In search of an acceptable strategy: large bet - small odds. Betting on small odds: drain strategy Are express bets profitable?

Hi all! Surely many of you are familiar with the financial strategy of sports betting called Dynamic?(more about her). If yes, then you probably know how scientifically (mathematically) the authors approach strategies... In today's article we will talk about another very interesting strategy from the authors of Dynamic.

It's about financial strategy for sports betting called “Multiexpress”!

Let’s immediately say that on the official website this strategy costs a very impressive amount (10,000 rubles!). For you, we We will reveal the essence of the strategy absolutely free!!!

So, let's begin...

(All of the following is published from the words of the author of the strategy and is not a statement by the site administration)

Multiexpress

This strategy is a combination of several gaming ways(schemes) and brings in practice at least 40% of the working bank per month when working out 40 bets per month. The ability to play in several parallel series increases the strategy's potential in terms of profitability.

• Operating coefficients: 1.6 – 3.0

The strategy is based on combining several events into groups of express bets, the outcomes of which cover all the most probable options for the outcome of the events and, in case of winning, bring more income than the usual placing of express bets.

Any values ​​can be used as working coefficients, however, the meaning of the strategy is tied to real rates(and not just theory) is to work with events, the probability of winning for which bookmakers estimate at 30-70%. This range roughly corresponds to the level of odds from 1.6 to 3.0.

Like all other strategies that are available for a fee, the Multi-Express strategy underwent long-term testing from September 2015 to January 2016. During testing, 270 cycles of bets were made (per cycle we consider one multi-express from 2-4 events, more about the number of events below ). The profit rate was 52% of the working bank's monthly amount. The Martingale system, based on three levels, was used as a secondary financial strategy. More than two levels were not needed during testing.

How the strategy works

For a simpler understanding, let's take simplest example with two events. Each of which involves two possible outcomes. Here is an example of such two events: tennis, pre-match odds:

Events for multi-express...

For greater clarity, we took coefficients outside the recommended range. This will avoid possible confusion with rounding values. In practice, you can take such odds, but preferably those indicated in the description of the strategy, namely 1.6 - 3.0.

Another significant advantage of the strategy is ability to work with pre-match odds. Which adds convenience to working due to a sufficient reserve of time.

The bookmaker offers the following pairs of odds:

• Event 1: 1.444 (Outcome 1A)/2.60 (Outcome 1B)
• Event 2: 1.48 (Outcome 2A)/2.55 (Outcome 2B)

Before moving on to the algorithm for working on the Multi-Express strategy, we will carry out a mathematical assessment of the possible outcomes of these two events, as well as the probability of positive outcomes of all express bets that can be made from them.

Mathematical justification of the strategy

We will evaluate using a table, remembering that the data are not true probabilities, but an estimate of the bookmaker’s office, which does not play a significant role for us, since the assessment is carried out by the same office and at a distance of deviation from true values the probabilities will be leveled.

So, the probabilities for each outcome are:

• Exodus 1A, odds. 1.444 - probability 63.13%.
• Exodus 1B, odds. 2.60 - probability 34.97%.
• Exodus 2A, odds. 1.48 - probability 61.43%.
• Exodus 2B, odds. 2.55 - probability 35.65%.

Rounding and writing in mathematical form, we get the probabilities of 0.63; 0.35; 0.61 and 0.36 respectively.

Now let's calculate the probabilities of all possible express bets that can be made. Here are the possible pairs of events:

• 1A-2A. Probability 0.63*0.61=0.38. Cef. express = 2.14
• 1A-2B. Probability 0.63*0.36=0.23. Cef. express = 3.68
• 1B-2A. Probability 0.35*0.61=0.21. Cef. express = 3.85
• 1B-2B. Probability 0.35*0.36=0.13. Cef. express = 6.63

Everything is natural. Express evaluation of bookmakers with maximum odds has a minimum probability of failure. And vice versa.

These calculations will be useful to us a little further, but now we will draw your attention to the extremely important point, which was already mentioned above: listed odds and probabilities are not true , but only a consequence of the bookmaker's assessment. And, as practice confirms, the bookmaker does not always accurately assess upcoming events.

We won’t dwell separately, but let’s remember the principles of operation of a bookmaker’s office, the earnings of which are based not on the losses of players, but on receiving profits included in the margin. We will also mention the factors of line movement on the size of the coefficients. And we will draw a natural and quite logical conclusion: the previously calculated probabilities are evaluative, not real ones. Simply put, it cannot be said that Express 1A-2A will definitely win as the most likely one. And vice versa - that any of the other three express trains will not win.

Let's return to the algorithm for working with the Multiexpress strategy.

It is necessary to put down three out of four express trains received. Having excluded most possible. That is, you need to enter express trains:

• 1A-2B.
• 1B-2A.
• 1B-2B.

These express bets cover all outcomes except the victory of both favorites.

Risky? Not at all!

A very important caveat: It is important that the odds are within the range specified for the strategy. Since the deviation from the probability of 0.5 is closest when working with odds of 1.6 – 3.0.

Keeping three factors in mind:

1. The bookmaker's assessment very often does not coincide with the real probability of the outcome of the event.
2. Events with an estimated probability close to 0.5 occur with a real probability of ~0.5.
3. Odds for more probable events are usually underestimated by bookmakers, while less probable ones, accordingly, are often overestimated, which in our gaming model plays into our hands.

... we can conclude that in practice it is very likely that one of the bets on the favorite will not be placed, which is a winning factor for a player working with the MultiExpress strategy.

In a way, this express is a bet, although this definition is not entirely correct in the context of strategy. Since the fork implies slightly different characteristics.

Here we start from the fact that bets on the favorite outcome are often unavailable.

Bet sizes

The bet amounts are easy to calculate. To facilitate the calculation process, we will round the obtained values. So, three bets on odds: 3.68 – 3.85 – 6.63. The bet amounts must be inversely proportional to the odds and directly proportional to their amount. In our case it is $100 - $100 - $50. The working bank amount is $250. If you win any of the express bets, the profit will be:

• 1A-2B. 3.68*$100 - $250 = $118
• 1B-2A. 3.85*$100 - $250 = $135
• 1B-2B. 6.63*$50 - $250 = $81

The bet amount for each express can be calculated using the formula: BetX=X*(Kmax/Kx), Where X– base rate (it must be set, in the example it is $50), Kmax is the maximum of the express odds, and Kh- the coefficient of the express bet whose bet amount we are calculating.

Assessing the probability of winning and assessing risks

An amazing fact: when betting on two favorites, the player has a risk of losing (in our example) 1-0.38=0.62. Let us remind you that 0.38 is the calculated probability of winning an express bet for the victory of two favorites. That is, by betting on two favorites, the player will most likely lose! And the probability of winning will be more than 60%. No tricks - just math.

Reinsurance

If both favorites win, the player loses the working amount. By assessing the probabilities of such outcomes, it is possible to build a fairly safe financial model, which reinsures the risks of loss. As already written above, during the test period the Martingale system (same) was used as a secondary financial strategy. We will not recommend its use as it contains a number of significant risks , to work with it you need a reserve of a working bank and a very strict preliminary calculation.

For those who will still reinsure multiple expresses using the Martingale strategy, we remind you that real probability for recommended odds is higher, since in the example we took a larger spread in odds. And it is usually at least 0.7.

The strategy also feels quite good when reinsurance is achieved with the help of non-progressive financial strategies, for example, a percentage of a bank or a fixed profit.

Variability of strategy application

In the example above, for simplicity, a pair of two-output events is taken. Which gives four possible outcomes with a fairly small probability of winning. Compared to what you can get if you use the Multi-Express strategy for three or more two-way events.

Please note that it is not possible to work with three-way events (for example, a 1-X-2 market). Since the rules of most bookmakers directly prohibit placing multiple bets on the same markets with opposite outcomes. Therefore, the strategy is only applicable in two-output markets. In addition to 12 markets, these could be Tb2.5/Tm2.5; F1 (0)/2 and so on.

Using three or more events, the player significantly increases the chances of winning. In particular, subject to compliance with the recommended odds, the probability of winning for compiling express trains from:

• Two events - 68%
• Three events - 81%
• Four events - 90%

Where to work using the Multiexpress strategy?

Another strong advantage of the strategy is its versatility. You can work at any bookmaker's office, and working in pre-match mode allows you to place bets without haste, which reduces the possibility of making a mistake or miscalculation.

Please note that some bookmakers offer odds that differ from single bets when working with express bets. This is what Pinnacle does, for example - the odds for express bets are lower than those for single bets. This is why we recommend working with bookmaker: 1XBet.

It is highly advisable to distribute express bets to different bookmakers.

That’s the whole essence of the “Multiexpress” betting strategy, voiced by the author...

For those who still want to download the text of this strategy for themselves, we provide you with the following opportunity:

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That's all!

Happy betting!

Betting on small odds is a live strategy that is not popular enough, but it can provide reliable earnings in bookmakers. To achieve success, you need to take your time and take into account certain rules. Let's look at ways to make successful predictions with small odds.

Selecting competitions for low odds prediction strategy

This strategy for small odds requires careful selection. sports matches, focusing on odds and statistics. It is recommended to choose matches with odds of approximately 1.1 – 1.4, except for those matches in which you are confident of the outcome.

Examples of fights with small odds. In the match Georgia - Wales, the forecast for 12 has a coefficient of 1.37, and 2X - 1.23.

In the match between the national teams of Italy and Macedonia, P1 has an odds of 1.09, and 12 has an odds of 1.056.

You should be careful when the favorite plays away games. Some clubs play well at home and can beat even the leaders.

An important role in this strategy is given to statistics of the results of past competitions and matches. When defined suitable events according to the bookmaker's line and odds, it is necessary to carefully study the results of head-to-head meetings and statistics. It is important to consider how a particular club performs in a particular season at home and away. Face-to-face meetings will be given detailed picture possible result if you use bets at low odds.

Determining the most likely outcome

When the analysis using the small coefficients system is carried out, it is necessary to determine the most likely outcome to ensure a successful forecast. Here you can study sports forecasts or use special services.

There are situations when it is quite difficult to predict the likely outcome. For example, when one team is at the top of the table and the other at the bottom, but the favorite lost away last season. A clear example is Leicester, who became the champion of England, but performed very poorly the following season. Therefore, it is better to skip such events.

Types of bets with low odds

According to the strategy we need big bets small odds. The following forecast options are distinguished:

• Live betting. The low odds betting system for live requires special care. You need to make predictions in cases where you are confident that a certain club will win. The score should be noticeably weighted to one side. To play according to the system with small odds table tennis doesn't fit. Hockey is also poorly suited, as clubs often fight back in the last seconds.
• Capital Management. It is important to pay attention to the results here. It is worth raising the level of play when a better manages to double his bankroll. If a player has lost 50% of the bank amount, then, in accordance with the strategy, it is necessary to select odds up to 1.3, and bet half of the remaining bankroll. The time to increase the level will depend on the activity of the bettor.

conclusions

If you manage to achieve a stable increase of 10–11%, you can start withdrawing money from the bookmaker. The main thing is not to be nervous and act in accordance with the rules. You need to be patient and restrained to make money. The success of this system depends on the skills and endurance of the better.

Everything written below applies only to betting on football, unless another sport is indicated.

I would like to try out a strategy that just recently came to mind. Briefly: football, total over 0.5 (odds 1.05 - 1.07), express bet of 3, maximum 5 events, bet from RUR 50,000. Yes, it looks risky, you can lose a lot of money at once, and the potential winnings are much less than the amount invested. But maybe there is still common sense in this strategy?

And now, in order.

A little bit about yourself

Why am I looking for a new strategy?

Total is more than 0.5 and an attempt to justify the strategy

I don’t care who wins and how many goals they score and concede. Let the favorites lose or draw. The main thing is to have at least one single goal per match. There is no need to be an expert or have a great understanding of sports. And I’ve already seen a lot of forecasts from experts. Like them, all of us, ordinary bettors, try to think logically before a match: we analyze the state of the teams, their latest results, we look whether it is a home match for the team we are betting on or an away match, we evaluate the teams’ motivation... And how many mistakes happen: anything can happen on the field that we could not predict before the match, using our logic: for example, 2 red cards for Roma in the match with Porto on 08/23/16 and goodbye to the favorite. And there are a great many such examples.

Large bet - small odds. Event selection

If we place an express bet consisting of 3 events with odds. 1.05, then with a bet of 50,000 the winnings will be 50,000 x 1.1576 = 57880. You need to win 6.3 bets just to double the amount of the initial bet, i.e. win + 50,000 rub.

You can make an express bet from 5 events, or choose events where the odds for the total are more than 0.5 and higher, for example, 1.07-1.09. But the risk accordingly increases.

Finally

Whether this strategy is good or bad - time will tell. But I understood one thing for sure: if you really want to win something, you need a lot of patience and... a lot of money. There is nothing to do with one thousand rubles for this purpose in the bookmaker. And with two too. To win big (in the long term, a little bit each time), you need to risk a much larger amount.

As I said at the beginning, I am not experienced player , so don't judge too harshly. I just wanted to think about this strategy.

IN Lately More and more often, banks are turning to collection companies to extract debts from citizens. It doesn’t matter for what reason - a real loss of solvency or simply an unwillingness to pay drives such people. But if banks and credit organizations “sell” your debt, you will have to communicate with collectors. And they, as you know, do not always act within the law. And more and more often, citizens come across an organization called “CreditExpress Finance”. Do they need to be paid? Many people ask this question. There are reasons for this. For example, very often citizens who, in principle, did not take out loans or loans come across this company. However, you will still receive payment notifications, warnings and sometimes even threats. So what should we really do?

Who are they

First of all, we need to find out who we will communicate with. After all, this question interests many. Especially those who did not take out any loans or credits at all. This is a collection agency. "CreditExpress Finance" - collectors. There is nothing particularly suspicious about their activities. After all, everyone has long known what such companies are.

These organizations are engaged in “knocking out” debts from debtors. And if you suddenly receive a notification from such a company, it is usually customary to quickly pay off the debt. Otherwise, you can bring trouble on yourself. As already mentioned, collectors do not always act within the law. And this fact scares many. But what about CreditExpress Finance? Do they need to be paid? Or is it possible to completely tear up the payment notice and completely ignore the corporation in question? Citizens who have encountered the organization and lawyers help answer these questions. It is worth listening to their advice.

Start

Where does it all begin? At first, the organization does not arouse any suspicion. Especially if you have a debt to a bank or credit institution. A letter will be sent to you by email. More precisely, a notice in which it will be written that the debt has been “sold” to a collection company called “CreditExpress Finance”. Do I need to pay them?

Many citizens here don’t even understand the issue. Moreover, the notification received is so frightening and alarming that many simply look for receipts for payment, then transfer the money according to the details specified in the payment order. That is, they don’t want to think about the issue of debt repayment. This is not entirely correct. After all, “CreditExpress Finance” causes huge controversy among both citizens and lawyers. This organization is not yet known to everyone. Therefore, you have to constantly think about whether you need to deposit money according to the payment slip. This is especially true for those who have not taken out loans or borrowings at all and do not have any debts to the state. After all, no collection company will just start sending notifications and warnings. This means something is wrong here. What exactly is CreditExpress Finance? Do they need to be paid? Collectors quite often claim to have an inventory of property. But usually they first “knock out” the debts. Our current organization is trying to do this too.

Looking for on the map

Well, let's try to figure out what's what. What exactly is CreditExpress Finance? Do you need to pay them, or is it better to ignore everything they send you by mail under any circumstances? Lawyers, and many users too, advise paying attention to several rather interesting moments who are able to give you an accurate answer regarding further contact with the organization. Which ones exactly?

Let's start with the fact that the first thing you have to do is find "CreditExpress Finance" on the map. You have the details, but the company’s address is not so easy to see. Moreover, if you try to find it on the map, then in reality you will not be able to find any collection agency. No, there is a legal address. And you can see it on interactive maps (in Moscow). But in practice, it will not be possible to find this collection agency. You arrive at the specified coordinates, and there - nothing. Suspicious, isn't it? Therefore, not everyone trusts Credit Express Finance. Is it worth paying further, and indeed, starting to do this? Even if we assume that the company simply moved and did not update current information about its location, you need to pay attention to several more interesting and suspicious points.

Website

Special attention should be paid official page collection company. It's no secret that now with the help of the Internet you can find out everything about a particular organization. Moreover, lies and deception are often revealed. Or even the company’s dishonesty. The official page of the corporation helps you decide.

Look at the address of "CreditExpress Finance". Do they need to be paid? Debt repayment is a mandatory process, but only when it comes to a proven and reliable organization. And if you consider that our company today often begins to bother citizens without debts, then you will have to carefully study all its components. She's behaving very suspiciously.

The official website, frankly speaking, does not inspire confidence. In particular, if you look at the date of creation of the hosting. "CreditExpress Finance" is a collection agency that has already for a long time"lives" in the world (as they say themselves), and the page was created in 2005. Disorder. An overly suspicious point that is often overlooked. Lawyers and users advise you to think about why the organization itself has existed since 2012 (according to registration information), and its website appeared, as it turns out, long before its formation. This is very suspicious. Moreover, in practice this kind of phenomenon has never occurred. Well, how can an official virtual representation appear before the organization?

If we talk about how the site looks externally, you can safely close the page and throw away the payment card. The official page is something like the simplest template on free hosting. And this is all from CreditExpress Finance. Do they need to be paid? Let's understand further. What else can you pay attention to in order to make sure of deception or good faith? So far, everything points to the first scenario.

Contacts

For example, to contacts. Speech it's already underway not about the company address. Okay, we didn’t find it on the map, or rather, in the city. This also happens, although it is an extremely rare occurrence. Nevertheless, on the official website of "CreditExpress Finance" (do you need to pay them?) contact details are still provided. Moreover, on the right side of the screen you can see a form for conversation with a consultant. And in the "Contacts" section there is a form feedback, which should help communicate between clients/debtors and the organization.

In principle, there is nothing suspicious here. Just try to contact the company using the phone numbers provided - this will not work. How can you communicate with CreditExpress Finance? Do they need to be paid? The contacts listed on the official page (phone numbers and addresses are accurate), as practice shows, are lies and deception. But according to e-mail, feedback form or using a virtual dialogue from the site - easily. So, for now there is every reason to believe that this is not the most conscientious organization before us. This means that, at a minimum, there is no need to rush to pay off the debt to her. Otherwise, you can be left without money, and with certain consequences. What other points should we focus on?

Payment

For example, pay attention to the receipt sent to you. As a rule, it raises doubts and suspicions among many citizens. After all, you can often find some non-standard data here that collectors usually do not have at their disposal. After all, banks simply provide them with some information about you, and also transfer the right to “knock out” the debt. And nothing more.

How are things going with an organization called CreditExpress Finance? Do they need to be paid? Do the data in the payment documents match? Typically, it is in receipts and notices that you can see information that no one else can know. And even more so, such data is not indicated in the actual payment.

About what we're talking about? The point is that CreditExpress Finance knows exactly your initials, place of work, activity and address. Moreover, most often you are notified about this directly. Quite suspicious. After all, not a single payment document will write about your work, for example. So there are suspicions.

Nevertheless, at the same time as this fact, we can say that all information about the debtor is provided by the bank. This means that the address, place of work, and your initials will be known to the collectors. They must understand who they are dealing with. Lawyers and citizens assure us: if we are faced with deception and scammers, we should not be surprised that the personal data in the payment coincides with yours. After all, there are so-called “information databases” that contain all the points of interest to scammers. Such documents are bought on black markets and then used for their own selfish purposes.

Didn't match

Have you met "CreditExpress Finance"? Do they need to be paid? Did the collectors send an inventory or a payment slip to “knock out” the debt? Then it’s worth paying attention to another rather interesting, sometimes even funny, moment. He will quickly point out that these are real scammers.

What is it about? Often citizens do not actually live where they are registered. This is a normal phenomenon, but when applying for a loan or loan, you will have to indicate exactly your registration. And although the actual place of residence is required, it is rare. "CreditExpress Finance" very often sends bills and other notifications asking for payment of debt and interest on credits/loans specifically to the homeowner. That is, no one took anything, and the receipt does not contain information about the residents of the apartment. This - direct instruction to deception. After all, banks will make sure in advance that all payment documents come from them in the name of the real debtor, who lives (in fact) at the specified address. This also applies to collection companies.

When did you pay?

Well, let’s assume that you have already paid off your debt to CreditExpress Finance. Do they need to pay interest? If we consider this organization as really existing, then yes. But citizens and lawyers advise against making immediate payments.

What if you have already transferred money to your account? For example, your debt has been completely repaid. Save the payment document, it may still be useful to you. Why? Often, even after payment, "CreditExpress Finance" will bother you. Inventories, notifications, payments, warnings, calls with threats and reminders - all this will become a part of your life. It doesn't matter whether you have debt or not. The organization will still do its best to remind you of its existence and “knock out” debts, even non-existent ones.

So keep in mind: payment by receipt does not give you any guarantees. As many users note, after the first payment, CreditExpress Finance collectors will begin to bother you. Do they need to be paid? Paying off debt is, of course, important. But if you have already transferred the money, you can try to send the organization a copy with the check. It’s not a fact that they will leave you alone. But they will still “knock out” the debt, no matter how hard you try to hide. So lawyers still advise ignoring inventories and notifications from this organization.

Studying the text

Among other things, pay attention to the letters that you receive from the collection company CreditExpress Finance. Do they need to be paid? There is clearly no need to react to the inventory with panic. Even if all of the above has not given you any suspicion that the organization is dishonest, look at what exactly they send you by mail.

You may notice that the text of messages and letters is usually filled with a variety of threats and intimidation. That is, the collection company is openly literally extorting money from you. Even if, in principle, you have no debt. Collectors, of course, threaten their debtors, but not right away. And not openly through letters. This is usually done in such a way as to make it difficult or impossible to prove the threats. Only scammers will begin to openly advertise their “plans.” After all, their main task is to intimidate a citizen so that he simply pays off the “debt”. That is, “CreditExpress Finance” (do they need to pay? The shortest terms are indicated, sometimes requiring a quick resolution of the issue) is only pursuing receiving money from the debtor. It doesn’t matter by what means, it doesn’t matter from whom exactly. A conscientious collection company will never openly advertise its actions, much less threaten in written, documented form. It's like digging your own grave with my own hands. After all, the debtor has every right to go to court with a complaint against the actions of the organization.

Scammers

What do we get in the end? To be honest, “CreditExpress Finance” is the most common deception. Recently, the pseudo-activities of collection companies have begun to develop at tremendous speed. Which means it appeared in the world the new kind fraud, which most often ends in success for the “villain” and loss for the victim.

So, if you are wondering whether you need to pay CreditExpress Finance and generally contact this company, you can only say one thing - no. Just ignore the company and its threatening payments. This is all a clever and modern scam. In general, to find out exactly about the debt and communication with collectors, you can always call the bank and find out whether your overdue debt was transferred to a collection company. And if so, which one exactly? The banking organization is obliged to provide you with this data. This is how you can easily and simply check the integrity of collectors. The main thing is not to panic if you see a payment order from CreditExpress Finance. A clever deception to which there is no need to react in any way - this is the advice that is often given by both lawyers and ordinary citizens. Have you met with CreditExpress Finance? Do they need to be paid? Simply ignore details and letters from this organization. These are scammers!

So, in the previous article we looked at “How to make money on bets in bookmakers”, today we’ll talk about game tactics so as not to go into the red with bookmakers. The conversation will focus on the type of bet on express bets with small odds. To make this type of bet, you need to understand what express bets are.

Express– this is a type of bet on several outcomes various events. By choosing small odds, you can significantly increase the final odds, which will definitely pass, since the probability of small bets passing is very high. Remember: all the low odds you select are multiplied together, giving us a decent odds at the end. The type of sport can be different, the bets can also be different, let it be TM or TB, on victory, on the number, for example, of cards or corners. Less words, everything is shown in the photo below, an example of an express train.

The advantage of express bets is to increase the odds due to passing matches. Let's look at how I played and won decent money by analyzing such games. I played on the fact that there was a low probability of the outcome of a football match with a zero score and decided to play on this. Also, no one limits you in choosing other types of bets, where you are more knowledgeable. When placing bets on various game outcomes, always analyze and check the team compositions, the availability of cards, etc. This method will greatly increase your chances of success; you shouldn’t point your finger at the sky without analyzing past games and looking at the team composition! Make money betting at bookmakers It’s possible, you just need a little patience, the ability to think and calculate the outcome of the match.

If you want to further increase your chances of winning, I recommend that you combine express + “catch-up”, your chances of winning will increase several times. ABOUT