Bets are made: what bookmakers earn on. Earnings on bookmakers: less excitement, more composure The principle of the bookmaker's office

It is an official organization that accepts forecasts for the outcomes of various events. Thus, she makes bets with clients. Modern online and offline accept bets both on sports events, and events that are not directly related to sports. For example, to win a certain presidential candidate, the series finale, etc. In this article, we will tell you about this organization, as well as how to win at a bookmaker.

The principle of cooperation

How does the client interact with this organization? Very simple: online or at the reception point, he makes a bet. If he managed to guess the outcome, then the bet money is returned to his account or directly into his hands plus a certain profit, the amount of which will depend on the coefficient. If the client did not guess correctly, then his money goes to the organization.

Reasons for losing

Ninety percent of people don't know how to win at a bookmaker. Therefore, they lose their own money. There are both objective and subjective reasons for the loss of funds. Let's take a look at them.

All-in bet

This is one of the most popular reasons for bankroll loss. An attempt to return what you lost in order to get a profit makes you bet unreasonably. And this leads to bankruptcy.

Emotional stakes

Feelings should not interfere with sports predictions. Emotional, impulsive and self-confident people are not threatened with earnings in bookmakers.

Betting on the first games of the season

Before betting, experienced gamblers study in detail the statistics of each player or team. Before the start of the first games, this cannot be done, and past statistics are not entirely relevant.

Desire to make quick money

When playing at a bookmaker, you need to regularly analyze information from different sources, up to the physical state of each player. The less time you devote to analysis, the more rash the decision will be.

Betting on your favorite team

To make money a reality, forget about betting on your favorite team. The decision on the bet is made solely on the basis of statistical data, and not sympathy for a particular team (player). An experienced capper has no favorite or least favorite teams (players).

Buying 100% Predictions

It is impossible to extract 100% profit from bets all the time. Forecast sellers with a 100% guarantee are scammers.

Purchasing match fixing information

Remember, "agreements" are sold only by scammers. At ordinary people no access to insider information. Maybe there is a chance to acquire it, but not in in social networks and not for a thousand rubles.

In addition to the reasons listed above, a separate point is the inexperience of the player. Anyone inspires people with thoughts about easy earnings of huge sums. But a beginner should not immediately invest in betting. First you need to open a demo account (play money) and practice for several weeks. This way you can evaluate your existing skills and see progress in learning.

How to avoid mistakes?

Earnings in bookmakers is possible only when the gambler adheres to a number of rules when placing a bet. The following tips will not only streamline the game, but also make a good profit:

Betting should be treated the same as any job. After all, making bets takes as much time as regular office work. At the same time, much more discipline and hard work is needed.
Analyze statistics. Don't expect to have winnings at bookmakers without some painstaking analysis of your bets. It is a support for absolutely any capper. The choice in favor of one or another outcome of an event can only be made after a thorough study of the statistical data.
Withdraw money regularly. Make a withdrawal schedule and stick to it. A large bankroll will provoke you to play big, and with a constant withdrawal of funds, this can be avoided.
Play in multiple organizations. Moreover, these should be official bookmakers with many years of experience. This way you can compare odds and pick the best ones. After all, it makes no sense to bet where the odds are very low.
Take your time! If there are 10 minutes left before the event, and you have not yet analyzed, then refuse the bet, no matter how profitable the odds are. Hasty decisions are the fastest way to lose.
Do not put express. Express is a bet that includes several events. The more of them, the higher the probability of losing money. It is better to do exclusively ordinars, that is single bets. The profit, of course, will be small, but the probability of winning will increase significantly.
Pay attention to sports news. Bookmakers on the Internet place them directly on their websites. So you don't even need to search specifically. Bad news leads to corresponding results. For example, the loss of a key basketball player due to an injury in practice is likely to lead to an unstable team performance. So when deciding on a bet, do not forget to read the related news.

A bit about strategies

IN real life There are no 100% winning gaming strategies. This is due to many reasons - the nature of the participants in the game, the circumstances of the match, the day and even the championship. It's impossible to predict everything possible factors influence. Therefore, there is no absolute passage of an event in nature.

But this does not mean at all that the player cannot develop a strategy that allows him to win money. First you need to draw up a schedule of events that you want to bet on. As soon as fresh statistics appear (it is provided by the bookmaker itself), the results of meetings between teams (players), etc., you need to do the most in-depth analysis. Only then can you place a bet.

Almost every review of bookmakers contains information about the possibility of betting in the course of the game (live). Experts do not recommend doing them, especially for beginners. As a rule, the odds for such events are quite small, and the risk is too high. After all, even if there is a clear favorite in the match, this does not mean that he cannot become an underdog in the near future.

Another betting strategy is called catch-up. Its meaning is that you still win, you just need to constantly bet until you win. For example, in a football match between Chelsea and Liverpool, you bet on the victory of the first team. But Chelsea are losing and you are losing money. In this case, you need to immediately look for the second event, on which you bet twice as much. For example, the bet on Chelsea was 10 rubles. On the second event, you must bet 20 rubles. Thus, you can cover the previous loss and your initial investment. If the second event did not play, then the bet on the third one will be 40 rubles, etc.

The d'Alembert technique is also popular. Numerous reviews of professional cappers speak of its high performance. Its essence is that, as in the case of the catch-up, you need to constantly bet. But only these should be events with the same coefficient. The bet size does not change. It is quite easy to do this. There are at least 5-10 events with the same odds in the line of any bookmaker.

Well, the last strategy that we will talk about is a fork. It is the only way to guarantee a profit. What is it? A fork is a set of bets on one event in various bookmakers, which guarantees a win in any outcome.

The only disadvantage of this strategy is the low profit (from 0.1 to 5%). In addition, the development software and technology already practically does not allow a large discrepancy between the odds different offices. But despite this, some bookmakers still make mistakes. Players just have to find them. The simplest fork includes at least a couple of events. For example: 1-2, 1X-2, X-12, 1-X2. In more complex surebets, there are three non-overlapping outcomes. For example: P1-X-P2, P1-X-F2(-1), F1(-1)-X-P2, F1(-1)-X-F2(-1).

Conclusion

Now you know that making money in bookmakers is possible. To do this, the gambler needs to take this activity seriously, without self-confidence. When planning a bet, you need to be aware of all the news about the selected event. Never ignore statistics. It allows you to evaluate the data of all participants in the event and take the most the right decision. Follow the advice given in the article, and winnings at bookmakers will become a habit for you. Good luck!

Every person who is interested in sports and follows different competitions sooner or later thinks about how to make money at a bookmaker.

Fans tend to make predictions for certain events, and if these predictions come true, they become confident that their knowledge and experience is enough to make money at bookmakers.

Knowledge of sports is good, but there wouldn't be so many betting shops if all fans successfully placed bets and received their winnings. Often, players in offices face defeats, as they approach the process too superficially. That is, they remain amateurs in this matter, not using all the opportunities for a professional game from bookmakers.

Bookmakers have an edge over gamblers

The first thing you must forever leave in your mind, if you want to play on bets and earn money, bookmakers have an advantage over players. It is the offices that determine the rules of the game and draw up betting lines with such coefficients as to be in the black for any outcome of the match. For this they carry out great job on the analysis of statistical data, as well as respond to bets already made on certain events.

You can earn money in bookmaker only by answering the same painstaking analytical work with statistics. You can't do without the ability to quickly respond to the movements of the coefficients in the lines. You must be very collected and attentive, be able to process a large amount of information in a short time. In addition, it is important to always keep your emotions under control, which will reduce the number of erroneous decisions.

Need a betting strategy

In addition to the factors listed above, your earnings largely depend on how well you choose the right game strategy. You must develop clear betting rules for yourself that you will need to follow without exception in order for the strategy to be effective in the long run. This approach disciplines the player, systematizes the forecasting process and minimizes losses.

There are a lot of strategies for making money in bookmakers, so it’s not necessary to develop your own rules of the game, you can take a time-tested system .

IN this case it’s better not to “reinvent the wheel”, but to refine existing methods for yourself.

There are many of them, including the Oscar Grind strategy, the Kelly criterion, and others. But there are the most simple for perception and at the same time effective, which will be discussed now.

Flat

Flat- perhaps the most known way earnings by controlling the game bank, reducing the likelihood of losses and optimizing winnings. The essence of this strategy is betting the same size for every event. For beginners, it is recommended to make bets that do not exceed a few percent of the entire bank, that is, 200 rubles with a bank of 10,000, for example. With good analytical work on the selection of events for bets, such a strategy allows you to receive a stable income, although it cannot be called very profitable. On the other hand, the chances of quickly losing all the money in this way are almost zero.

Percentage from the bank

Percentage from the bank or a slightly modernized flat is another popular way to make money at bookmakers. In this case, the recalculation of the size of the bet occurs after each of the events, so that it is always equal to a certain percentage of the bank. For example, if you bet 100 rubles with a pot of 1000 on an event with a coefficient of 2.0, if you win, the next bet will be 110 rubles, and if you lose 90 rubles, that is, 10% of the bank.

Fixed income rates

A little more difficult to understand - financial fixed profit strategy. This method implies that you will choose events with such odds and place bets of such a size as to receive the same amount of winnings. For example, you can bet 2,000 rubles at odds of 1.5 to make a profit of 1,000 rubles. Or it can be a bet of 4000 rubles with a coefficient of 1.25, which allows you to get the same profit.

Sports Betting Gaming Strategies

Many professional players also use game strategies. There are more of them than financial ones, and there are several of the most popular ones.

Martingale system

martingale system, which is also called the "catch-up" strategy, is based on increasing the amount of the bet until the moment when a win occurs that covers all previous losses. After that, the player returns to the original bet size.

With a successful scenario, this strategy is one of the best for making money. But its main disadvantage is high risk loss. Even if you have an impressive pot, you can quickly lose all your money, because you need to bet with odds of 2.0 or more, and their size is constantly increasing after losing the previous bet.

rice. 2 For the system of "arbs" you need to play in many betting shops at the same time

"Forks"

Not less popular fork system, which is considered to be one of the main betting strategies at bookmakers for professional cappers. For this strategy, it is important to have accounts in many bookmakers, and they should have enough a large number of money.

How to make money with surebets? It is necessary to find bilateral equally probable events, the odds for each of the outcomes in which will be greater than 2.0. It is clear that this is possible only in different bookmakers, and it is these odds that will be in the lines for a short time. Therefore, professionals use special programs to quickly search for such "forks" - it is quite difficult to find them on your own.

"Corridors"

Corridor strategy, assuming simultaneous bets on Soccer game, for example, on the total over 2.5 and the total under 4.5. If there are 3 goals in the match, both bets will play and you will get a solid profit, if any other number of goals, one bet will still play and you will not be in a big loss. It is believed that this strategy most effective for basketball events, as there the corridor can be "wider" due to more points scored by teams per game.

"Time Match"

Time match strategy, in which the player bets on the victory of one team both in the first half and in the match. Of course, for this it is necessary to correctly select an event and analyze the statistics of the team’s games, since it can have such a style of play that most victories are obtained after a break in the match, then it is better to bet on a victory in the second half. IN this method both bets can pass, one of them, or there will be two losses. That is, in comparison with the “corridors” system, it is less safe.

What popular strategies for earning at bookmakers are the least stable

Express rates

Amateur players who do not yet know how to make money often choose the parlay betting strategy. They select a lot of events with small odds, believing that these "pieces of iron" will definitely pass. But the more events there are in the accumulator, the less likely it is to win. In such a strategy, failures quite often occur when the event ends contrary to all forecasts. Still, sport remains a sport, and it is impossible to be 100% sure that the favorite will win.

Draw Betting

Some bettors try to make money with a tie betting strategy. Draw outcomes always come with good odds, greater than 2.0, while there are teams that are very peaceful and draw more often than they win or lose. Accordingly, betting on a peaceful outcome in their matches, you will remain in the black in the long run. But this strategy is also very unreliable, since it is quite difficult to catch the beginning of a long draw series, and betting after it has already gained momentum is risky, because the series will end at any moment.

As you can see, there are a lot of ways to make money with bookmakers, you just need to evaluate your analytical and financial capabilities, decide on a game strategy and remember to control emotions. Then the income will definitely come to you!

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Bets is a company that gives people the opportunity to bet on a certain event, most often it is sports (on the victory of a particular team or player), but also on cultural (victory in some kind of competition), political (outcome of the election).

Today, online bookmakers are gaining more and more popularity. In order to place bets, you only need to register, and, having received a personal account, replenish it and place bets.

How much can you earn?

It is quite possible to make money by placing bets in bookmakers, but for this it is necessary not to succumb to excitement and the desire to earn quickly and a lot, because in this case you can lose everything without earning a penny.

To make money in this way, the main thing is to make bets correctly, not to rush, to study the forecasts well, considering the games of teams, if it concerns any sporting events, to study the rating of their winning and losing games. You need to be well versed in the sport you want to bet on.

You can not rely only on the odds set by bookmakers. It would be a huge mistake to think that if you bet on a team with a lower odds, you will definitely win.

No need to rely on luck and luck, as this can play a cruel joke on you. It is necessary to calculate the coefficients yourself and then your chances of earning will increase.

Also, your earnings depend on the frequency of bets. If you bet once a month and every day, then, of course, the profit will be different.

And do not forget that it is simply impossible to win all the time. So there will be losses anyway.

It is better to play on small stakes than to bet big money, wanting to win everything at once and end up with nothing.

Ways to make a profit

Now let's look at the main, most common methods of earning:

You can make your own predictions based on your knowledge of the teams(rating of losing-winning matches, injured players, players who received cards). All these features will help you make the right prediction, thanks to which you can win. This method is one of the most likely methods of making money on bets.
If you cannot make your own, correct predictions, then you can simply buy them. Because there are people who make money by analyzing all aspects and creating their own forecasts as a result, which you can buy via the Internet. This method is not very reliable, since you spend money both on buying a forecast and on a bet, and you cannot be 100% sure that the forecast is correct and you have not fallen for the bait of scammers.
The essence of the third method is to search for surebets. The essence of surebets is that several predictions are made for the same team in different bookmakers, but for different results. But it is quite difficult to find such surebets, and you must have a sufficient account in different bookmakers. Now many savvy programmers create programs to find such forks, but they are not cheap and you still need to know how to use them. In principle, it is not possible to find a really profitable surebet manually.
And another way that you can use is to bet on an outsider. Sometimes bookmakers overestimate some bets, and this method is to find such a bet.

How to place a bet?

To place a bet, the first thing you need to do is:

Register on the website of the bookmaker of your choice. To do this, fill in all the required fields in the registration form.
Next, you will see a field where you will need to enter your account., which will be sent to you by mail and enter the account number. After that, you will see a list of upcoming events that you can bet on.
Then you need to select the sport and event, and choose the odds you want to bet on. If your bet is successful, then you will receive your winnings.

How to open your own betting shop on the Internet?

Opening a betting shop on the Internet is much more profitable than a regular bookmaker's office, since you do not need to look for a room for an office or hire staff. You can accept bets around the clock via the Internet.

In order to open a bookmaker's office on the Internet, you need to purchase ready programs for betting sites, but they are very expensive, and this does not mean at all that you will be the owner, you will only buy a license to use it.

You will work with a partner. You will only need to promote the site, its advertising, but your partner will have to provide the center with continuous betting offers for you.

What else is required of you is to hire experienced bookmakers who will create markets, determine odds and control bets, and this is an additional cost. But this is the best opportunity to open an online office.

Review of the best bookmakers

And at this stage, I would like to determine the best bookmakers on the Internet.

William Hill- was opened in 1934 in the UK. It was this office that was the first to open its online version, which worked around the clock. Here you can not only place bets, but also play casino games. Very reliable and popular betting shop, with many years of experience. The account can be replenished through various electronic resources, a bonus of 10 euros is given.
In the CIS countries, a fairly popular bookmaker is Parimatch.was founded in 1996. The site was launched in 2000. You have the opportunity to replenish your account through many electronic resources.
winlinebet- a very popular Russian office among users. Was established in 2009. It has established itself as a reliable server for betting on both sports events and casinos. By registering, you receive an initial bonus in the amount of 2 thousand rubles.
marathon- a fairly famous BC in Russia. Was created in 1997. The website of the office was opened quite recently in 2011, but its huge advantage is that it is available in 24 languages.
Sportingbet- Another British bookmaker, was opened in 1998. Also available in many languages, including Russian. And when you sign up, you get a pretty big bonus of $400.
888sport is a reliable, trustworthy bookmaker. Quite young, but very popular among users.
10bet- the most popular BC. You can not only bet on sporting events, but also play in online casinos. Upon registration, you receive a significant bonus of 200 euros. Depositing and withdrawing money is carried out without problems through all kinds of electronic resources.
Winner- an office that provides an opportunity to earn not only on bets, but also in online casinos. You can place bets not only through mobile phone, internet, but also online. The site is available in 30 languages, which is a huge advantage.
Leonbets is an authoritative betting shop that has been operating since 2007. You can place bets only on football events. Focused on the CIS countries.
Spobet is a reputable, reliable bookmaker. If you enter its name on the Internet, you can only see positive reviews. Technical support is available around the clock.

We have tried to sort out all the most important points concerning:

bookmakers;
their advantages and disadvantages;
ways to earn money through bets in the bookmaker;
rating of the best among the best;

Advantages and disadvantages

Pros:

In order to place a bet, you do not need to go to bookmakers, you can go to the site, register, deposit and play. It's much easier and faster.
If you make online bets, you can correct some of your mistakes if necessary.
On the Internet, you can get up-to-date information and predictions for games.
You can earn big money.
Online bookmakers are open 24 hours a day. You can place a bet at any time of the day.

But it also has its downsides:

The desire to earn quickly and more can lead to the fact that you simply lose, having lost your strategy. So, if you are a gambling and impatient windy person, then at one point you can lose all your money because of this.
Since the coefficient is constantly changing, you need to be careful, otherwise, if you do not notice the change in the coefficient, you will also lose.
Sometimes bets can be canceled even if the match is played.
Bookmakers can charge a significant commission for the provision of services.
Sometimes money can be withdrawn for quite a long time.

It's no secret that the betting business brings a lot of income. And the fact that thousands of companies work in this industry speaks for itself. A good bookmaker will always be in the black. Even the most, at times, unrealistic victories of the players will not leave the bookmaker with a nose. Have you often thought about how such offices manage to generate their incredible profits in such a way? P trying to figure it out.

Obviously, the basis of the bookmaker's success is the correct alignment of the line. This is a very responsible task - the correct determination of the odds for matches. Errors are not allowed here.

The principle of operation of the BC- the ability to correctly assess the capabilities of a particular athlete or sports team generally. Offices spend far from small funds on the maintenance of experts and professional analysts, who evaluate the capabilities of the team.

One of the most difficult tasks is to give the initial odds, because the bookmaker will start from them. It is clear that their nature is dynamic: the coefficients are constantly changing and being revised. But, I repeat, the basis of everything is the very first coefficients. Analysts have no room for error. They must accurately assess the balance of power in the match. As a rule, in 70% of cases their predictions are correct. First, the bookmaker gives a clean line.

Let's assume that Chelsea and Manchester United meet on a neutral field in the FA Cup final.

The probability of each of the three possible outcomes (P1, P2, draw) is approximately equal.

It will be approximately 33.33%. If translated into coefficients, it turns out something like 3.0-3.0-3.0.

But, have you ever seen such odds? I'm sure not. Bookmakers cannot offer such high odds, as it is unprofitable. Everything is as simple as two and two. In addition, for the game of approximately equal teams, the coefficients will line up as follows: 2.4-3.0-2.4.

Now it is clear that the coefficients are clearly underestimated. The bookmaker put a "margin" in them. This very "margin" is a guarantee for the bookmaker's profit. As a rule, it is 8%.

So it turns out that the coefficients are underestimated by about 8%. Of course, the size of the margin at bookmakers varies, but the principle of operation remains the same. One of the tasks of the player is to find the very company where the margin will be the lowest.

Like it or not, but on the margin alone, the bookmaker could not earn, or rather, earn really a lot. Of course, there is a guarantee of income, but they will be small. And this is not enough. The bulk of the income comes from certain rates.

Z a goldmine for bookmakers is sports sensations, which are the reason for the loss of many players. Most bettors bet on the favorites. The victory of this very favorite with small odds will bring the same insignificant income, so the amount of the bet, as a rule, is far from small.

I won't be surprised if your friends constantly bet 5-10 thousand rubles on such teams as Brazil or Germany. And in most cases, bookmakers pay out winnings. True, even if out of 10 games there are 1-2 sensations, the bookmaker compensates for its losses “through the roof”. Mathematics will explain everything.

Let's assume that the coefficient for the victory of the leader is 1.2.

The bookmaker pays one player a $20 win from a $100 bet.

Then the player loses his hundred twice.

It turns out that he lost $ 200, and the bookmakers made 40. That's it.)

Now it is not surprising that the World Cup in 2014 greatly pleased the owners of bookmakers.

Express bets are no less successful for the bookmaker.

Among the players there are many fans of express trains.

Bets are placed on 8-10 matches at a time.

Winning can be expected for months in this scenario, or even years.

Yes, once a year and the stick shoots, which will bring a substantial amount to the better.

True, given how much he “squandered” earlier, the bookmaker did not lose again.

It would not be superfluous to note that the principle of operation of both a casino and a bookmaker excludes even the slightest loss. Bookmakers are endowed with huge reserves Money, which compensate for losses over a long distance. You should also not forget about the margin embedded in the line. It also provides income. Even when everything obviously did not go according to the scenario, the bookmaker will adjust the odds, thereby balancing the final estimate.

The chances of the Russian national team, which will begin the performance of Euro 2016 on June 11 with a match with the British, are estimated by bookmakers to be extremely low. You can now bet on the victory of Russian football players in the final with a coefficient of 67.0. How does the betting business work and what do the odds set by bookmakers depend on? This is described in detail by the recently published book "The Art of Sports Betting", a fragment of which we publish.

The main principle of the bookmaker's office is to always win. For any outcome. In order for the bookmaker to live and prosper, its analysts calculate the odds for sports events not only (and not so much) based on real probabilities their outcome, but taking into account the margin included in the coefficient, which brings profit to the office from each of our bets.

Let's flip a coin of 100 rubles. As you understand, it will be either tails or heads. The odds are 50/50. Let's say you bet on tails and your friend bets on heads. It doesn’t matter whose bet wins, the bookmaker pays the winner 100 rubles without taking a penny. If it were so, there would be no bookmakers. Because it is, to put it mildly, a bad business plan. In real life, bookmakers lower the amount of winnings. Let's imagine that the bookmaker's office reduced the amount of winnings to 90 rubles (instead of 100); in coefficient terms, this will look like 1.9. The situation when players bet 100 rubles at odds of 1.9 brings 10 rubles of net profit to the bookmaker for any outcome.

Simply put, the bookmaker receives 100 rubles from the player, and pays only 90 rubles to the winner. This is what the bookmaker’s margin is made up of, or, as the Americans say, “juice”, and we are “juice”.

It is this moment that makes it difficult or, on the contrary, makes the betting phenomenon itself more interesting: you not only have to bet on the winners of the competition, but also do it at a return rate that is more profitable than the bookmaker's margin. Roughly speaking, it is not enough just to know that Dynamo Moscow is better than Arsenal Tula, it is important that you are paid more than you should be paid for their possible victory. IN otherwise, no matter how often you win, betting on Dynamo, you will still gradually lose money, which will become noticeable after 1000 or more bets. You can beat the bookmaker, only in this case it means success in the long run, that is, superiority in the number of wins, nothing more.

How do bookmakers calculate odds?

For bookmakers, the correct calculation of the odds price is the key to long-term success. For them, this is a game of numbers for big money. However, as for us - those who professionally bet on sports. All bookmakers offer odds on the event line with their own margin percentage already built in. For example, for Premier League tournaments, bookmakers set the odds line to an average of 107%. In places where the results are difficult to predict, for example, leagues in which unknown athletes play or local teams from the second and third divisions, the margin inflates to 120% - this is how bookmakers try to protect themselves from players who understand such leagues.

Moreover, bookmakers set their own limits on maximum amounts betting on an event. Most often the most high limits are offered for large-scale world events and games of the premier leagues. Minimum - for regional football leagues or friendly matches, the outcome of which is difficult for bookmakers to predict.

First, bookmaker analysts estimate the probabilities of a particular outcome of a sporting event from their own considerations, but in such a way that the sum of these probabilities equals 100%. Then, to these 100%, they add a percentage of their own profit, that is, they “build in the margin”. For example, take the match between Russia and Ukraine. The analyst of the Russian-speaking bookmaker's office studied the pre-match statistics well, applied the theory of probability, listened to expert opinions and decided that Russia would win the match.

By setting the coefficients, he takes as a basis real chances for the victory or defeat of one or another team. This is how the real (without the bookmaker's margin) calculation of the probabilities of the outcome of the match will look like.

Russia - 60.6%

Draw - 22.2%

Ukraine - 17.2%

Total sum of real probabilities: 100%.

In fact, this cannot be, since the bookmaker's office will suffer losses if Russia wins. Therefore, the analyst, knowing that the majority will bet on the victory of the favorite, must play it safe - underestimate the odds for his victory, thereby raising the total sum of all the probabilities of this match. In our case, the analyst raised the sum of the probabilities.

The coefficient for the victory of Russia is 1.54, the probability is 64.8%

Odds for a draw - 4.22, probability 23.7%

The coefficient for the victory of Ukraine is 5.4, the probability is 18.5%

The sum of the probabilities for this line: 107%

To calculate the probability embedded in the coefficient, you need to divide 100 by this coefficient (for example, 100 / 1.54 \u003d 64.9%). In order to calculate the bookmaker's margin, you need to add up the probability percentages for all outcomes. In our example, the bookmaker's margin for this event is 7%.

Margin of bookmakers

Even if Russia wins, the bookmaker in this case will not remain in the red. In addition, as bets are received, the bookmaker will change the odds so as to make a larger profit for themselves. Therefore, on the one hand, it is important to have own opinion regarding a particular sporting event and independently evaluate the probabilities of outcomes and calculate the value of the bet (we discussed how to do this above). On the other hand, it is important to know what percentage of the margin is laid down by the bookmaker for a particular event. If a bookmaker has a sum of match probabilities in any premier league above 105%, it is better to look for a more generous betting office. Sum of probabilities of 110% or more for Second Division matches or not European leagues considered the norm.

The bookmaker puts a percentage of its own profit into each coefficient, which allows it to remain a winner in any outcome of the event. The bookmaker's margin is reflected in the amount of return from bets. The bookmaker's margin is always different. The percentage of the commission depends on the policy of the bookmaker and on the significance of the event you are betting on. Most often, bookmakers underestimate the margin percentage for unpopular events and thereby offer profitable high odds, attracting fans of betting on exotic football leagues or non-mass sports.

It is customary to think that bookmaker analysts place the odds based on their own ideas about who will win in a particular competition and who will lose. This, of course, is true. But not all. Yes, bookmaker analysts can often quite accurately predict a winner or determine an outsider, but this does not mean that the odds they set reflect their real calculations. It would be great: you always bet on your favorites and bankrupt the bookmaker.

But things like financial risk are out of the question for any bookmaker.

When setting the odds for a certain event, bookmakers first of all think about how to attract bets on both opponents. Therefore, they have to juggle numbers in order to set the most attractive odds for all possible outcomes. Taking as a basis the sum of the probabilities of outcomes (100%), they distribute it equally among all outcomes. If equally, how does the bookmaker earn, you ask? With the help of a commission, of course. Bookmakers simply add their percentage to the percentage of the outcome. This additional percentage is automatically deducted from the amount of each bet on any selection. Of course, it is difficult to predict and maintain a balance between all the bets accepted to win or lose. Therefore, bookmakers daily offer hundreds of bets on secondary outcomes (painting) in order to provide themselves with additional money in case of an imbalance.

Why bet on the failures of your favorite teams?

Kirill Dementiev, sports commentator: "Bets are great way overcome boredom. There are many people who prefer to bet on the failure of the teams they support. And if the pets really lose, you can get financial compensation for moral damage. Quite a simple but effective maneuver: you are reliably insured against deep disappointment"

Market of equal chances

The market of equal chances, or one hundred percent market, is when the bookmaker believes that both opponents are equivalent and their chances of winning are equal (50 to 50). If the bookmaker accepted bets on a coin toss without his commission, then we would have odds of 2 for heads and 2 for tails. But miracles don't happen. The bookmaker needs his piece of the pie. Therefore, from the "pure" odds for equal chances, he "cuts off" his part, taking a percentage of our bet. That is, in reality, the odds for equal chances look something like this: 1.85 or 1.89. It's business, baby!

If the market of equal chances is called one hundred percent, then it is essentially a useless market, since it does not give anything to either the player or the bookmaker. However, when the event market is valued at less than 100%, it means to the player that the value of the bet is higher, but the probability percentages for the possible outcomes are lower. And, on the other hand, if the market is above 100%, as is often the case, then this means that the value of the market is not so high in principle. It is not at all difficult to determine the "value" of the proposed market, and hence the bookmaker's margin in this market. First you need to determine the probability of the outcome (in percent), embedded in the decimal coefficient. Let's take a factor of 1.65. Convert to probability by dividing 1 by 1.65. We get 0.606. Multiply by 100 and you get 60%. We calculate the probability for each coefficient on possible outcomes. Then we sum up the probabilities and multiply by 100. We get the percentage of the market.

Are bets on minor tournaments generally in demand among Russian players? Alexander Egorov, Deputy General Director of Liga Stavok: "The share of bets on such events compared to top matches is, of course, insignificant. Speaking in terms of numbers, less than 20% of the turnover falls on bets on such tournaments, with the absolute quantitative superiority of such events. In days when the calendar of top events is empty, interest in minor tournaments rises sharply. last role in the popularization of this or that tournament, it is the betting line for the event that plays. Its presence stimulates fans' interest in the game, and we constantly monitor such events."

Looking for markets with the lowest margins

Many novice bettors in bookmakers do not attach importance to such a concept as margin. Their argument: anyway, the margin is not visible, and we bet on odds that show the amount of return in case of winning the bet. Why do we need to count "foreign" (bookmaker's) money? All right, but not really. Professional Players looking for value wherever it is. Looking for the lowest margin per event among bookmakers, they count their money. In addition, the so-called arbers, people who play on the difference in odds and betting commissions, make good money in the long run precisely because they know how to look for events with the smallest margin.

It just seems that there is no difference between the coefficients of 1.9 and 1.95 - just think, five cents. If you're not five minutes into sports betting, trust me, a well-planned budget and bankroll control make all the difference. We’ll talk more about the betting budget and how to manage it properly below.

What are forks?

Egor Mitrushkin, Chief Analyst of Liga Stavok: "This is, in fact, a game with a positive mathematical expectation for players. Arborists seek to earn money not with the help of knowledge in the field of sports, analysis and intuition, which is the essence of the betting process, but on flow with the help of automatic scanners and mathematical calculations. This is not a game by the rules. "

Sports betting without bookmakers

If you want to know more or less the real price of the bet, pay attention to trading floor Betfair, where you can buy and sell odds. On betting exchanges such as Betfair, players bet against each other, negotiating odds that can actually be an order of magnitude more profitable than any conventional bookmaker. But when calculating the benefits of an upcoming trade, it is always important to remember the commissions that betting exchanges impose on winning bets.

A betting exchange is a platform where players make bets with each other, buy and sell their own odds. Unlike bookmakers, betting exchanges do not profit from setting odds. Instead, they take a commission on winning bets ranging from 2% to 5%.

largest exchange Betfair rates for the first time in the world allowed players to set their own odds, trade them, buy others, bet with other players from different countries and place bets "for" or "against" the outcome of a sporting event. Today, Betfair has over 4 million registered users and over 7 million transactions per day. The Betfair website, which also works in Russian, presents a wide range of sporting events: football, tennis, hockey, basketball, horse racing, etc. There are also online broadcasts of events. For beginners, a convenient guide has been created that tells in video format, including in Russian, about the principles of the Betfair betting exchange, how to place a bet, set odds, etc. To replenish an account, you can use both bank cards, electronic wallets. The minimum deposit is $10.

The biggest deal between players in the history of Betfair - £60 million - took place in September 2012, when Andy Murray won the US Open by defeating Novak Djokovic. I must say that betting exchanges, in particular Betfair, have radically transformed the market sports betting. The low-margin product has become a benchmark for many bookmakers who are trying to compete with betting exchanges by lowering their own commission per line. In addition, betting exchanges have nurtured a new generation of professional bettors who have learned to act as bookmakers. However, it is unlikely that a newcomer will build a profitable nest here. Betting exchanges are quite brutal towards beginner bettors, especially if they bet on dog racing or races - markets where real gurus have been sitting for a long time.