How to learn to analyze football matches as a beginner. How to correctly analyze matches for betting - sports betting analysis

Hi all! Today I decided to put together programs and tables that may be useful for sports betting. Some of them allow you to evaluate a bet in a bookmaker's office much better than if you did it manually, although you also have to do a lot manually :) Without scratching the tongue, let's get down to the most important thing - laying out links.

Bet-Plus 2019 (updated)

Programs in the form of an Excel file with downloading information from different sites to collect statistics. The program produces forecasts for football matches quite accurately, focusing on various indicators, including the results of recent matches. In the archive regular version Bet-Plus 2019 and updated, as well as an instruction file.

Tote Master V1.4.10

The program allows you to generate a code for making a batch bet. The program is intuitive, with the help of it you can place bets using the brief system. Brief system makes it possible to create a package for betting matches in which if all selections are played, then at least one coupon will fall into the prize category that you have chosen.

Totoscore V1.0.2.0

Exactly the same program as Sweepstakes Master, only more advanced, there are several additional ones. generation modes.

Totalo V2.2

A program that determines totals football matches. Essentially very simple.

ZX16 V2 program

With this software you can predict the outcome of matches using statistics.

Accurate Account program

The accurate score program allows you to do analysis based on the sums of goals scored over 7 matches.

FootBet V1 and V2 and V3

Using this program, you can estimate the probability of victory for a particular team, based on: the class of the team, your own or someone else’s stadium, the results of the last 5 matches, place in the standings, the number of absent players, the difference between days and last game etc.

BetManager V1.2

The usual Excel form, in the form of a separate program for recording your bets, allows you to analyze and calculate your success in betting.

Kelly criterion

BigBetCalculator V1.01

The program is a set of calculators for sports betting - 17 pieces.

BC calculator

Analyzer for betting on football, taking into account odds in bookmakers.

FutAnaliz

FutAnaliz is a program for analyzing a football match. It is an Excel file.

BriefGenerator

Igor-san program for generating package bets (brief system) for betting sites Fonbet, Marathon, Betcity, Baltbet, etc. + a set of text combinations.

GolPlyus v10.1

GolPlyus is a fairly popular match analyzer, everything is done through an Excel file with calculation formulas.

Golplyus Turbo 5

Golplyus Turbo is one of the GolPlyus series of programs that can analyze football and hockey matches.

Golplyustotal Pro

Golplyustotal Pro - analyzer of football matches by goals scored.

GolPlyus NTFT

GolPlyus NTFT is a football analyzer different teams, accuracy increased.

GolPlus Basketball

GolPlus Basketball is an Excel file-based program that analyzes basketball matches.

AutoGol

AutoGol is a program in the form of an Excel file used for calculating match totals and individual totals. In addition, original algorithms of participants in betting forums are used. Plus, the archive contains a shit ton of matches.

NowGoal Auto

NowGoal Auto is a Turkish program for sports betting, or rather to help with this, it has statistics and forecasting.

Undower 0.3 RUS (april2019) 1.0.0

Undower is a parser table on the Nowgoal.vip website that gives results for Total(1.5) + Total(2.5) + Total(3.5) for the first half and the entire match. TB(1.5) and TM(3.5) pass best at 85%.

Plonkbata 0.5

Plonkbata is an Italian table of the Plonk type translated and adapted for Russians. Predicts that at least one goal will be scored in the first or second match, or in the match. Passability is stated to be 80-90%. Naturally, the odds for such probabilities are small and it is advisable to play express bets.

Overunders preadsheet for Nowgoal (mod_april2019) 1.0.0

Overunders is a mod for the Nowgoal.vip website that makes match total predictions based on the Poisson distribution.

Odds database for Bet365 and Pinnacle

Here is just a history of odds from these two offices. Can be useful for predicting matches.

InfinityBook

InfinityBook is an updated parser that, like a bot, goes through the soccerstand, flashscore and myscore sites, collecting information on the latest team matches, standings, form table of the last 5,10,15 matches, odds 1-X-2, TB/TM2.5 , both will score. The parser is compatible with 21 forecast programs. The Excel file contains forecast algorithms for MyBet_MySkore, Wanga-Bet v1, Altadar, Syndicate Tables, New Total Bomb 2016 and Tyresyas.

STD Picks

STD Picks is an Excel file for betting, but you have to do some digging to make it work.

Poisson

Poisson is a program that shows probability based on the Poisson distribution, team form, and other variables. There is export to Excel table, tournament table, etc.

Bet-Plus 2019 and Bet-Plus 1.1

Bet-Plus is a program for calculating the outcome of football matches, based on an Excel spreadsheet.

Minifnrtina 1.1.0

Minifnrtina is a Turkish program that shows excellent results in forecasts.

Willscore

Willscore is a program that calculates the forecast for TotalOver(1.5).

LBFootball 1.41b

LBFootball is a program for calculating Total Over(2.5) and both teams will score.

New Total Bomb fixedGG 4.0.0

New Total Bomb is a file program that builds forecasts using Poisson distributions, purely theory, based on statistical data from the site nowgoal.id.

xG-bedel-xG 1.0.0

xG-bedel-xG is a file model for calculating expected goals scored (Expected Goals xG).

Bet-profi 7.0

Bet-profi is an Excel spreadsheet program for predicting total, total over, total under, matches in football.

Incognito Crush Points v1

Incognito Crush Points is an Excel spreadsheet that comprehensively builds football betting forecasts.

Pronostikator 2.0.0

Pronostikator is an adaptation for Russians of the Italian Plonk 3 table. An honest back-test has been introduced to test the algorithm on past matches.

ElizaBET PRO 11

ElizaBET PRO is a program that gives probabilities for the outcome of a match based on 15 algorithms. Doesn't give a forecast. Nice tool.

FootbalData Rate AutoCalculator 2.0.0

FootbalData Rate AutoCalculator - automated program, which calculates the form of teams and generates forecasts for the outcome of matches. The parser is taken from AutoGol.

Landi Bet and Landi Bet 2

Landi Bet is an analyzer based on already played matches. We enter the results of already played matches and get a forecast.

Landi Bet My Score

Landi Bet My Score is a program for analyzing football matches. Based on the match results, it predicts how many goals will be scored, who will score first, what total to set, and shows you team statistics.

Landi Bet Tennis

Landi Bet Tennis is a tennis match analyzer based on the last matches played.

Landi Bet Football v 2

Landi Bet Football is a football analyzer based on the results of the last 10 matches played.

Definition 8.2

Defredelitel 8.2 - enough old program, which can automatically analyze different types sports: football, volleyball, handball, tennis, hockey.

ProAnaliz Football

ProAnaliz Football is a football analyzer, similar to Landi Bet.

ProAnaliz Tennis

ProAnaliz Tennis is an analyzer of tennis matches, quite well made on the basis of Excel files.

ProAnaliz Hockey

ProAnaliz Hockey is a program for analyzing hockey matches, based on Excel files.

Sport Beton V 2

Sport Beton is a football analyzer based on the last 5 matches that gives recommendations for bets on Total Over 2.5 or Total Under 2.5 (Total Over 2.5 or Under 2.5).

Total Prophet

Total Prophet - Also called the Miracle Program. Alexey Voloshin's program analyzes hockey matches.

ASIANBET

ASIANBET is a football match analyzer that mainly shows the total, the goal in the 1st half and the outcome.

Basket

Basket is a basketball match analyzer based on Excel files.

Basketball Live

Basketball Live is also an analyzer of basketball matches, using an Excel table, but for matches in Live mode.

Defredelitel V 13.0 BET ASSISTANT

Defredelitel v13.0 BET ASSISTANT - assistant and analyzer for football bets.

BETGARANT

BETGARANT is a program that helps analyze football matches using special formulas, built on the basis of Excel files.

FootForecast V 08.16

FootForecast is a football match analyzer based on physical fitness commands

ForeCaster 24score V 12.16

ForeCaster is a program for analyzing football matches. Can predict the number of goals scored by opponents in the 1st and 2nd half, forecasts for: W1/X/W2/Total/Handicap/Individual totals/1X/12/X2, etc.

BigBetCalculator V 1.01

BigBetCalculator is a program that contains 17 popular betting calculators.

Fuckbuk

Fuckbuk is a football match analyzer program based on Excel files, with its own unique formulas for analysis.

Program for calculating the exact score from YMA

Calculation program accurate counting from YMA - an Excel file with formulas that calculates the approximate exact score using probability theory.

Profibet Tennis V 2.1

Profibet Tennis is a program for automatic analysis of a tennis match, without searching for statistics. You just choose your opponents and look at the display. Instructions in the archive.

Project Rating (System Football + PRO)

Project Ranking is a program for analyzing the strength of attack and defense of teams, the exact score and, accordingly, the total, the probability of a possible victory according to Bayes theory, the size of the bet according to the Kelly criterion and which outcome to bet on.

SportStatic

SportStatic is a database program with statistics for football, hockey, and basketball teams. The database contains information on 142077 matches.

Football championships

Football Championships is a program for statistics of football matches, perhaps one of best programs to date.

Total Forecast V1.2

Total Prognoz is a program for predicting the exact score in a football match. The program is based on an Excel file. The archive contains video instructions from the author.

Teoria_tryokh_matchey_2_0.zip

Basketball match analysis

Analysis of basketball matches - determination of the total for basketball.

Match analysis (football and hockey)

Analysis of matches (football and hockey) - perhaps the name says it all:)

NBA Match Analysis

NBA Match Analysis is a program for predicting the exact score of NBA matches.

Football Analysis V2

Football analysis - total forecast based on Excel files.

Hockey Analysis

Hockey analysis - determining the exact score of a hockey match based on an Excel file.

About Teniss Analysis

About Teniss Analysis is an interesting analyzer of tennis matches on an Excel file.

NextGame

NextGame is a program for analyzing football matches.

Search Forks 3.5

Search Forks 3.5 is a program for searching forks, and it’s free.

Predictz

Predictz is a program for football forecasts.

Robo Win

Robo Win- football betting analyzer, using many parameters, including motivation, etc.

First week. Bank: $2210.14 Bets: +34-23=2 Profit: +210.14$

Second week. Bank: $2344.34 Bets: +34-41=2 Profit: +134.20$

Third week. Bank: $2573.84 Bets: +46-43=3 Profit: +229.50$

Third week on betting days

1 day. Bets +8-10 +150.40$ -100.00$ Profit: +50.40$

Day 2. Bets +6-6=0 +72.50$ -60.00$ Profit: +12.50$

Day 3. Bets +16-14=1 +239.10$ -130.00$ Profit: +109.10$

Day 4 Bets: +6-9=2 +67.50$ -88.00$ Profit: -20.50$

Day 5 Bets: +10-4=0 +118.00$ -40.00$ Profit: +78.00$

..........................................................................................................................................

Total for 3 weeks: Bank $2573.84 Rates: +114-107=4 Profit: +573.84$

We have already written that to select a match for betting, we use falling odds and monitor the likely value of the event. Today I want to tell you what criteria we use to analyze a match before placing a bet. It should be noted that we usually do brief analysis according to 3-4 parameters. Because there are a lot of matches with tasty odds, but little time, and sometimes you want to bet on everything. You have to hurry, do everything quickly, and haste is only good for catching fleas, as you know. For this reason, the percentage of bets passed decreases. So the “lice check” must be carried out thoroughly, taking into account various aspects of the upcoming match.

So, let's look at the example of one match to see how this happens. We have chosen a football match of the French championship, which will take place on February 28, but today some beeches offer inflated odds on zero handicap guests.

There is a desire to put a zero handicap on the guests, considering the odds to be value ones.

We compare teams according to our criteria.

• Position in the table
• Face-to-face meetings
• Face-to-face meetings at home/away
• Latest games
• Games with higher teams
• Games with lower teams
• Games at home/away
• Sports component
• Movement of bookmaker lines
• Team losses
• Player status
• Field state
• Weather
• Judge
• Add. information

As you can see, we got as many as 15 parameters. Surely something else can be added, but for now let’s look at the existing ones.

Position in the table. Bastia are ahead by 5 points, higher by 6 lines. but the teams have exactly 8 victories each. Based on this parameter, we will still give 1 point in favor of the guests.

Face-to-face meetings. Let's take the last 5 games. 2-2=1 bonus point goes to no one.

Face-to-face meetings at home/away. Since we are going to bet on the guests’ handicap, we consider it from this point of view. And in the last five head-to-head games, Bastia have never won away, only one draw and one defeat. Moreover, there have been no away victories since 1998. There is no point in looking further. The point goes to Lorient.

Latest games. Bastia score.

Games with superiors. Here we are considering Lorient, since it is lower. One loss in five last matches with higher commands. 2 wins, 2 draws. Plus 1 point

Games with subordinates. Plus 1 point for Bastia. 3 wins 1 draw

Games at home/away. No point is awarded to anyone - both teams are at the bottom of the table based on their performance.

Sports component. Lorient needs glasses more, plus 1 point

Bookmaker lines. There is a slight drop in the home team's victory of 5-6% for all beeches. It makes sense to take a closer look 3 days before the match, since usually the so-called popans are placed on the day of the match. So there are 2 options - or a pre-made impressive one, but not very big bet, or not very significant information, because the percentage drop is low. In any case, the beeches inflate the odds on Bastia so that they bet on her too. In this case, a kind doctor would advise monitoring the patient’s condition for another day in the hospital, that is, monitoring the movement of the odds. One point goes to Lorient at the moment.

Other parameters We usually don't check. I think it’s important to watch them if you bet 1 match a week. We have a lot of games every day and if we come across any information, we take it into account. But we don’t look specifically - we don’t have enough time.

What did we do? The score is 4-3 in favor of Lorient. The advantage was due to a slight drop in odds on Lorient. 56% to 44% for Lorient to win. For the beeches, it’s 70% versus 30%. Right now, this means that the odds on guests of 3.35 are really 14% worth. You know, when I compared the teams, I didn’t look at the percentage of currencies that our machine gave out. And now I updated it and looked - 13.42% This is a value profit, and the value index is 1.091 real odds on guests 3.07 I’m shocked! With a small mathematical error, I calculated the currency on a par with the typewriter)) But no, I’m not a genius. The machine and bookmakers use the same data, they just think better, more professionally. But in in this case everything coincided.

Here I must say that I took the maximum odds for guests from the marathon. Now let's check with other beeches. And what do we see? Only three beeches give higher than the real odds of 3.07. The rest have from 2.40 to 3.05 Once again we are convinced that there is currency. Moreover, as many have noticed, there is also an arb of 1.20% If you bet on Lorient, the maximum is 1.45 at the Intervetten beech and 3.35 on Bastia at the marathon.

The third and fourth digits are the margin and the time of the last update

But the match is not suitable for our strategy. There is no big drop in odds, and we take value odds when there are clear chances of winning. And when is 3 good beech give money, there is reason to doubt positive result. I personally am inclined to believe that the match will end in a draw.

Yesterday we didn’t place bets, we haven’t chosen anything for today either, but closer to midnight bets on falling odds may appear - after dinner we’ll keep track of everything)

Novice bookmaker users constantly make mistakes. No matter how well thought out the strategy is, you always need to look at the statistics, follow the news and check various data.


There is a category of betters who treat bets as gambling, they only calculate by chance, this is not correct.

How to analyze football for betting? Until you learn to make forecasts based on important data, you will not be able to increase your bank.

Besides the fact that many do not check anything, there are also those who attach great importance unimportant factors and, conversely, ignores the most important factors.

5 important points when analyzing football

It’s good if you have already found many different sites that help you make forecasts. We have already talked about helpful information It appears on the Internet all the time, you need to use it.

But nothing will come of it without your opinion, and so that you can correctly analyze the matches, remember the most important points:

1. The first thing you need to do is look at the general standings; it is presented on many sites. Depending on the chosen strategy and other points, you need to evaluate different data.
2. Next you need to determine the tournament leaders (clear favorites). The best situation for a bet is when one of the leaders has lost several games in a row. This may be due to various reasons, from injuries to some players to a seasonal decline. The leaders do not stay as outsiders for long, so they must win in subsequent games. The main thing is to determine real reasons defeats, perhaps in this tournament the favorite will remain at the bottom of the table.
3. In football tournaments, it often happens that a team loses by a large margin. It's one thing if it's an outsider, a weak team. It’s another matter if it’s a leader or at least an average player. This is a shame for them, so they will definitely want to get even, the team’s motivation will be at its best. If you see how a strong team won with defeat, and even they played on a foreign field, and next game is coming “at home”, feel free to place your bet on it.
4. Next, information about the upcoming event is analyzed. You need to take into account everything, from the location of the players on the field to the running conditions and uniform of each team member. Remember that players play better on their home field; after several defeats, a strong team will try to increase the number of points. It also often happens that when teams that occupy subsequent places in the standings meet, the one that was lower makes every effort to get ahead of the competitor.
5. Before opening a bet, be sure to check the odds and read the opinions of professionals on various forums. Forecasts based solely on dry statistics often remain unsuccessful, so you just need to apply analysis and remember the patterns. Some of these have evolved into betting rules.

Don’t try to analyze football in general, choose a specific tournament and make predictions based on it. Teams can play differently in different championships and this must be taken into account.

Always win in sports betting Even professionals can’t, but you shouldn’t open express bets counting only on luck either.


You need to constantly collect statistics, check them, identify influencing factors and try to predict the result of a particular match. It's not easy to do, but until you become an expert, you won't be able to earn much.

How to analyze football matches? Most often, bookmaker fans place bets on football.

That is why we decided to talk about conducting analysis before the match starts. This helps to build a correct forecast. It would also be a good idea to compare your assumptions with.

Analyze football matches correctly

Analysis of football matches will not help you if you use the services of an unverified company.

Nowadays there are many bookmakers on the Internet, but not all of them can be trusted. The best in this regard has been 1xstavka for several years now. From the website of this company, I constantly receive payments.

A proven and reliable service that offers bettors ample opportunities. In addition to choosing a bookmaker, it makes sense to learn how to use different ones. All professionals use cunning tactics while making forecasts at the same time.

If you decide to become a real expert in the field football betting, you have a lot to learn. Professionals spend years to earn large sums later.

Everyone has the same chances, therefore, the sooner you engage in self-education, the faster you will achieve good results.

Rules for match analysis

Checks must be carried out approximately 10 hours before the match. This time is enough to collect all the information and make assumptions about the results of the game.

What exactly needs to be checked? Here are the main factors:

1. Team status – most important factor, influencing the results. Almost all teams have ups and downs, so sometimes even outsiders can get ahead. How the team played 4 years ago is outdated information, you need to look for up-to-date data.
2. Coaching - this item includes motivating the team. Most beginners don't pay attention to this. It has been seen more than once how players literally snatch victory when they approach first place in the tournament ladder. And if a good coach also appears, this can have a positive impact on the game.
3. Venue of the game – playing on “their own land”, players have more chances to win. It would seem, how is the field different? But the factor is really influential. In general, this point is controversial, since some teams are considered “away”, i.e. they win more often than not on their own field.
4. The results of personal meetings are a good hint for a better. You can look at statistics on personal meetings and highlight the so-called “uncomfortable opponents”. It is better to use this for totals and other types of bets. Those. when you are sure that the total bill will not exceed a certain value.
5. Team composition is one of the main factors. Lineups can change several times during a tournament, and along with this, the strength of the team changes. Sometimes players cannot take the field for a number of reasons, and sometimes the lineup is deliberately changed by coaches; you need to understand which lineup the team is the favorite.
6. Current news - sporting events have to be studied constantly, because they help to understand how the teams are configured, what happened to the players in their lives, who was injured, and so on. Every little thing can affect how the team as a whole or each individual player plays.
7. General statistics - this item could not have been included in common list, since the analysis of football matches involves checking the results of other games. You need to compare not only goals scored, but also check corners, cards and much more. This will be useful for making bets.

You will have to spend a lot of time analyzing football matches, but without this you are unlikely to win often.

Have you decided to make money betting on football? Spontaneous decisions do not bring success at a distance. To reduce the risk of losing, analyze football matches before betting on them. What moments matter most?

Let's consider the principle of analyzing football matches using the example of the recent game Newcastle United - Manchester City. In this case, we have a classic confrontation between the clear favorite of the tournament and an unmotivated outsider.

Why unmotivated? Newcastle is not in the relegation zone, but it certainly cannot claim a leading position. Manchester is not interested in this match in principle, but more on that below.

Team rating

Needless to say, based on the numbers, Newcastle cannot be perceived as a rival for Manchester at all.

When analyzing any upcoming match, consider the ratings of both teams. Evaluate how objectively the bookmaker gave the odds, and whether he cheated somewhere by inflating or understating them for his own benefit.

Do not forget that a high rating does not always mean an unconditional victory, but for analysis it is very convenient to use this criterion as a starting point. However, if your focus is not on championship games, but, say, on cup games, you need a different approach, since the goals and motivations are completely different.

Individual players

6 Manchester players are among the top scorers in the Premier League this season, Newcastle does not have such a star-studded line-up.

Take an interest in the strong and weaknesses commands Here, information about injured players or emotional depression of the team is primarily important. The latter often happens when there is a change of coach, some kind of conflict between players, or non-payment of fees to athletes.

Find out about the form and confidence of key players, they may have given pre-match interviews. Get information from magazines, television and the Internet.

To get the most accurate information about the composition of the teams, wait for the official application from the coaches. Also listen to this information on the broadcast immediately before the match.

Game schedule

Based on the density of Manchester's schedule, it immediately becomes clear that they will not waste their energy fighting Newcastle. What's the point of using every opportunity when more difficult matches are on the horizon? But it is also logical that Manchester does not need a defeat from a team of this level, therefore, in such cases, a draw or a maximum of one goal is usually predicted, but this all depends on the tasks of each team.

An important element of the analysis is the schedule of upcoming matches. A team that has just played or will play in a major competition such as the Champions League may send key players on holiday. If Liverpool entered the field without Salah, Mane and Firmino, and you didn’t know about it and bet on victory, there is a high risk that the match will not end in your favor.

You also need to know what it is: a derby, a match against a direct competitor or a historical opponent. Depending on this, the team may not play at full strength to save them for next week's meeting.

The story is also important, it sets the “tone” before the match even begins. For example, a team that has never lost to another or last time lost 20 years ago, will behave more confidently and strive for victory.

Previous matches

Newcastle is already losing its 5th match at home, MS, on the contrary, shows excellent statistics in the Premier League and only lost in the Champions League, and this, as you know, is a completely different cuisine.

A team that has won 5 wins in a row is much more motivated and “prone” to winning. Refer to statistics and review past meetings. Analyze the performance of the selected team in past games.

It is important to look at the conditions in which previous matches were played; if these are mostly friendly matches, it is too early to draw a positive conclusion about success in the upcoming match.

Individual statistics

Newcastle in Lately can only show performance based on missed goals. You certainly can’t count on goals from them. Manchester City is also the leader in this parameter.

First of all, you should look at the winning statistics for both teams. If one has good statistics at home, and the other “feels” poorly away, it is obvious that it is worth betting on the home team, even if it is slightly lower in rating. This option is often trusted and used experienced players as a “base” for analysis.

The second point: the number of goals scored and the number of goals conceded during the season. This gives an idea of ​​the teams ability to attack and ability to defend.

Another nuance: when teams play at the very end of the season. In this case, you need to analyze the problems and tasks of each team. For example, one will be able to qualify for the “podium” if she achieves good results in last days, and the other needs to hold out as much as possible to stay in the league.

These are just a few things to consider when betting on football. Today we looked at the analysis of the event using the example of a match between a favorite and an outsider, and there can be a million different football variations. Therefore, we once again remind you of the importance gaming strategies in sports betting, especially for beginners.