used. Plus, the archive for him is a bunch of fucking matches.

Now Goal Auto

NowGoal Auto is a Turkish sports betting program, to be more precise, to help with this, it has statistics and prediction.

Undower 0.3 (april2019) 1.0.0

Undower - parser table of the site Nowgoal.vip, which gives results on Total(1.5) + Total(2.5) + Total(3.5) for the first half and the whole match. The best pass TB (1.5) and TM (3.5) at the level of 85%.

Plonkbata 0.5

Plonkbata is an Italian table translated and adapted for Russians, similar to Plonk. Predicts at least one goal scored in the first or second match, or in the match. Permeability is said to be at the level of 80-90%. Naturally, the odds for such probabilities are small and it is desirable to cheat on express bets.

Overunders preadsheet for Nowgoal (mod_april2019) 1.0.0

Overunders is a mod for the site Nowgoal.vip that makes predictions for the total match based on the Poisson distribution.

Odds database for Bet365 and Pinnacle

Here is just the history of odds from these two offices. Can be useful for predicting matches.

Infinity Book

InfinityBook is an updated parser that, like a bot, crawls through soccerstand, flashscore and myscore sites, collecting information on the latest matches of teams, the standings, the form table of the last 5,10,15 matches, odds 1-X-2, TB/TM2.5 both will score. The parser is compatible with the 21st forecasting program. Excel file contains forecast algorithms MyBet_MySkore, Wanga-Bet v1, Altadar, Syndicate Tables, New Total Bomb 2016 and Tyresyas.

STD Picks

STD Picks is a betting excel file, but it takes some digging to make it work.

Poisson

Poisson is a program that shows probability based on Poisson distribution, team shape and other variables. There is export to Excel spreadsheet, tournament table and more.

Bet Plus 2019 and Bet Plus 1.1

Bet-Plus is a program for calculating the outcome of football matches, based on an excel spreadsheet.

Minifnrtina 1.1.0

Minifnrtina is a Turkish program that shows excellent results in forecasts.

Willscore

Willscore is a program that calculates the forecast for Total Over (1.5).

LBFootball 1.41b

LBFootball is a program to calculate Total Over(2.5) and Both Teams To Score.

New Total Bomb fixedGG 4.0.0

New Total Bomb is a Poisson Distribution prediction file, purely theoretical, based on statistics from the nowgoal.id website.

xG-bedel-xG 1.0.0

xG-bedel-xG is the Expected Goals xG calculation model file.

Bet-profi 7.0

Bet-profi is an excel spreadsheet program for predicting total, total over, total under matches in football.

Incognito Crush Points v1

Incognito Crush Points is an Excel spreadsheet that comprehensively builds predictions for football bets.

Pronostikator 2.0.0

Pronostikator - we have an adaptation of the Italian Plonk 3 table for Russians. An honest tank test has been introduced to check the algorithm on past matches.

ElizaBET PRO 11

ElizaBET PRO is a program that gives probabilities for the outcome of a match based on 15 algorithms. Doesn't predict. Good tool.

FootbalData Rate AutoCalculator 2.0.0

FootbalData Rate AutoCalculator - automated program, which calculates the form of teams and generates predictions for the outcomes of matches. The parser is taken from AutoGol.

Landi Bet and Landi Bet 2

Landi Bet is an analyzer based on matches already played. We drive in the results of already played meetings, we get a forecast.

Landi Bet My Score

Landi Bet My Score is a program for analyzing football matches. According to the results of the match, it predicts how many goals will be scored, who will score first, which total to bet, shows you the statistics of the teams.

Landi Bet Tennis

Landi Bet Tennis - analyzer of tennis matches based on the last matches played.

Landi Bet Football v 2

Landi Bet Football - football analyzer based on the results of the last 10 matches played.

Opredelitel 8.2

Opredelitel 8.2 is enough old program, which can automatically analyze different types sports: football, volleyball, handball, tennis, hockey.

ProAnaliz Football

ProAnaliz Football is a football analyzer similar to Landi Bet.

ProAnalyz Tennis

ProAnaliz Tennis is an analyzer of tennis matches made on the basis of Excel files.

ProAnalyz Hockey

ProAnaliz Hockey is a program for analyzing hockey matches based on Excel files.

Sport Concrete V 2

Sport Beton is a football analyzer based on the last 5 matches that gives recommendations on Total Over 2.5 or Total Under 2.5 (TO2.5 or Under2.5) bets.

Total Prophet (Total Prophet)

Total Prophet (Total Prorok) - Also called the Miracle Program. Alexey Voloshin's program analyzes hockey matches.

ASIANBET

ASIANBET is an analyzer of football matches, it mainly shows total, goal in 1st half and outcome.

Basket

Basket is a basketball match analyzer based on Excel files.

Basketball Live

Basketball Live is also an analyzer of basketball matches, using an excel spreadsheet, but for matches in Live mode.

Opredelitel V 13.0 BET ASSISTANT

Opredelitel v13.0 BET ASSISTANT - assistant and analyzer for football betting.

BETGARANT

BETGARANT is a program that helps to analyze football matches using special formulas, built on the basis of Excel files.

FootForecast V 08.16

FootForecast is a football match analyzer based on physical form commands.

ForeCaster 24score V 12.16

ForeCaster is a program for analyzing football matches. Can predict the number of goals scored by opponents in the 1st and 2nd half, predictions for: W1/X/W2/Total/Handicap/Individual totals/1X/12/X2, etc.

BigBetCalculator V 1.01

BigBetCalculator is a program that contains 17 popular bet calculators.

Fuckbook

Fuckbuk is an excel-based football match analyzer with its own unique analysis formulas.

YMA Accurate Score Calculator

Calculation program exact count from YMA - an excel file with formulas that calculates an approximate exact score using probability theory.

Profibet Tennis V 2.1

Profibet Tennis is a program for automatic analysis of a tennis match, without searching for statistics. You just choose your opponents and look at the layout. Instructions in the archive.

Project Rating (Football + PRO System)

Project Rating is a program for analyzing the attack and defense strength of teams, the exact score and, accordingly, the total, the probability of a possible victory according to Bayes theory, the size of the bet according to the Kelly criterion and what outcome to bet on.

SportStatic

SportStatic is a database program with statistics for football, hockey, and basketball teams. The database contains information on 142077 matches.

Football championships

Football Championships is a program for the statistics of football matches, perhaps one of the best programs to date.

Total Prognoz V1.2

Total Prognoz is a program for predicting the exact score in a football match. The program is based on an Excel file. The archive contains a video instruction from the author.

Teoria_tryokh_matchey_2_0.zip

Analysis of basketball matches

Analysis of basketball matches - the definition of the total for basketball.

Match analysis (football and hockey)

Match analysis (football and hockey) - perhaps the name speaks :)

NBA match analysis

NBA Match Analysis is a program for predicting the exact score in NBA matches.

Football Analysis V2

Football analysis - total forecast based on excel files.

Hockey analysis

Hockey analysis - determining the exact score of a hockey match based on an excel file.

Pro Teniss Analysis

Pro Teniss Analysis is an interesting analyzer of tennis matches on an excel file.

NextGame

NextGame is a program for analyzing football matches.

Search Forks 3.5

Search Forks 3.5 is a free fork search program.

predictz

Predictz is a football prediction software.

Robo Win

Robo Win- analyzer of bets on football, using a variety of parameters, including motivation, etc.

First week. Pot: $2210.14 Bet: +34-23=2 Profit: +210.14$

Second week. Pot: $2344.34 Bet: +34-41=2 Profit: +$134.20

Third week. Pot: $2573.84 Bet: +46-43=3 Profit: +229.50$

Third week on betting days

1 day. Rates +8-10 +150.40$ -100.00$ Profit: +50.40$

Day 2 Rates +6-6=0 +72.50$ -60.00$ Profit: +12.50$

Day 3 Rates +16-14=1 +239.10$ -130.00$ Profit: +109.10$

Day 4 Rates: +6-9=2 +67.50$ -88.00$ Profit: -20.50$

Day 5 Rates: +10-4=0 +118.00$ -40.00$ Profit: +78.00$

..........................................................................................................................................

Total for 3 weeks: Bank 2573.84$ Rates: +114-107=4 Profit: +573.84$

We already wrote that to select a match for betting, we use falling odds and monitor the probable valuation of the event. Today I want to tell you what criteria we use to analyze a match before placing a bet. It should be noted that we usually do brief analysis according to 3-4 parameters. Because there are a lot of matches with delicious odds, but there is little time and sometimes you want to bet on everything. You have to hurry, do everything quickly, and haste is good only in catching fleas, as you know. For this reason, the percentage of pass rates is falling. So the "check for lice" must be carried out thoroughly, given the various aspects of the upcoming match.

So, let's look at the example of one match, how it happens. We have chosen the football match of the French championship, which will take place on February 28, but today some bookmakers offer an overpriced odds on zero handicap guests.

There is a desire to put a zero handicap on the guests, considering the odds to be value.

We compare teams according to our criteria.

• Position in the table
• Face-to-face meetings
• Face-to-face meetings at home/away
• Latest Games
• Games with higher teams
• Games with lower teams
• Games at home/away
• Sports component
• Movement of betting lines
• Team Losses
• Player Status
• Field state
• Weather
• Judge
• Add. information

As you can see, it turned out as many as 15 parameters. Surely something else can be added, but for now let's consider the existing ones.

Position in the table. Bastia is ahead by 5 points, higher by 6 lines. but the teams have exactly 8 victories each. By this parameter, we will still give 1 point in favor of the guests.

Face-to-face meetings. We take the last 5 games. 2-2=1 bonus point does not go to anyone.

Face-to-face meetings at home/away. Since we are going to bet on the odds of the guests, we are considering from this point of view. And in the last five face-to-face games, Bastia has never won away, only one draw and one defeat. Moreover, there are no guest wins since 1998. It makes no sense to look further at it. Ball goes to Lorient.

Latest Games. Ball of Bastia.

Games with superiors. Here we consider Lorient, since it is lower. One defeat in five recent matches with higher teams. 2 wins, 2 draws. plus 1 point

Downline games. Plus 1 Bastia point. 3 wins 1 draw

Games at home / away. A point is not awarded to anyone - both teams are at the bottom of the table according to their performance.

Sports component. Lorient needs glasses, plus 1 point

Betting lines. There is a slight drop in the victory of the hosts 5-6% for all beeches. It makes sense to take a closer look 3 days before the match, as usually the so-called popans are placed on the day of the match. So there are 2 options - or pre-made impressive, but not very big bet, or not very significant infa, because drop rate is low. In any case, beeches overestimate the odds for Bastia, so that they bet on her as well. A good doctor in this case would advise you to monitor the patient's condition for another day in the hospital, that is, to monitor the movement of odds. One point goes to Lorient for now.

Other parameters we don't usually check. I think it's important to watch them if you bet 1 match a week. We have a lot of games every day, and if any info comes across, we take it into account. But we don’t look specifically, there is not enough time.

What did we get. On points 4-3 in favor of Lorient. The advantage was due to a slight drop in odds for Lorient. 56% vs. 44% for Lorient to win. Books have 70% versus 30% Right now this means that the odds for guests of 3.35 are indeed 14% in value. You know, when I compared the teams, I did not look at the percentage of value that our machine gave out. And now I updated it and looked - 13.42% This is a value profit, and the value index is 1.091 real odds for guests 3.07 I'm shocked! With a small mathematical error, I calculated the value on a par with the machine)) But no, I'm not a genius. The machine and the bookmakers use the same data, they just consider it better, more professional. But in this case everything matched.

Here I must say that I took the maximum odds for guests from the marathon. Now let's check with other beeches. And what do we see? Above the real odds of 3.07, only three books give. The rest have from 2.40 to 3.05 Once again we are convinced that there is a value. Moreover, as many have noticed, there is also a fork of 1.20% If you put a maximum of 1.45 on Lorient at the Intervetten beech and 3.35 on Bastia at the marathon.

The third and fourth digits are the margin and the time of the last update

But the match is not suitable for our strategy. There is no big drop in odds, and we take value odds when there are clear chances of a call. And when 3 good beech give credit, there is reason to doubt a positive result. I personally tend to believe that the match will end in a draw.

Yesterday we did not make bets, so far we have not chosen anything either, but closer to midnight there may be bets on falling odds - after dinner we will track everything)

Novice bookmaker users make mistakes all the time. No matter how well-thought out the strategy, you always need to look at the statistics, follow the news and check different data.


There is a category of bettors who treat bets as gambling, they count only at random, this is not correct.

How to analyze football for betting? Until you learn how to build forecasts based on important data, you will not be able to increase your bank.

In addition to the fact that many do not check anything, there are those who attach great importance unimportant factors and vice versa, ignores the most important.

5 Important Points When Analyzing Football

It’s good if you have already found many different sites for yourself that help you make predictions. We have already talked about helpful information The network appears constantly, it needs to be used.

But even without your opinion, nothing will come of it, and so that you can correctly analyze the matches, remember the most important points:

1. The first step is to look at the overall standings, it is presented on many sites. Depending on the chosen strategy and other points, you need to evaluate different data.
2. Next, you need to determine the leaders of the tournament (clear favorites). An ideal situation for a bet is given to a better if one of the leaders has lost several games in a row. This may be due to various reasons, starting with injuries of some players, ending with a seasonal decline. The leaders do not stay in the outsiders for a long time, so they must win in subsequent games. The main thing is to determine real reasons losses, perhaps in this tournament the favorite will remain at the bottom of the table.
3. In football tournaments, it often happens that a team loses by a wide margin. It's one thing if it's an outsider, a weak team. Another thing is if this is a leader or at least an average one. For them, this is a shame, so they will definitely want to win back, the team's motivation will be on top. If you see how a strong team won with a rout, and even it played on a foreign field, and next game to be “at home”, feel free to bet on it.
4. Further information about the upcoming event is analyzed. Everything must be taken into account, starting with the location of the players on the field, ending with the running conditions and the uniform of each team member. Remember that players play better on their field, after several defeats, a strong squad will try to pull up the number of points. It also often happens that when teams meet, occupying subsequent places in the standings, the one that was lower makes every effort to get around the competitor.
5. Before you open a bet, be sure to check the odds and read the opinions of professionals on various forums. Forecasts based solely on dry statistics often fail, so you just need to apply analysis and be mindful of patterns. Some of them have turned into betting rules.

Do not try to analyze football in general, choose a specific tournament and make predictions on it. Teams can play differently in different championships and this must be taken into account.

Always win at sports betting even professionals cannot, but it’s also not worth opening express trains, relying only on luck.


You need to constantly collect statistics, check it, identify influencing factors and try to predict the result of a particular match. This is not easy to do, but until you become an expert, you will not be able to earn much.

How to analyze football matches? Most often, bookmakers bet on football.

That is why we decided to talk about the analysis before the match starts. This helps to build the correct forecast. It is also not superfluous to compare your assumptions with .

Analyze football matches correctly

The analysis of football matches will not help you if you use the services of an unverified company.

Now there are many bookmakers on the Internet, but not everyone can be trusted. The best in this regard has been 1xstavka for several years now. From the site of this company, I constantly receive payments.

A proven and reliable service that offers bettors a wide range of opportunities. In addition to choosing a BC, it makes sense to learn how to apply various ones. All professionals use cunning tactics while making forecasts in parallel.

If you decide to become a real expert in the field football betting, there's a lot to learn. Professionals spend years, then to earn large sums.

Everyone has the same chance therefore, the sooner you educate yourself, the sooner you will achieve good results.

Rules for Match Analysis

Checks must be made approximately 10 hours before the match. This time is enough to collect all the information and make assumptions about the results of the game.

What exactly needs to be checked? Here are the main factors:

1. Team status - the most important factor influencing the results. Almost all teams have ups and downs, so sometimes even underdogs can pull ahead. The way the team played 4 years ago is outdated information, you need to look for up-to-date data.
2. Coaching - this item includes team motivation. Most beginners don't pay attention to this. It has already been seen more than once how players literally pull out a victory when they approach the first place in the tournament ladder. And if there is also a good coach, it can positively affect the game.
3. Location of the game - playing on "their own land", the players have more chances to win. It would seem, how is the field different? But the factor is really influential. In general, this moment is debatable, since some teams are considered "away", i.e. they often win not in their own field.
4. The results of personal meetings are a good hint for a better. You can look at the statistics on personal meetings and highlight the so-called "uncomfortable opponents". It is better to use it for totals and other types of bets. Those. when you are sure that the total score will not exceed some value.
5. The composition of the team is one of the main factors. Lineups can change several times during the tournament, and with it the strength of the team changes. Sometimes the players cannot enter the field for a number of reasons, and sometimes the line-up is deliberately changed by the coaches, you need to figure out which line-up the team is the favourite.
6. Breaking news - sports events have to be studied constantly, because they help to understand how the teams are set up, what happened to the players in life, who got injured, and so on. Every little thing can affect how the team as a whole or each individual player plays.
7. General statistics - this item could not be included in common list, since the analysis of football matches involves checking the results of other games. You need to compare not only goals scored, but also check corners, cards and much more. This will come in handy for betting.

You will have to spend a lot of time to analyze football matches, but without this it is unlikely that you will be able to win often.

Decided to make money betting on football? Spontaneous decisions do not bring success in the long run. To reduce the risk of losing, analyze football matches before placing bets on them. What moments matter the most?

Consider the principle of analyzing football matches on the example of the recent game Newcastle United - Manchester City. In this case, we have a classic confrontation between the clear favorite of the tournament and an unmotivated outsider.

Why unmotivated? Newcastle is not in the relegation zone, but it certainly will not be able to claim a leading position either. Manchester is not interested in this match in principle, but more on that below.

Team rating

Needless to say, based on the numbers, Newcastle cannot be perceived as a rival for Manchester at all.

When analyzing any upcoming match, consider the rankings of both teams. Evaluate how objectively the bookmaker gave the odds, whether he cheated somewhere, overestimating or underestimating them to his advantage.

Do not forget that a high rating does not always mean an unconditional victory, but for analysis it is very convenient to use this criterion as a starting point. However, if you are focusing not on championship games, but, say, on cup games, you need a different approach, because here the goals and motivations are completely different.

Individual players

6 players from Manchester are on the list of top scorers in the Premier League this season, Newcastle does not have such a stellar squad.

Take an interest in the strong and weaknesses commands. Here, first of all, information about injured football players or emotional depression of the team matters. The latter often happens when a coach changes, some kind of conflict between players, non-payment of fees to athletes.

Find out about the form and confidence of the key players, they may have given pre-match interviews. Get information from magazines, TV and the Internet.

To get the most accurate information about the composition of the teams, wait for the official application from the coaches. Also listen to this information in the broadcast immediately before the match.

Game Schedule

Based on the density of Manchester's schedule, it is immediately clear that they will not waste their energy on fighting Newcastle. What's the point of using every opportunity when more difficult matches are on the horizon. But it is also logical that Manchester does not need a defeat from a team of this level, respectively, in such cases, a draw or a maximum of one goal is usually predicted, but it all depends on the tasks of each team.

An important element of the analysis is the schedule of upcoming matches. A team that has just played or is about to play in a major competition like the Champions League can put top players on vacation. If Liverpool entered the field without Salah, Mane and Firmino, and you did not know about it and bet on victory, the risks are high that the match will end not in your favor.

You also need to know what it is: a derby, a match against a direct competitor or a historical rival. Depending on this, the team may not play at full strength to save them for next week's meeting.

History is also important, it sets the "tone" even before the start of the match. For example, a team that has never lost to another or in last time lost 20 years ago, will behave more confidently and strive to win.

Previous matches

Newcastle are already losing their 5th match at home, MS, on the contrary, shows excellent statistics in the Premier League and has a defeat only in the Champions League, and this, as you know, is a completely different kitchen.

A team that has won 5 victories in a row is much more motivated and "prone" to win. Refer to the statistics and view past meetings. Analyze the performance of the selected team in past games.

It is important to look at the conditions in which previous matches were played, if these are mostly friendly meetings, it is too early to draw a positive conclusion about success in the upcoming match.

Individual statistics

Newcastle in Lately can show performance only on goals conceded. It is certainly not necessary to count on goals from their side. Manchester City is leading in this parameter.

First of all you should look at the scoring statistics for both teams. If one has good stats at home and the other doesn't "feel" well away, it's obviously worth betting on the home team, even if it's slightly lower ranked. This parameter often justifies trust and is used experienced players as a "base" for analysis.

The second point: the number of goals scored and the number of goals conceded during the season. This gives an idea of ​​the ability of teams to attack and defend.

Another nuance: when the teams play at the very end of the season. In this case, you need to analyze the problems and tasks of each team. For example, one will be able to qualify for the "podium" if she achieves good results in last days, while the other needs, that there is strength, to hold out in order to stay in the league.

These are just some of the points to consider when betting on football. Today we reviewed the analysis of the event on the example of a match between a favorite and an outsider, and there can be a million different football variations. Therefore, we once again remind you of the importance game strategies in sports betting, especially for beginners.